After a nice 2-0 day on the bases for a second day in a row I'm gonna stick with my gameplan and roll with the BRAVOS til they lose a couple in a row. They are steep today at nearly -200 though so I'm gonna try and be a lil creative and stay away from that vig on a large play.
MLB:
(1)ATL ML -190 to win 0.25 units
(2)ATL -1.5 +115 risking 0.25 units
(3)ATL ML -190 to PIT ML -150 = +155 risking 0.25 unit
After going over Hellicksons numbers,especially on the road I can't back him or the severly cooled off RAYS Cuz I also noticed only a couple guys on TB have seen Kershaw more than a few times (Roberts and Kelly J) and they are like a combined 5 for 30. Not gonna lay the -200 and 2 units to win 1 either. Gonna mix up a few smaller plays on the Doyers and see if I can't make a lil +$ using much less principal.
(1)LAD F 4.5 innings ML -140 to win 0.25 units
(2)Double result LAD F 4.5 innings ML to LAD ML (game) ML +155 risking 0.25 units
(3)Double result F 4.5 innings tie then LAD (game) ML +450 risking 0.1 units
(4)LAD team total OVER 3.5 -110 to win 0.25 units
(5)LAD most hits -150 to win 0.25 units
(6)LAD atl RL -2.5 +230 risking 0.25 units
There we go back on track with a 5-1 day for +1.613 units with the only lose the lil 0.1 unit hedge.
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For tonight I'm looking at the ANGELS at +155. They're not playing very well but neither are the YANKS. And I've heard many times that betting two bad teams is a good way to lose money but I think I see some value in the ANGELS tonight. The YANKS are a side show right now and missing some key plays. I think they could win this game behind a strong start from Kuroda. But I just can't agree with the hefty -170 tag.
And I'm going right back to the BRAVOS just cuz. Yes they are a lil steep especially against Hamels. But I'm up a handful backing them over the last week of this run so I'm sticking with it for now.
And I'll also roll with the Doyers probably just in a parlay with the BRAVES unless the BRAVOS fall short then I may try and play them S.U although creatively like last night to try and avoid the vig.
That sucks. Not only did the BRAVOS lose but I was AFK and totally forgot about the LAD game and mixed my chance to get some back. And I've now alternated winning and losing nights the past couple days. Last night going 0-4 for -1.85 units.
Heres me for today...
MLB:
(1)BOS/TO OVER 10 -105 to win a half unit
(2)ATL -1.5 -130 to win 0.25 units
(3)ATL ML -270 to KCR ML -135 = +140 risking a half unit
(4)ATL ML -270 to LAD ML -125 = +150 risking a half unit
May also play LAD S.U on the ML as well. Harvey is a beast but I drafted RYU and have followed him pretty closely all year and he's no joke either. And then overall the DOyers are light-years ahead of the MUTS as a team.
Gotta get the A's into the mix. Fartolo Colonoscopy got lit up hard in his last start but the roid riddled rotund had ripped off 9 straight quality starts (at least can only see back 10 starts) while Lyles has been brutal this year. 1 quality start L8 outing and some crooked numbers in that mix. 5 IP with 5 runs,4 IP with 4 runs, 4 IP with 9 runs,5 IP and 3 runs and the 4.2 IP with 8 runs in his last outing.
Add to that he plays on the worst team in the bigs and he ain't gonna win too often. Not laying the 2.6 units to win 1 on a S.U play. Gonna take a similar approach to Sunday's game with the Doyers and get a lil creative and see how that works.
MLB:
(1)OAK -1.5 -135 to win 0.25 units
(2)OAK -2.5 +140 risking 0.25 units
(3)OAK most hits -160 to win 0.25 units
(4)LAD ML -125 to OAK ML -280 = +145 risking a half unit
After losing last night it's B2B losing nights on the bases for the first time in ages. But KC lost 1-0 in extras to MIA and OAK lost 5-4 to HOU so I had 1 run loses to the worst two teams in the sport so I can't get too bummed over it as sheeeit does happen.
Tonight I'm going back to the well and looking for both teams to rebound. And I missed the start of the ATL game but I see it's delayed so if I can get a line on the live -markets I'll tack on something there too.
MLB:
(1)TEX ML -240 to LAD ML -180 = +120 risking a half unit
(2)TEX ML -240 to OAK ML -260 = -105 to win a half unit
(3)LAD ML -180 to OAK ML -260 = +115 risking a half unit
(4)TEX ML -240 to LAD ML -180 to OAK ML -260 = +205 risking a half unit
(5)TEX -1.5 -120 to win 0.25 units
(6)LAD -1.5 +125 risking 0.25 units
(7)OAK -1.5 -120 to win 0.25 units
(8)TEX -1.5 -120 to LAD -1.5 +125 to OAK -1.5 -120 = +655 risking 0.25 units
On the bases I gotta roll with the BOSUX. They are one of the better teams in the league while NY is mediocre and middle of the pack at best. NY does have the edge in starter but it's not as big as the names would indicate. And BOS just gets it done at home at 18 ganmes over 500....NYY are 3 games below on the road. Not over-thinking it. BOS is the much better team and only -120 so 'm in.
