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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    MLB picks using Monte Carlo simulation

    «First Previous 123 ... 181920
    pramsey1843
    Top-Shelf
    ZonaCats
    ShadowWarrior
    TheBuddah
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 87813
    Posts: 499
    «First Previous 123 ... 181920
     
    pramsey1843
    pramsey1843
    Prospect
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    Joined: Apr, 2012
    Posts: 344
    Posted: Aug. 7, 2012 - 10:33 AM ET #476

    -2.31, -18.21

    Rangers 105 (7x)
    Angels -139 (7x)
    Reds -107 (3x)

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    -2.31, -18.21

    Rangers 105 (7x)
    Angels -139 (7x)
    Reds -107 (3x)

     
    pramsey1843
    pramsey1843
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    Posts: 344
    Posted: Aug. 8, 2012 - 11:35 AM ET #477

    -5.59, -23.80

    Angels -133 (7x)
    Braves -139 (3x)

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    -5.59, -23.80

    Angels -133 (7x)
    Braves -139 (3x)

     
    pramsey1843
    pramsey1843
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    Posts: 344
    Posted: Aug. 9, 2012 - 11:48 AM ET #478

    -6.31, -30.11

    Giants 126 (5x)
    Red Sox -126 (5x)
    Reds -147 (7x)
    Diamondbacks 119 (4x)
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    -6.31, -30.11

    Giants 126 (5x)
    Red Sox -126 (5x)
    Reds -147 (7x)
    Diamondbacks 119 (4x)
     
    pramsey1843
    pramsey1843
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    Posts: 344
    Posted: Aug. 10, 2012 - 1:06 PM ET #479

    -11.88, -41.99

    Wow I would start fading me too.  System has never been down this far but I am trudging forward

    Orioles -115 (5x)
    Red Sox -154 (7x)
    Yankees -140 (4x)
    Rays -105 (7x)
    Nationals -118 (7x)
    Dodgers -154 (4x)
    Pirates -137 (2x)

    .
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    -11.88, -41.99

    Wow I would start fading me too.  System has never been down this far but I am trudging forward

    Orioles -115 (5x)
    Red Sox -154 (7x)
    Yankees -140 (4x)
    Rays -105 (7x)
    Nationals -118 (7x)
    Dodgers -154 (4x)
    Pirates -137 (2x)

    .
     
    Top-Shelf
    Top-Shelf
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    Joined: Sep, 2008
    Posts: 197
    Posted: Aug. 10, 2012 - 2:01 PM ET #480

    As a great degenerate once said, "Sometimes the system needs to reset itself"  BOL!!
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    As a great degenerate once said, "Sometimes the system needs to reset itself"  BOL!!
     
    ZonaCats
    ZonaCats
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    Posts: 3600
    Posted: Aug. 11, 2012 - 12:46 AM ET #481

    looks like 30+ units tonight. got a big chunk back. 
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    looks like 30+ units tonight. got a big chunk back. 
     
    pramsey1843
    pramsey1843
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    Posts: 344
    Posted: Aug. 11, 2012 - 12:47 AM ET #482

    +31.26, -10.73 overall
    big night there
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    +31.26, -10.73 overall
    big night there
     
    ShadowWarrior
    ShadowWarrior
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    Posts: 7112
    Posted: Aug. 11, 2012 - 2:15 AM ET #483

    Good going Pram!
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    Good going Pram!
     
    pramsey1843
    pramsey1843
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    Posts: 344
    Posted: Aug. 11, 2012 - 12:12 PM ET #484

    Red Sox -130 (2x)
    Athletics 135 (2x)

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    Red Sox -130 (2x)
    Athletics 135 (2x)

     
    pramsey1843
    pramsey1843
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    Posts: 344
    Posted: Aug. 12, 2012 - 10:53 AM ET #485

    +0.1, -10.63 overall

    Red Sox -148 (4x)
    White Sox -150 (3x)
    Braves -109 (3x)
    Nationals 118 (3x)
    Cardinals -114 (2x)
    Dodgers -126 (2x)
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    +0.1, -10.63 overall

