Posted:
#1
5-7-1, -199.03, RoR -15.03%
JMHO – 4/07
F5 – Brewers +140 Misiorowski/Crochet
I don’t think the Brewers currently fear anyone, certainly not when they are 3-0 vs lefty and faced with a BoSox team playing some of their worst ball , at 1-8 vs righty. Home field and Crochet create this line but is that a valid probability. Sure, Crochet could bounce back but Misiorowski has not looked bad either. Let’s give the newbie a shot, with the much hotter offense behind him. At -160 the Sox require a 62.5% probability of a win just to break even in the long run. Does that seem likely?
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
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