MLB:
(1)BOS ML -120 to wn a half unit
(2)BOS -1.5 +160 risking 0.25 units
MIXED SPORT PARLAY:
Re-post from last night...
(1)JAYS ML +145 (LOSS) to Double result TOR-ARGOS FH ML to (game) ML -260 = +240 risking a half unit (LOSS)
(2)JAYS +1.5 -150 (WIN) to TOR-ARGOS ML -360 = +115 risking 0.25 units (PENDING)
Added these two today.
(1)BOSUX -2.5 +275 to NY-GIANTS (game) -2 -110 to TO-ARGOS -8 -115 = +1240 risking 0.25 units
(2)Double result TOR FH Ml to TOR (game) ML -260 to BUSUX (game) +1.5 -220 = +100 risking a half unit
And then given the fact that LAD have a top 5 pen if Ryu falters (MIA 13th) and a slightly better than average offense (MIA dead last) . And the Doyers have a top 10 defense compared to MIA's bottom 3rd fielding. I think -120 is well worth a poke even on the road since LA is 20-1 L21 away from home while the FISH are just 6-7 in MIA over their L13.
I'm glad you have it as a lean cuz I think I'm gonna play it. I was just wondering if anything you've seen since posting that has turned you off.
Thats about the only game on the board I like other than STL but it's a lil (too) pricey and I want to recalibrate my selectiveness again. After a nice run to start the SH I started to tack on more plays and I started also winning less. So I took a few days off and then only played the BOSUX game last night. Which did lose but at least it was under two units since it was just one losing game not 4 lol
Thanx
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MLB:
(1)LAD ML -120 to win 1 unit
(2)LAD -1.5 +140 risking 0.25 units
MIXED SPORT PARLAY:
(1)STEELERS ML +130 to LADODGERS ML -120 = +320 risking a half unit
Re-post...
Turner is pretty solid but he doesn't stick around long only lasting 5 innings his last 2 starts and that could lead to a good look at a mediocre pen. And his era has been creeping up month by month 0.0 in May,2.12 in June,3.84 in July and now 3.94 in Aug.
And Capuano is no prize but he seems to like life on the road. His home record, era and OPP/B.A are 2-4,6.23 and .333.....But on the road he's 2-2,3.02 and .256
So if the starters can be close to even I think the DODGERS overall team depth and superiority in all other areas of the game should give them a nice chance to win. And -140 isn't cheap but I think it's fair and at that line I can see maybe putting put a couple units on the Doyers tomorrow and then if necessary reload Wednesday. I just have a hard time seeing how the FISH sweep such a hot and talented LAD team.
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Nothing has changed so I'm sticking with the Doyers
MLB:
(1)LAD ML -135 to win 2 units
(2)LAD -1.5 +120 risking a half unit
(3)TO/NYY (G2) OVER 9 -110 to win a half unit
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Adding
MLB:
(1)SF ML +140 risking a half unit
(2)SD ML -105 to win 0.25 units
(3)CLE ML +100 risking 0.25 units
(4)SF ML +140 to SD ML -105 to CLE ML +100 = +835 risking 0.1 units
Thanx for giving me the extra push buddy......gonna be +2.5 or +3 units tonight and thankfully a winning night and hopefully back on track.
And I'm not waiting until tomorrow I just locked in these a second ago. These two teams have been pretty good to me lately and I think both have great chances at winning tomorrow. ATL is arguably the best team in the bigs and have a smoking hot starter going tomorrow against a mediocre arm in Niese and a limited offense of the MUTS. Plus ATL plays decent on the road and have 7 more road wins than MUTS have home wins.
And the DOYERS are still scorching hot. Sure they had a mini two game hiccup but that was the first time they had B2B loses since June Plus they have Greinke on the bump and the dude is dealin'. His L3 are sick. 20 IP,only 17 hits,a whip of 1.15 and a stingy 0.9 era.
Eovaldi is decent but his after his L3 of 17 IP,20 hits,1.47 whip and 5.29 era his era on the year is barely under 4.0
So they're the much better,hotter team with the much better hotter starter and also are better in every other aspect of the game. The -170 is higher than I like to typically go S.U though so I'll start with the parlay and then tack on if needed later.
MLB:
(1)ATL ML -135 to win a half unit
(2)ATL -1.5 +115 risking 0.25 units
(3)ATL ML -135 to LAD ML -170 = +175 risking a half unit
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