    Red Sox -148 (4x)
    White Sox -150 (3x)
    Braves -109 (3x)
    Nationals 118 (3x)
    Cardinals -114 (2x)
    Dodgers -126 (2x)
     
    TheBuddah
    TheBuddah
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    Posts: 4167
    Posted: Aug. 12, 2012 - 1:18 PM ET #486

    I love the data and the analysis - thank you.   I'm with ya on the cardinals and white sox.  I agree with ya that on paper - redsox, dodgers, and  nationals should win.  Not so sure about the braves.  I'll ask and will understand if you don't want to answer - In your system - how much credit do you give hitters?
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    I love the data and the analysis - thank you.   I'm with ya on the cardinals and white sox.  I agree with ya that on paper - redsox, dodgers, and  nationals should win.  Not so sure about the braves.  I'll ask and will understand if you don't want to answer - In your system - how much credit do you give hitters?
     
    pramsey1843
    pramsey1843
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    Posts: 344
    Posted: Aug. 13, 2012 - 10:45 AM ET #487

    +.45, -10.18

    Rangers 100 (3x)
    White Sox -121 (3x)
    Tigers -138 (5x)
    Rays -136 (3x)
    Nationals 106 (2x)

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    +.45, -10.18

    Rangers 100 (3x)
    White Sox -121 (3x)
    Tigers -138 (5x)
    Rays -136 (3x)
    Nationals 106 (2x)

     
    pramsey1843
    pramsey1843
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    Posts: 344
    Posted: Aug. 14, 2012 - 10:21 AM ET #488

    -8.39, -18.57

    Red Sox 100 (3x)
    White Sox -121 (3x)
    Tigers -159 (7x)
    A's -113 (3x)
    Angels -187 (5x)
    Rays -160 (4x)
    Braves -163 (3x)
    Diamondbacks 101 (3x)
    Breweres -117 (2x)

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    -8.39, -18.57

    Red Sox 100 (3x)
    White Sox -121 (3x)
    Tigers -159 (7x)
    A's -113 (3x)
    Angels -187 (5x)
    Rays -160 (4x)
    Braves -163 (3x)
    Diamondbacks 101 (3x)
    Breweres -117 (2x)

     
    PHIphillies
    PHIphillies
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    Joined: May, 2011
    Posts: 12
    Posted: Aug. 14, 2012 - 2:31 PM ET #489

    Like it all...but dont like Red Sox play
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    Like it all...but dont like Red Sox play
     
    pramsey1843
    pramsey1843
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    Posts: 344
    Posted: Aug. 15, 2012 - 10:08 AM ET #490

    -0.13, -18.7

    Tigers -151 (3x)
    Rays 114 (3x)
    A's -120 (3x)
    Mets -115 (2x)
    Dodgers -137 (4x)
    Nationals -120 (5x)
    Phillies -130 (2x)
    Reply
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    -0.13, -18.7

    Tigers -151 (3x)
    Rays 114 (3x)
    A's -120 (3x)
    Mets -115 (2x)
    Dodgers -137 (4x)
    Nationals -120 (5x)
    Phillies -130 (2x)
     
    pramsey1843
    pramsey1843
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    Joined: Apr, 2012
    Posts: 344
    Posted: Aug. 16, 2012 - 11:28 AM ET #491

    +6.92, -11.78

    Rays -116 (3x)
    Phillies -118 (5x)

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    +6.92, -11.78

    Rays -116 (3x)
    Phillies -118 (5x)

     
    pramsey1843
    pramsey1843
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    Posts: 344
    Posted: Aug. 17, 2012 - 11:30 AM ET #492

    -2.42, -14.20 

    White Sox -150 (7x)
    Phillies 142 (3x)


