MLB 5/14/16 Afternoon Delight

MLB – 2016

39-38, $ +600.06, +3.9% RoR

5/13 Flat $200.00 

White Sox -146, Quintana/Nova

Quintana may not be Sale, but is a fine pitcher in his own right. Nova is no better than Severino so not much has changed here.

Cubs -261, Locke/Arrieta

Might as well get on the gravy train, the Pirates are sending out another lefty versus the Cubs, who just raised their lefty hitting projection to 40.2 with 5.5 earned runs per 9 versus the average lefty, and Locke is far below average.

Probably have something this evening as well, we’ll see.

BOL  

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39-38, betting $200 but up $600.

[Quote: Originally Posted by fadeORdie] 39-38, betting $200 but up $600.

Taking Pitt today and hoping 

Have a week, 3-14 Lmaooo

With you on the Sox Key.

 good luck man

Desperate times call for desperate measures huh... Taking a -270 ml

Big public play,but the public doesn't lose all the time!  GL Key and go Cubbies

GL Key

GL

On the White Sox myself. Good luck with the Cubs today. With Knight behind the plate, wind blowing out, and Locke on the mound... we should see some runs (I'm on the over F5).

Who is ready for some more gambling mathematics you don't understand?

Thanks Key, what's a simple way to figure probability of a win when looking at the line, when you say 200 you are risking 200 or betting to win 200 ?

[Quote: Originally Posted by RyanHardy] Thanks Key, what's a simple way to figure probability of a win when looking at the line, when you say 200 you are risking 200 or betting to win 200 ?

There is no "SIMPLE" way to compute probability to the best of my knowledge. I have about 1 to 2 hours day invested in data entry and another 1 to 2 in data computation and application. That does not include developmental time invested in the programs. If I could simplify it I would be glad to do that, but this is part of the problem with the "use a system and get rich quick" aspect most gamblers subscribe to. It isn't easy and it isn't quick, and most people simply will not WORK hard enough at it to ever get successful. 

I think he's just asking how to get the probability from just the lines.

What a horrible week...

Final Card:

I asked myself all morning what could wrong with a White Sox/Cubs parlay. Couldn't find a single angle to get me off the play. Apparently all I had to do was come and look in this guy's thread. Anything he touches turns to sh*t.

Much better at -250 Favs anyway