Sunday Plays: - fading lefties at good prices is the way to go and yesterday proved it..... except where you see a situation to play the UNDER rather like the CWS game
-1U yesterday as the Jays result rattled my chance to go into positive UNITS
Play #1 Phillies +140 ML x 1U with a strong lefty in Ranger Suarez vs a meh Strider who has not fully found his form from 2 yrs ago
-Suarez is a 1 era in away games!!! Strider has done well vs this Phillies lineup but that was in the past ....still I think I am going to lay the UNDER 8 runs +95 x HALFU
-Traynor is a new umpire and so far has one of the highest SO rates and low era and I think today will be no different and Braves only hit lefties at .228 and have lost 5 in a row to them
Fading the UNDER in Yankees game....its time for an OVER with these two pitchers
YANKEES OVER 10.5 x HALF U - Severino the pinata vs Stroman the pinata who gave up a 6.00+ era in 3 rehab starts in DOUBLE AA 
..... yes he will be jacked up but I don't trust his stuff until he gains confidence as I know him well with the Jays...he becomes self destructive as a pitcher when he is getting hit and acts like a baby with his catcher shaking him off
JAYS - RED SOX - OVER 9.5 with JAYS parlay pays really well ...x HALF U
-Lauer has been on fire and crafty....really works well with Jays catchers
-Buehler has an 11.57 era in JUNE 
but has good numbers vs Jays and after yesterday, I expect a response by a fired up Jays team
LEAN Reds UNDER 9.5 but passing for now....
LEAN UNDER 8 in Houston game .... Astros have never hit a HR vs Taillon in over 70 ABs and this feels like a gritty game with Valdez on the mound too
Strong lean to SEATTLE with Castillo on the mound vs a leaking Jack Leiter.....
OVER 10 runs Angels - Nationals x HALF U
-warm and wind blowing to dead centre with two pitchers that give up runs
-check the scores in Angels home park through June....very high numbers in most games!
POUND THE DETROIT night game line -1.5 and play UNDER smaller ...cannot see who is umpire yet
- Twins have only hit .125 lifetime vs Skubal and wind blowing in....they have hit him for 3 solo HRs
- Paddack has been hit for a high avg vs Tigers but with cameras on, I expect great focus but not good enough to hold down a prodigious Tigers hitting machine
5-0 . 6- 1 score tonight ....Twins bullpen has been bleeding so I do not love the Over but absolutely am jumping on the -1.5 or -2.5 line as the day goes on
I WANT TO SEE WHO THE UMPIRE IS....
I am comfortable with taking TIGERS -1.5 +76 x 3U
UNDER 7.5 x 1U
TIGERS -2.5 x HALF U pays +210 just in case the UNDER gets out of hand and I think I can get all 3 plays in a 5 - 1 win
I am very comfortable with Skubal vs this Twins team who has been a little better, but otherwise seem to be wilting in the heat months .....
Sunday Plays: - Results
Play #1 Phillies +140 ML x 1U 
I am going to lay the UNDER 8 runs +95 x HALFU 
Fading the UNDER in Yankees game....its time for an OVER with these two pitchers OVER 10.5 x HALF U
JAYS - RED SOX - OVER 9.5 with JAYS parlay pays really well ...x HALF U 
...BUT happy with the win coming to town and wifey and I are heading to the $20 bar seats on Tuesday or Wednesday night!!! 
- Yankees in town I am am a 15-20 minute path bike ride to the stadium!! Or take the streetcar that comes out to our neighborhood right into beautiful lake downtown
LEAN Reds UNDER 9.5 but passing for now.... 
LEAN UNDER 8 in Houston game ....
Strong lean to SEATTLE with Castillo on the mound vs a leaking Jack Leiter..... TBD
OVER 10 runs Angels - Nationals x HALF U... TBD
-warm and wind blowing to dead centre with two pitchers that give up runs
-check the scores in Angels home park through June....very high numbers in most games!
------------LATE GAME PLAYS ----------
I am comfortable with taking TIGERS -1.5 +76 x 3U
UNDER 7.5 x 1U
TIGERS -2.5 x HALF U pays +210 just in case the UNDER gets out of hand and I think I can get all 3 plays in a 5 - 1 win
POUND THE DETROIT night game line -1.5 and play UNDER smaller ...cannot see who is umpire yet
- Twins have only hit .125 lifetime vs Skubal and wind blowing in....they have hit him for 3 solo HRs
- Paddack has been hit for a high avg vs Tigers but with cameras on, I expect great focus but not good enough to hold down a prodigious Tigers hitting machine
4 - 0 ATS/TOTALS today +2.5 U
0- 1 exotic bets
Have 2 sides and one exotic bet hanging here in the Detroit - Twins game ..... 2 - 0 Detroit in the 3rd and looking for a couple/few runs to build in the next few innings
+4U pending if this result holds.... presently with a 2-0 score in Detroit game..... it could be a big day for me if they hit my projected score
UPDATE ON STREAKS FOR MONDAY-TUESDAY GAMES:
*** UNDER STREAKS are becoming rare....I bet 3 OVERS today and was 3 - 0
LEFT HANDED pitching has been fairly dominant in the last while 11 - 6 on continuing streaks......