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    -2.42, -14.20 

    White Sox -150 (7x)
    Phillies 142 (3x)


     
    cashcow__360
    cashcow__360
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    Joined: Jan, 2012
    Posts: 341
    Posted: Aug. 17, 2012 - 2:43 PM ET #493

    so im guessing you love the whitesox here with Sale on the mound. the only thing that sort of scares me is KC's play as of late particularly the month of August. They been playing some really tough games and coming put with some W's in unforeseen fashion. they are batting .287 of sale in about a 100ABs....3 hrs 22ks 7rbis 6 bb 31 hits 
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    so im guessing you love the whitesox here with Sale on the mound. the only thing that sort of scares me is KC's play as of late particularly the month of August. They been playing some really tough games and coming put with some W's in unforeseen fashion. they are batting .287 of sale in about a 100ABs....3 hrs 22ks 7rbis 6 bb 31 hits 
     
    cashcow__360
    cashcow__360
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    Posts: 341
    Posted: Aug. 17, 2012 - 3:11 PM ET #494

    nothing to scary considering sale is a FUCKING BEAST !!! 
    hope this is not one of those games where vegas is going to steal our cash.... 
    i read somewhere that during august in mlb over the past season, the high juice favs are hitting at a pretty good rate, 60% or so (cant remember the exact stat tho)

    im liking det chw zona and laa 
    what are your thoughts on those bro !!!
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    nothing to scary considering sale is a FUCKING BEAST !!! 
    hope this is not one of those games where vegas is going to steal our cash.... 
    i read somewhere that during august in mlb over the past season, the high juice favs are hitting at a pretty good rate, 60% or so (cant remember the exact stat tho)

    im liking det chw zona and laa 
    what are your thoughts on those bro !!!
     
    pramsey1843
    pramsey1843
    Prospect
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    Joined: Apr, 2012
    Posts: 344
    Posted: Aug. 18, 2012 - 11:18 AM ET #495

    -13.50, -27.70

    Giants -105 (7x)
    Rangers -130 (7x)
    White Sox -145 (7x)

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    -13.50, -27.70

    Giants -105 (7x)
    Rangers -130 (7x)
    White Sox -145 (7x)

     
    pramsey1843
    pramsey1843
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    Posts: 344
    Posted: Aug. 19, 2012 - 11:51 AM ET #496

    +3.85, -23.85

    White Sox -105 (7x)
    Giants -125 (7x)
    Marlins -136 (7x)

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    +3.85, -23.85

    White Sox -105 (7x)
    Giants -125 (7x)
    Marlins -136 (7x)

     
    pramsey1843
    pramsey1843
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    Joined: Apr, 2012
    Posts: 344
    Posted: Aug. 20, 2012 - 11:48 AM ET #497

    -25.62, -49.47

    We are approaching a stop.  I have gained 100 units on average per year.  I will not lose more than 50 in one year.  This is to prevent a new trend from fully bankrupting the process.  A losing day today of a little over 0.5 units triggers a stop for the year.

    Rangers -167 (7x)
    Reds 135 (5x)
    Pirates -101 (5x)
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    -25.62, -49.47

    We are approaching a stop.  I have gained 100 units on average per year.  I will not lose more than 50 in one year.  This is to prevent a new trend from fully bankrupting the process.  A losing day today of a little over 0.5 units triggers a stop for the year.

    Rangers -167 (7x)
    Reds 135 (5x)
    Pirates -101 (5x)
     
    ShadowWarrior
    ShadowWarrior
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    Posts: 7112
    Posted: Aug. 20, 2012 - 11:56 AM ET #498

    Wait for football, only couple weeks away now.  Just biding my time playing for fun now just to entertain myself.  
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    Wait for football, only couple weeks away now.  Just biding my time playing for fun now just to entertain myself.  
     
     
    pramsey1843
    pramsey1843
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    Posts: 344
    Posted: Aug. 21, 2012 - 9:12 AM ET #499

    -3.03, -52.50

    Something changed the trends this season.  I will do offseason analysis and see what we can do.
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    -3.03, -52.50

    Something changed the trends this season.  I will do offseason analysis and see what we can do.
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