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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    In all my years betting MLB, never seen this many overs every night

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    Qwan61
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    Qwan61
    Qwan61
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    Posts: 1882
    Posted: Jun. 15, 2019 - 12:53 PM ET #26

    Quote Originally Posted by fluffybucker69:

    Thought I posted this, but I don't see it on the forum. For those of you who know nothing about MLB, it's fine.  You know why?  You can just bet the over in every single game.  I can remember in years past where there were plenty of 3-1, 3-2, 4-2 games.  Those are few and far between this year.  The over yesterday was 6-3.  Two of the unders barely went under.  Every over went over by like 5-8 runs.  Tonight?  Overall are 11-2.  And most aren't even close. I think a couple things are in play.  The balls are juiced.  I also think the pitching is just terrible.  The starters are bad.  And the middle relief is even worse.  Most teams can't throw 3 guys in a row without one of them getting hammered.  Every game there's at least one team that seems to put up 6+ runs. I'd like to hear the thoughts of some of the other cappers on this.  Maybe just go over on the entire board every night.  I'm bewildered by why I see Mets and Nats totals at 8.5 routinely.  They should be at 10 or 10.5  I mean it's a joke.  Even when the first 5 goes under, there will be a 7 run inning later in the game.

     

    MLB has however put itself in a precarious position of needing to shorten games CAUSED BY juiced balls.

     

    I think the talk has heightened about needing to shorten games about post 2015 all star game break.

     

    The unfortunate thing is that MLB is going to make drastic changes to the game which may have dire consequences on fan attendance/tv viewership when ALL THEY HAVE TO DO is go back to the days of pre-helium baseballs.

     

     

     

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by fluffybucker69:

    Thought I posted this, but I don't see it on the forum. For those of you who know nothing about MLB, it's fine.  You know why?  You can just bet the over in every single game.  I can remember in years past where there were plenty of 3-1, 3-2, 4-2 games.  Those are few and far between this year.  The over yesterday was 6-3.  Two of the unders barely went under.  Every over went over by like 5-8 runs.  Tonight?  Overall are 11-2.  And most aren't even close. I think a couple things are in play.  The balls are juiced.  I also think the pitching is just terrible.  The starters are bad.  And the middle relief is even worse.  Most teams can't throw 3 guys in a row without one of them getting hammered.  Every game there's at least one team that seems to put up 6+ runs. I'd like to hear the thoughts of some of the other cappers on this.  Maybe just go over on the entire board every night.  I'm bewildered by why I see Mets and Nats totals at 8.5 routinely.  They should be at 10 or 10.5  I mean it's a joke.  Even when the first 5 goes under, there will be a 7 run inning later in the game.

     

    MLB has however put itself in a precarious position of needing to shorten games CAUSED BY juiced balls.

     

    I think the talk has heightened about needing to shorten games about post 2015 all star game break.

     

    The unfortunate thing is that MLB is going to make drastic changes to the game which may have dire consequences on fan attendance/tv viewership when ALL THEY HAVE TO DO is go back to the days of pre-helium baseballs.

     

     

     

     

     
     
    Qwan61
    Qwan61
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    Joined: Mar, 2016
    Posts: 1882
    Posted: Jun. 15, 2019 - 12:59 PM ET #27

    Quote Originally Posted by OlDirtyBaztid:

    Quote Originally Posted by fluffybucker69:

    I actually just saw that home runs are up 12% from last year.  And in the minor leagues - get this - they're up 47% in the Pacific Coast league and this is the first year they've implemented using major league baseballs.  Pretty much 100% evidence right there that the ball is juiced.  But the comical part is that it was juiced last year.  Apparently that wasn't enough?  The home run rate was like 0.85 4 years ago and 1.15 last year and 1.30 this year.  It's overall a joke.  I think what's probably happening is that not only is it way easier to hit home runs, but that psychologically it's getting in the heads of a lot of pitchers and they tighten up and make more mistakes.  Because all this launch angle stuff came into play a few years ago and the home run rate was around 1 or lower and now it's at 1.30.  In order for there to be that big a difference when stylistically things haven't changed the last 2-3 years there basically has to be a juiced ball. I'm starting to think MLB panicked when all these guys came in throwing 97 98 mph and they thought they have to mess with the ball to make it easier to score.  Batting averages are down, but more runs are being scored because any time it's put in play now it seems to go over the fence.  Personally, I think it's a shame.  And I find that many of these pitchers have control issues.  I don't think you need to juice the balls to get runs.  Look at Odorizzi, Ryu, even Morton.  None of those guys throw hard.  Morton can get up around 96, but that's nothing crazy.  They just have good offspeed stuff and command.  Guess I just have to adjust as a bettor.  It used to be easy to pinpoint low scoring games and that was something I always looked to do when looking at an MLB card.  But for the time being it's pretty much you bet the over whether it's a team total or or both teams, the side, or not at all.  I'm retiring from betting unders
    used to love betting unders. i just won't do it anymore. not even worth the hassle, man. i hadn't bet an under in months. bet seattle vs minny under last week under 10. 1-1 going into the sixth. between the 6th and 7th, seattle gave up 9 runs. this was a nice reality check to remind me not to bet unders again. i'm really beginning to believe the juiced balls only come in for the pen. maybe because they have less time to handle the balls? last year, a ton of starters were suffering blisters and finger injuries. this year, not so much. maybe they figured out the length of pitching juiced balls, or balls wound tighter, would only work for short periods of time without injury. who knows? but i do know, don't bet unders

     

     

    The Rockies/Padres game had ____12____ runs scored in 1.5 innings!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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    Quote Originally Posted by OlDirtyBaztid:

    Quote Originally Posted by fluffybucker69:

    I actually just saw that home runs are up 12% from last year.  And in the minor leagues - get this - they're up 47% in the Pacific Coast league and this is the first year they've implemented using major league baseballs.  Pretty much 100% evidence right there that the ball is juiced.  But the comical part is that it was juiced last year.  Apparently that wasn't enough?  The home run rate was like 0.85 4 years ago and 1.15 last year and 1.30 this year.  It's overall a joke.  I think what's probably happening is that not only is it way easier to hit home runs, but that psychologically it's getting in the heads of a lot of pitchers and they tighten up and make more mistakes.  Because all this launch angle stuff came into play a few years ago and the home run rate was around 1 or lower and now it's at 1.30.  In order for there to be that big a difference when stylistically things haven't changed the last 2-3 years there basically has to be a juiced ball. I'm starting to think MLB panicked when all these guys came in throwing 97 98 mph and they thought they have to mess with the ball to make it easier to score.  Batting averages are down, but more runs are being scored because any time it's put in play now it seems to go over the fence.  Personally, I think it's a shame.  And I find that many of these pitchers have control issues.  I don't think you need to juice the balls to get runs.  Look at Odorizzi, Ryu, even Morton.  None of those guys throw hard.  Morton can get up around 96, but that's nothing crazy.  They just have good offspeed stuff and command.  Guess I just have to adjust as a bettor.  It used to be easy to pinpoint low scoring games and that was something I always looked to do when looking at an MLB card.  But for the time being it's pretty much you bet the over whether it's a team total or or both teams, the side, or not at all.  I'm retiring from betting unders
    used to love betting unders. i just won't do it anymore. not even worth the hassle, man. i hadn't bet an under in months. bet seattle vs minny under last week under 10. 1-1 going into the sixth. between the 6th and 7th, seattle gave up 9 runs. this was a nice reality check to remind me not to bet unders again. i'm really beginning to believe the juiced balls only come in for the pen. maybe because they have less time to handle the balls? last year, a ton of starters were suffering blisters and finger injuries. this year, not so much. maybe they figured out the length of pitching juiced balls, or balls wound tighter, would only work for short periods of time without injury. who knows? but i do know, don't bet unders

     

     

    The Rockies/Padres game had ____12____ runs scored in 1.5 innings!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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