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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    MLB 4/03/18

    12 Next Last»
    KeyElement
    KC_4_LIFE
    Duvita
    brent0887
    bonfire69
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 4329
    Posts: 37
    12 Next Last»
     
    KeyElement
    KeyElement
    Hall of Fame
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    Joined: Dec, 2007
    Posts: 23750
    Posted: Apr. 3, 2018 - 1:36 PM ET #1

    4/02/18

    Opening Bankroll $10,000, Existing Bankroll $9524.05

    2-3, ROI = -31.7%

    Play 3% of bankroll, $300 FLAT, through 4/8/18

    Reds +158 (Lester/Reed)

    Sure, the Cubs will pull out of their offensive slump, but that does not mean it has to be today. At +158 the case can be made that Lester is a viable fade any time they hand him the ball. The Reds won’t finish ahead of the Cubs, or win the division, but today is the only day we are concerned with.

    Brewers -132, (Flaherty/Anderson)

    Chase Anderson is easily the most undervalued pitcher in the game right now. He showed that last year with an 18-6 quality start record and 16-8 head to head versus opponent starters. His first start this year he gave up only one hit in six shutout innings versus the Padres. What’s not to like? In that class today are Verlander, Sale and Kershaw, but there is not nearly as much value with them. The line on Kershaw is the only one under 2 bucks, and that is because of the difference between Godley and the chumps Verlander and Sale are facing.

    My Streak Survivor POD today is the Angels BOL

    Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    4/02/18

    Opening Bankroll $10,000, Existing Bankroll $9524.05

    2-3, ROI = -31.7%

    Play 3% of bankroll, $300 FLAT, through 4/8/18

    Reds +158 (Lester/Reed)

    Sure, the Cubs will pull out of their offensive slump, but that does not mean it has to be today. At +158 the case can be made that Lester is a viable fade any time they hand him the ball. The Reds won’t finish ahead of the Cubs, or win the division, but today is the only day we are concerned with.

    Brewers -132, (Flaherty/Anderson)

    Chase Anderson is easily the most undervalued pitcher in the game right now. He showed that last year with an 18-6 quality start record and 16-8 head to head versus opponent starters. His first start this year he gave up only one hit in six shutout innings versus the Padres. What’s not to like? In that class today are Verlander, Sale and Kershaw, but there is not nearly as much value with them. The line on Kershaw is the only one under 2 bucks, and that is because of the difference between Godley and the chumps Verlander and Sale are facing.

    My Streak Survivor POD today is the Angels BOL

     
    KeyElement
    KeyElement
    Hall of Fame
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2007
    Posts: 23750
    Posted: Apr. 3, 2018 - 1:37 PM ET #2

    The balance of my opinions can be found at:

    https://contests.covers.com/KingOfCovers/Picks/Bets/11ea732a-f933-40e5-a2d7-a870009e5b26
    Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
    Reply

    The balance of my opinions can be found at:

    https://contests.covers.com/KingOfCovers/Picks/Bets/11ea732a-f933-40e5-a2d7-a870009e5b26
     
    KC_4_LIFE
    KC_4_LIFE
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2016
    Posts: 5372
    Posted: Apr. 3, 2018 - 1:41 PM ET #3

    How can you back cody reed?
    Don’t let the last play affect the next play
    Reply
    How can you back cody reed?
     
    Duvita
    Duvita
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2018
    Posts: 225
    Posted: Apr. 3, 2018 - 1:45 PM ET #4

    BOL

    Reply

    BOL

     
    brent0887
    brent0887
    MVP
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2009
    Posts: 19355
    Posted: Apr. 3, 2018 - 1:49 PM ET #5

    Happy spring my friend.
    Cheers to a good season


    Reply
    Happy spring my friend.
    Cheers to a good season


     
    KeyElement
    KeyElement
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    Joined: Dec, 2007
    Posts: 23750
    Posted: Apr. 3, 2018 - 1:58 PM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by KC_4_LIFE:

    How can you back cody reed?
    How can anyone back Jon Lester? 
    Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by KC_4_LIFE:

    How can you back cody reed?
    How can anyone back Jon Lester? 
     
    bonfire69
    bonfire69
    All-Star
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    Joined: May, 2007
    Posts: 11129
    Posted: Apr. 3, 2018 - 2:00 PM ET #7

    U
    Reply
    U
     
    WussieMan
    WussieMan
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    Posts: 26467
    Posted: Apr. 3, 2018 - 2:03 PM ET #8

    Explain the value in wagering on sorry bats vs Lester? I anticipate your reply...
    Reply
    Explain the value in wagering on sorry bats vs Lester? I anticipate your reply...
     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Joined: Dec, 2014
    Posts: 52302
    Posted: Apr. 3, 2018 - 2:08 PM ET #9

    FWIW....

    Lester left his last outing in the 3rd inning and there was whispers of a blister. Info right out of my backyard. 


    Best of Luck Today
    Reply
    FWIW....

    Lester left his last outing in the 3rd inning and there was whispers of a blister. Info right out of my backyard. 


    Best of Luck Today
     
    avenue
    avenue
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2010
    Posts: 7616
    Posted: Apr. 3, 2018 - 2:36 PM ET #10

    bol





    pal
    Reply
    bol





    pal
     
    ndsent1
    ndsent1
    Hall of Fame
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2009
    Posts: 20752
    Posted: Apr. 3, 2018 - 2:56 PM ET #11

    Good Luck Pal........

    Reply

    Good Luck Pal........

     
    dcgmt
    dcgmt
    Legend
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    Joined: Dec, 2011
    Posts: 46247
    Posted: Apr. 3, 2018 - 2:57 PM ET #12

    GL tonight Key
    Reply
    GL tonight Key
     
    winners1941
    winners1941
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    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2010
    Posts: 2394
    Posted: Apr. 3, 2018 - 3:11 PM ET #13

    key, I agree, not lester not this year and further  re: post #6
    Reply
    key, I agree, not lester not this year and further  re: post #6
     
    Ken11
    Ken11
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    Posts: 5392
    Posted: Apr. 3, 2018 - 3:16 PM ET #14

    bol
    Reply
    bol
     
    KeyElement
    KeyElement
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    Joined: Dec, 2007
    Posts: 23750
    Posted: Apr. 3, 2018 - 3:27 PM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by WussieMan:

    Explain the value in wagering on sorry bats vs Lester? I anticipate your reply...
    Explain backing a chump like Lester with an equally weak offense. Your "Awesome" Cubs offense has turned in 4 of 5 weak performances, including both versus lefty starters. So, take the current line of -167/+157 and with a stiff on the hill you need a 60% chance of winning. If you win this matchup 6 out of 10 times you have a 60% win rate, which a lot of guys truly admire, in spite of the fact you haven't made a penny on your 60%.
    P.S. Just because I had a brain flart this morning and paid you a compliment (upchuck) does not mean you can demand explanations. You still need to ask in a gentlemanly way. 
       
    Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by WussieMan:

    Explain the value in wagering on sorry bats vs Lester? I anticipate your reply...
    Explain backing a chump like Lester with an equally weak offense. Your "Awesome" Cubs offense has turned in 4 of 5 weak performances, including both versus lefty starters. So, take the current line of -167/+157 and with a stiff on the hill you need a 60% chance of winning. If you win this matchup 6 out of 10 times you have a 60% win rate, which a lot of guys truly admire, in spite of the fact you haven't made a penny on your 60%.
    P.S. Just because I had a brain flart this morning and paid you a compliment (upchuck) does not mean you can demand explanations. You still need to ask in a gentlemanly way. 
       
     
    tinfoils
    tinfoils
    Legend
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    Joined: Jun, 2002
    Posts: 66016
    Posted: Apr. 3, 2018 - 3:47 PM ET #16

    Stay Feisty! Good luck Key!
    Reply
    Stay Feisty! Good luck Key!
     
    North-Japan
    North-Japan
    Rookie
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    Joined: Oct, 2017
    Posts: 747
    Posted: Apr. 3, 2018 - 3:47 PM ET #17

    Ok Key, I was planning on chasing you, doing something like a martingale\labby system hibrid. 

    But I'm not liking your picks nor the reasons you're choosing to pick'em. I was expecting, I don't know, something more.


    C'mon man, your pick yesteday on the White Sox, coin flip? really?

    Reply
    Ok Key, I was planning on chasing you, doing something like a martingale\labby system hibrid. 

    But I'm not liking your picks nor the reasons you're choosing to pick'em. I was expecting, I don't know, something more.


    C'mon man, your pick yesteday on the White Sox, coin flip? really?

     
    HoustonSports
    HoustonSports
    Hall of Fame
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    Joined: Apr, 2004
    Posts: 22937
    Posted: Apr. 3, 2018 - 3:50 PM ET #18

    Quote Originally Posted by North-Japan:

    Ok Key, I was planning on chasing you, doing something like a martingale\labby system hibrid. 

    But I'm not liking your picks nor the reasons you're choosing to pick'em. I was expecting, I don't know, something more.


    C'mon man, your pick yesteday on the White Sox, coin flip? really?

    So, you come into his thread to start ripping on him. You don't like his plays then move on. No need for negativity
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by North-Japan:

    Ok Key, I was planning on chasing you, doing something like a martingale\labby system hibrid. 

    But I'm not liking your picks nor the reasons you're choosing to pick'em. I was expecting, I don't know, something more.


    C'mon man, your pick yesteday on the White Sox, coin flip? really?

    So, you come into his thread to start ripping on him. You don't like his plays then move on. No need for negativity
     
    bdix12
    bdix12
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    Joined: Nov, 2013
    Posts: 66
    Posted: Apr. 3, 2018 - 4:00 PM ET #19

    Quote Originally Posted by North-Japan:

    Ok Key, I was planning on chasing you, doing something like a martingale\labby system hibrid. But I'm not liking your picks nor the reasons you're choosing to pick'em. I was expecting, I don't know, something more.C'mon man, your pick yesteday on the White Sox, coin flip? really?


    Coming from the guy who got fooled into thinking there was a username "deez" on the forums somewhere and literally creating articles asking for people to tail.... make your own plays and don't criticize someone else for sharing their thoughts. You're a tool.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by North-Japan:

    Ok Key, I was planning on chasing you, doing something like a martingale\labby system hibrid. But I'm not liking your picks nor the reasons you're choosing to pick'em. I was expecting, I don't know, something more.C'mon man, your pick yesteday on the White Sox, coin flip? really?


    Coming from the guy who got fooled into thinking there was a username "deez" on the forums somewhere and literally creating articles asking for people to tail.... make your own plays and don't criticize someone else for sharing their thoughts. You're a tool.

     
    KeyElement
    KeyElement
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    Posts: 23750
    Posted: Apr. 3, 2018 - 4:20 PM ET #20

    Please folks, no responses to trolls. It is the attention they are looking for. Ignore them, they move on.
    Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
    Reply
    Please folks, no responses to trolls. It is the attention they are looking for. Ignore them, they move on.
     
    straight_cash
    straight_cash
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    Joined: Aug, 2015
    Posts: 7479
    Posted: Apr. 3, 2018 - 4:58 PM ET #21

    GL today Key. 
    Reply
    GL today Key. 
     
    HoustonSports
    HoustonSports
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    Joined: Apr, 2004
    Posts: 22937
    Posted: Apr. 3, 2018 - 5:06 PM ET #22

    Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

    Please folks, no responses to trolls. It is the attention they are looking for. Ignore them, they move on.
    They will receive one warning (so to speak) and then either PB or ban
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

    Please folks, no responses to trolls. It is the attention they are looking for. Ignore them, they move on.
    They will receive one warning (so to speak) and then either PB or ban
     
    barneybeans
    barneybeans
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    Joined: Mar, 2003
    Posts: 9981
    Posted: Apr. 3, 2018 - 5:43 PM ET #23

    Reds today (or just a fade on Lester) is the way to go. Glad to see you on MIL.


    BOL

    The pen is mightier than the pigs
    Reply

    Reds today (or just a fade on Lester) is the way to go. Glad to see you on MIL.


    BOL

     
    Oaktownfan
    Oaktownfan
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    Joined: Aug, 2016
    Posts: 146
    Posted: Apr. 3, 2018 - 5:55 PM ET #24

    BOL tonight key!!!!
    Reply
    BOL tonight key!!!!
     
     
    cjm2008
    cjm2008
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    Joined: Feb, 2012
    Posts: 22012
    Posted: Apr. 3, 2018 - 7:14 PM ET #25

    Rain delay could mess up Reds game. an_lightening

    Reply

    Rain delay could mess up Reds game. an_lightening

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