Lose vs Lefty starters > 2 games in a row (FADING is winning > 56% of the time)
Nationals lost their 2nd game in a row to a lefty >>> LOSE AGAIN to lefty > and AGAIN !
Giants continues loss streak toward next lefty?
Twins continues loss streak toward next lefty? >>> LOSE AGAIN to lefty >> Lost Sunday to best Lefty in the game right now
Texas continues loss streak toward next lefty? LOSE AGAIN !
Colorado continues loss streak toward next lefty? ( they are now 2 - 23 vs LEFTIES) > LOSE AGAIN Friday
Boston continues loss streak toward next lefty? LOSE AGAIN > 2 in a row back to back! / Lose Sunday again!
Oakland continues loss streak toward next lefty?
Cleveland continues loss streak toward next lefty?
Ch. Cubs continues loss streak toward next lefty?
UNDER STREAK (wins between 56 %)
White Sox 3 games
San Fran 3 games
***NEW***
OVER STREAKS
Miami 5 games*** extended 2x
Arizona 4 games*** extended
LA Angels 3 games
NY Mets 3 games
Nationals 3 games
Pirates 3 games
WIN STREAKS (winning between 56 %)
Miami 7 games*** extended 4x
***NEW***
St.Louis 3 games
Pittsburgh 3 games
LOSING STREAKS ( now winning over 56%)
San Fran 4 games*** extended
Cleveland 4 games*** extended
Arizona 4 games*** extended
***NEW***
NY Mets 3 games
Monday plays:
Play #1/1A Orioles ML +86 x HALF U / UNDER 8.5 x HALFU
-Corbin has a horrible record vs Baltimore and was hit hard on June 23 by them / Rogers has some nice numbers vs Texas
- Texas bullpen has moved into the TOP 5 in the league lately
-Texas has been losing their last few vs left handers
Play #2 - Zack Wheeler vs a knuckleballer Waldron -1.5 x 1 U +86 and 1U parlay ML with UNDER 9 now paying +160
-0.75 ERA in June for AND this Padres lineup has a .163 BA in over 90 ABs vs Wheeler.... I like the UNDER 8.5 in parlays that I am laying also in Proline
Play #3 - SF with Logan Webb +74 x 2U
-don't trust Ryne Nelson in a rivalry playoff type of game .....because both of these teams are in a dogfight in the wild card with the Brewers and Mets and anyone who jumps up
-Logan, you can count on when his team needs him and he demonstrates this with a BA vs Zona under 2.00 and only 1 HR given up in over 130 ABs....
SF with the #1 bullpen in baseball too....ZONA with the 3rd worst!!
Thanks Joe. Originality is what I strive for to find some angles so hopefully you can use them. I'm having my best MLB betting season in years and its because I become intimate with the current stats and collect them to analyze . Baseball is not so much an emotional angle betting sport usually so its fun to exploit something if you can find it. I find NBA,NHL and to some degree, NCAAF to be very much about emotional mindset of players and talent mix
Plays:
Jays- Yankees Under 7.5 x HALF U
- Eddings is notorious homer ump with low ERA last year and this year so I expect Jays pitchers to get calls to make this match stay Under the total
-Fried in blistering form during the day and away and has held Jays down over 50 ABs
-Gausman is best when the bright lights are on him and the team needs him and this game will be watched by millions on Canada day and New Yorkers
Marlins +1.5 runs +76 and Yankees +61 parlay x HALF U
-Marlins on 7 game win streak with a decent pitcher going against the bulldog Joe Ryan for the Twins.....total is 7.5 out of respect for Ryan but the Marlins bats in June are hitting almost .270 and I see this one being a tight one so take the plus runs!!
Under Texas - Baltimore 7.5 x HALF U
Forgot to send this but this is what I played.....Yankees are losing to the Jays 4 - 2. ...they rattled Fried!!
Play #1 - Tigers OVER 8 x HALF U ...just changed this because of pitching change to Flaherty now from lefty as I was betting
-Williams is a pinata
LEAN Cardinals with Sonny Gray pitching
LEAN Phillies with a fade on Pivetta whose era is ticking up and Phillies putting out a capable lefty on the mound
Jays + Yankees UNDER 9 x HALF U
-I want to bet Jays for the 3 game streak BUT...Warren has been very solid
-Berrios is on fire and the Jays catchers and braintrust have a real good plan for Yankees hitters
LEAN RED SOX OVER 9.5 - strong warm wind to dead centre and ball carries when so
-Bello now named starter and I think he is capable of a strong game but has been hit hard lately.... Martinez is hittable for the Reds ....still evaluating this one
My Play of the Day: Houston -1.5 +55 parlay with Dodgers ML +.29 PARLAY x 1U pays +100
-Dodgers unstoppable lately and Kershaw in a groove and Hunter Brown Cy Young chatter vs Gomber the pinata in Colorado with ASTROS stroking the ball well at the plate!
Trevor Williams aka Piñata!!!
My 2nd Play of the Day for me: Brewers Game 2 +83 ML x 2U
-young Brewer pitcher is electric and he is going against someone I have faded before for big cashin....he is the ultimate pinata throwin guy to chew up innings but he gives up a lot of hits and runs
-Brewers have been superb vs lefthanders!
-warm and wind blowing out to leftfield 
<< TIDWELL after the game
Established in 1995,
.... a little paradox for ya ! 
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