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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    Mike Napoli traded to Blue Jays

    «First Previous 12
    LeafsNeedD
    jpero
    johnnyfry
    CorporalJoker
    yankees2k6
    ...
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    LeafsNeedD
    LeafsNeedD
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2011 - 4:42 PM ET #26

    It has nothing to do with the quality of Angels pitching.  He plays 1/3 of his games against NY, Bos, TB. 

    Look at his road home splits in general. 
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    It has nothing to do with the quality of Angels pitching.  He plays 1/3 of his games against NY, Bos, TB. 

    Look at his road home splits in general. 
     
    jpero
    jpero
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2011 - 4:51 PM ET #27

    2nd half of the season those lowly Oriole pitchers pitched better than the Blue Jays and Yankees.

    Blue Jays traded away Marcum, which is a loss since he was a very good pitcher.

    Yankees rotation is suspect but their BP is strong.

    Rays have some question marks but I think they will perform better than most think this year.
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    2nd half of the season those lowly Oriole pitchers pitched better than the Blue Jays and Yankees.

    Blue Jays traded away Marcum, which is a loss since he was a very good pitcher.

    Yankees rotation is suspect but their BP is strong.

    Rays have some question marks but I think they will perform better than most think this year.
     
    LeafsNeedD
    LeafsNeedD
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2011 - 4:58 PM ET #28

    Every projected Orioles starter had and xFIP over 4.5 in 2010.  Not a single Jays projected starter had an xFIP over 4.5 in 2010. 


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    Every projected Orioles starter had and xFIP over 4.5 in 2010.  Not a single Jays projected starter had an xFIP over 4.5 in 2010. 


     
    jpero
    jpero
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2011 - 5:14 PM ET #29

    The Orioles pitchers were also completely different the 2nd half of the year.

    Matusz: 2nd half ERA 3.63/ 1st half: 4.77
    Guthrie: 2nd half ERA 2,76/ 1st half: 4.77
    Bergesen: 2nd half ERA 3.94/ 1st half: 6.40
    Arrieta: 2nd half ERA 4.84/ 1st half: 4.38
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    The Orioles pitchers were also completely different the 2nd half of the year.

    Matusz: 2nd half ERA 3.63/ 1st half: 4.77
    Guthrie: 2nd half ERA 2,76/ 1st half: 4.77
    Bergesen: 2nd half ERA 3.94/ 1st half: 6.40
    Arrieta: 2nd half ERA 4.84/ 1st half: 4.38
     
    LeafsNeedD
    LeafsNeedD
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2011 - 5:38 PM ET #30

    Same old song and dance we hear every year bro 

    I'll give you Matusz but you can't start cherry picking numbers for 31 year old pitchers like Guthrie.  The other guys are meh. 


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    Same old song and dance we hear every year bro 

    I'll give you Matusz but you can't start cherry picking numbers for 31 year old pitchers like Guthrie.  The other guys are meh. 


     
    jpero
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2011 - 5:39 PM ET #31

    I dont think Guthrie is that great. He out performs all his peripherals every single year. He should not be having the success he has had over the years and it it will eventually catch up with him. He is a good #3 but nothing more than that.
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    I dont think Guthrie is that great. He out performs all his peripherals every single year. He should not be having the success he has had over the years and it it will eventually catch up with him. He is a good #3 but nothing more than that.
     
    johnnyfry
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2011 - 6:40 PM ET #32

    Angels needed the bat and needed to get Abreu into the DH spot.  It addresses their need...is he worth the $80 million plus for 4 years?  Not in the current market and based on his stats.  In the end, it's about winning, it's not an apples to apples comparison but you never here Steinbrenner (or his son) complain about the outlay of cash.  They traded away salary as well to offset some of the additional costs.

    Here are the hardcore stats for Vernon: 
    https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/w/wellsve01.shtml 

    Scroll down to see a relative comparison of his numbers to other players (comparable to Andre Dawson in relative terms based on appearances).

    I am not trying to sugar coat this, I definitely think the Jays dumped a very difficult contract and even if the Angels win the WS I support this trade 100%, AA did a great job.  However, I am trying to look at it from both perspectives, Vernon will work very hard to be ready for Spring training and he is certainly rejuvenated, often that is all a player needs.

    If somehow the Angels sneak into a playoff spot he will have paid for himself.  he is 32, not 37.  I have never looked at him as a hard nosed Gamer, let's see how he does. 
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    Angels needed the bat and needed to get Abreu into the DH spot.  It addresses their need...is he worth the $80 million plus for 4 years?  Not in the current market and based on his stats.  In the end, it's about winning, it's not an apples to apples comparison but you never here Steinbrenner (or his son) complain about the outlay of cash.  They traded away salary as well to offset some of the additional costs.

    Here are the hardcore stats for Vernon: 
    https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/w/wellsve01.shtml 

    Scroll down to see a relative comparison of his numbers to other players (comparable to Andre Dawson in relative terms based on appearances).

    I am not trying to sugar coat this, I definitely think the Jays dumped a very difficult contract and even if the Angels win the WS I support this trade 100%, AA did a great job.  However, I am trying to look at it from both perspectives, Vernon will work very hard to be ready for Spring training and he is certainly rejuvenated, often that is all a player needs.

    If somehow the Angels sneak into a playoff spot he will have paid for himself.  he is 32, not 37.  I have never looked at him as a hard nosed Gamer, let's see how he does. 
     
    CorporalJoker
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2011 - 1:22 PM ET #33

    Guthrie wouldn't be a number 3 on a team with quality pitching, problem is the Orioles pitching staff hasn't had much depth for years, now with the younger arms coming up he will probably move back in the rotation as they come to dominance.
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    Guthrie wouldn't be a number 3 on a team with quality pitching, problem is the Orioles pitching staff hasn't had much depth for years, now with the younger arms coming up he will probably move back in the rotation as they come to dominance.
     
    yankees2k6
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2011 - 3:01 PM ET #34

    I saw a lot of fans in the stands during the National Anthem in Chicago that left there hats on...... .Classless!
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    I saw a lot of fans in the stands during the National Anthem in Chicago that left there hats on...... .Classless!
     
    Nicole0618
    Nicole0618
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    Posted: Jan. 24, 2011 - 9:18 AM ET #35

    It was good to dump the salary but I wouldn't waste the extra money on Jose Bautista. He had one season that was exceptional. He really only is a 20-30HR hitter. I can bet he won't get close to 40HR ever again. I say save the money and try to sign Pujols next year if he doesn't sign a new contract this season.
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    It was good to dump the salary but I wouldn't waste the extra money on Jose Bautista. He had one season that was exceptional. He really only is a 20-30HR hitter. I can bet he won't get close to 40HR ever again. I say save the money and try to sign Pujols next year if he doesn't sign a new contract this season.
     
    C2Knuckles
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    Posted: Jan. 24, 2011 - 12:36 PM ET #36

    One of the biggest lopsided trades ever.  If I was an Angels fan I'd be pissed.
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    One of the biggest lopsided trades ever.  If I was an Angels fan I'd be pissed.
     
     
    umgmu
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    Posted: Jan. 24, 2011 - 4:59 PM ET #37

    liked VW but 21 mil per year for the next 4 and only getting about 20 and 85 rbi's .. good trade .. going young.. but the marcum deal was stupid ..
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    liked VW but 21 mil per year for the next 4 and only getting about 20 and 85 rbi's .. good trade .. going young.. but the marcum deal was stupid ..
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