JMHO 06/13

31-43-5, -1,010.61 - ROR -13.5%

6/013/2026

F5 – Royals -130 Burrows/Cameron

My buddy Mo Mentum continues to indicate changes the linemakers are aware of, but not the average bettor. So, the pathetic Royals, that got their butts handed to them yesterday, come out as a favorite against the team that did the butt-kicking. Makes perfect sense to me, because all the circumstances are completely different. Cameron has even had the audacity to destroy the analytical nerds opinion of him. Last year he was “lucky” to have success because some of his metrics did not agree with them, yet here he is, rolling right along. Burrows is certainly no big deal and the Royals offense has the advantage with a R/L matchup.

F5 – Athletics -150 Freeland/Estes

Ah, Joey Estes, pops up once in a while when the A’s have a hole to fill. Largely unimpressive, BUT, he has one of MLB’s top lefty hitting offenses behind him today against the truly pathetic Kyle Freeland, who could not possibly land an MLB job with anyone but the Rockies, always desperately in need of pitching.

Relatively high odds for me today, but the advantages are overwhelming

Play At Your Own Risk.

Freeland has been so bad.

Really feels like this year really bad pitchers continue to be real bad and really dominant guys are continuing to roll.

I like Rockies under 6.5 again but I would not be surprised if A's score a ton which means they could bring in bullpen garbage. But if you can get a TT of Rockies under 6.5 on the road it feels at the very least like value.

@smellybunty

 My problem with that is that Estes is so unpredictable. How does he do, and how long do they leave him in? My faith is in the A's outstanding offense vs  lefty, and a very poor one at that.

@Fuse

 Your signature is wisdom, little of that around here 

You guys know I am always researching something. Well, today is an interesting example. I noticed MLB stats says the A's are 10-11 vs lefty starters. True, and that is OK, as far as it goes, but those are full game results, and for the sake of 5 inning, or early game advantages I track starter vs starter, not full game results. In the starter vs starter category, when the two exit, normally between 4 and 6 innings, the A's are 13-8, a totally different perspective than full game results, which happens far after the starters have exited, and the game has been turned over to bullpens, managers, etc..  

Good Luck Key.

The Royals game was a roller coaster ride. Cameron and Royals up 3-0 in the 3rd. I thought Oh I got this won. Wrong, Cameron gives up 2 home runs for 2 runs each, ties game in the 5th. Astros someone on 3rd with 1 out, but Royals coach puts in the pen to get the other 2 outs so no runs tie 4-4 end of 5th.  Then 5-4 Astros, 7-5 Royals, then 7-7, and now rain delay in 8th. I went big I should be glad I pushed. 

A’s blew that first 5.