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Game of Streaks: Stats and Picks June - Oct

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Posted: #251

Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:

After AS game: Insta play > JAYS -1.5 vs the old man Verlander who is 0-7 ...he has little chance vs this potent batting lineup who are patient hitters so if Verlander tries to hit spots, Jays will hit him into oblivion looking for their pitch  +140 x 1U  Over 8.5 x HALF U ... Bassitt has been suspect for a month or so now    I am sure there might be more plays and looking into first game results last year after AS game ....stay tuned

 

By the way...that play for 1U is a runline -1.5

Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #252

After AS game:

 Insta play > JAYS -1.5 vs the old man Verlander who is 0-7 ...he has little chance vs this potent batting lineup who are patient hitters so if Verlander tries to hit spots, Jays will hit him into oblivion looking for their pitch 

+140 -1.5 x 1U   win

Over 8.5 x HALF U ... Bassitt has been suspect for a month or so now

an_burn_money BASSITT was good!!

Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #253

UPDATE ON STREAKS FOR SATURDAY GAMES:

 

LEFT HANDED pitching has been fairly dominant in the last while AND should continue....FADE the team FACING A LEFTY

 

Lose vs Lefty starters  (losing streaks extending over > 56% of the time)

Texas       continues a loss streak vs lefties (5 games and counting)

Arizona    continues a loss streak vs lefties (4 games and counting)

Tampa     continues a loss streak vs lefties (3 games and counting)

St.Louis  continues a loss streak vs lefties  (3 games and counting)

Tampa   continues a loss streak vs lefties  (3 games and counting)

Oakland    starts loss streak vs lefties (2 games and counting)

Nationals  start loss streak vs lefties (2 losses and counting)

Toronto   start loss streak vs lefties ( 2 losses and counting)

Yankees   start loss streak vs lefties  (2 losses and counting)

 

UNDER STREAK (wins under 54.5 % now and extending less UNDER streaks/rarer) 

Boston  4 games 

Colorado  4 games

 

OVER STREAKS  (keeps improving extending streaks! 54.5% now)

St Louis     5 games*** extended 

Nationals   5 games*** extended

Atlanta      4 games  

 

WIN STREAKS (reversing now to above  55 %  extending streaks!) 

Milwaukee  8 games*** extended  4x

 Seattle        4 games 

 

LOSING STREAKS ( steady > 56% extending streaks )

Nationals     5 games*** extended

Detroit         5 games*** extended  

 

Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #254

Plays for Saturday:

Play #1 - Toronto ML +100 x 1U

-SF needs a strong outing from Logan Webb but the Jays have hit him well before and they are strong hitters at home

-weather is going to be sunny, dry and warm or a perfect day of around 80F

-SF has the negative hitting trifecta tomorrow > poor vs lefties, day games and on the road 

-Lauer is a very effective pitcher for the Jays and Toronto's defense is excellent 

Play #2 - UNDER 8 runs +100 x HALF U >> 5 - 2 type of game at most ...SF #1 bullpen and Toronto #7

 

Play #3 - Angels ML +115 x HALF U

- Angels are becoming a solid young team and got a chance to watch them closely when they came to Toronto

- Kikuchi is strong in this situation and vs the Phillies

-Walker has been beaten up by the Angels who seem to love playing National League teams, and in general AL seems to win most series vs National league with some exceptions

3 of last 10 games has been high scoring for Phillies and Angels can jump on Walker and an iffy Phillies bullpen

 

Play #4 - more great value - Ch. White Sox with Adrian Houser x 1U 

-Burrows for Pitt has been a pinata big time with the heat season... 8 ERA in June and over 40 ERA in July so far 

-Houser is a machine...tough tough pitcher who is very smart setting up hitters and the Pirates are meh at the plate

 

Play #5 - Cubs - Boston Under 9 x HALF U << not official yet but love it...checking wind in the morning

-Bello with a very strong outing vs Cubs before...was unhittable almost 

-Imanga will tie knots in this free swinging impatient hitting Red Sox team

-Both teams trending a lot of Unders lately

 

Parlay > Brewers ML with Under 8.5 runs x HALF U pays over +1U payout (good risk with two strong pitchers in control)

 

 

 

Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
Covers Rehab
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Posted: #255

@Last2thirst

 clover

 
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Posted: #256

Quote Originally Posted by FelixFermin21:

@Last2thirst

Thanks Felix an_cheers

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Posted: #257

ALL -STAR BREAK *** Team/Division Streak Analysis

American League (extended streaks past 2 in a row games)

Boston +24   

Yankees +23

Jays   +22

Orioles +6

Tampa  -5   << a team to bet against streaks continuing past 2 games 

 

Each Team's Specialty:

Boston > extending win streaks (20 - 10) and extending losing streaks (14 - 6)

NYY > extending OVER streaks (18 - 7) and extending UNDER streaks (19 - 9) 

Toronto > extending win streaks (21 - 11) and extending UNDER streaks (16 - 8)

Orioles > extending UNDER streaks (17 - 10) 

T-Bay > none 

 

Best at handling Lefthand starters according to my records > Toronto (16 - 10), Yankees (16 - 12), Tampa (17 - 13)

 

 

 

Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #258

ALL -STAR BREAK *** