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Indians @ Cubs IN GAME

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Posted: #51
what book do you use xKMACKx?
 
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Posted: #52
 
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Posted: #53
Quote Originally Posted by Johnnypicks:

no cg but Lee is really dialing in as of late...

 

 

  Fair enough.  I'm still confused by your initial response to my original statement.  DeRosa is in the Indians' line-up and will get his chances to contribute. 

Wood may very well enter the game to nail this victory down for his new club.

To those ends, I wish them both luck.  Go Tribesmen. 
 
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Posted: #54
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Wow - great info - so just to understand you are saying that based on historical data that you have captured - betting yes is an inherently PE bet?

I would be very interested in hearing more about this - this bet is totally off of my radar.  Totally.  Is yes usually a favorite or underdog - do you know the average line of this bet?

Thanks

Yes that's exactly right Vanzack.  A given game's line is obviously highly correlated with the full game's total.  So I've stratified my 1st inning results by posted O/U and calculated historical true MLs.  Over 99% of the time, the NO line is a huge negative expectation bet, making the only options YES or no play.  There are generally 3-5 overlays a day of varying amounts on the YES.

 
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Posted: #55

With this lengthy of a delay cant be good for the starting pitchers.  Took the under 9 now i will be

 
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Posted: #56
how much more
 
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Posted: #57
Can we see a page 4?  Whats the odds?
 
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Posted: #58
Quote Originally Posted by daLOCKSMITH:

what book do you use xKMACKx?


Partybets. Its the only book I have found that you can use your online banking at which is really convenient.
 
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Posted: #59
is that affiliated with partypoker?
 
Legend
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Posted: #60
Quote Originally Posted by totalguy:

Yes that's exactly right Vanzack.  A given game's line is obviously highly correlated with the full game's total.  So I've stratified my 1st inning results by posted O/U and calculated historical true MLs.  Over 99% of the time, the NO line is a huge negative expectation bet, making the only options YES or no play.  There are generally 3-5 overlays a day of varying amounts on the YES.

So you are making a profit doing this?

What is the limit on this bet?  Where do you find this bet?

Thanks for answering the questions-  Im going to check this out for sure.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
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Posted: #61
Quote Originally Posted by daLOCKSMITH:

is that affiliated with partypoker?


Yeah its all under the same umbrella.
 
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Posted: #62
1st pitch in 20 minutes. via WGN.
 
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Posted: #63
There showing a classic Cubs game against the Brewers it was tied 6-6 on there station.  Lets hope thats not score today.  I took the under!
 
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Posted: #64

Quote Originally Posted by InternetTuffGuy:


Hilarious avatar

 

That's what I thought when I got it a couple weeks ago but surprisingly you're the first one to say anything.  I think a lot of people are offended. 

 
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Posted: #65
looks like they may get in 2 dry innings before it starts to rain and rain and rain ... you get the idea
 
 
everyone is on the under first 5, including myself...feels like mother nature is gonna rape us all
 
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Posted: #66

Quote Originally Posted by Unit_G:

  Fair enough.  I'm still confused by your initial response to my original statement.  DeRosa is in the Indians' line-up and will get his chances to contribute. 

Wood may very well enter the game to nail this victory down for his new club.
 

it was meant by....

having to face C lee...it wont hep the cubbies much

 

llove the tribe at this price!

 

Stay safe and play smart
 
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Posted: #67
Len just came on and said still set for 2:45 central start.  The tarp is off and they're laying chalk lines.............
 
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Posted: #68
Can we start this fucking thing already so I can curse out the Cubs....thank yew.
 
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Posted: #69
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

So you are making a profit doing this?

What is the limit on this bet?  Where do you find this bet?

Thanks for answering the questions-  Im going to check this out for sure.

Since Neteller went away, my betting activity is almost non-existent.  2006 was my peak running this prop and I bet almost 1300 games that season and increased my bankroll 669% by varying my unit sizes so that my bankroll was always 50 units, never betting more than 1.5 units on a given game.  With Neteller, I had 8 books in play and easily moved from one to the other when I saw a bad line or even a middle op when the squares bet the NO too much.  Now it's harder unless you have large amounts in each out.

 

 
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Posted: #70
its been so long waiting, I am losing interest in this game now LOL
 
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Posted: #71
Is it starting at 3:45 EST?
 
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Posted: #72
Quote Originally Posted by totalguy:

Since Neteller went away, my betting activity is almost non-existent.  2006 was my peak running this prop and I bet almost 1300 games that season and increased my bankroll 669% by varying my unit sizes so that my bankroll was always 50 units, never betting more than 1.5 units on a given game.  With Neteller, I had 8 books in play and easily moved from one to the other when I saw a bad line or even a middle op when the squares bet the NO too much.  Now it's harder unless you have large amounts in each out.

 

I hear you with that one.  My whole strategy changed for the year after Neteller went away.  I have an arrangement now that takes care of things - but I dont think the books I am at have this prop.

Thanks for the heads up.  Im going to do some research.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
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Posted: #73
The books I had going back then on this prop were Olympic, Bodog, Matchbook (I actually started their market there for a few months until I cleaned out all the NOs), Bowmans, Sportbet, IAS, VIP Sports.
 
The max is usually $250-$500 a game but with several outs using the same service, if the line is there for one, it's there for several others.
 
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Posted: #74
just look at it this way, fellow degenerates...this game will bring us right up to the rest of the action for this evening.
 
 
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Posted: #75
woohoo it's about to start.  About time =)
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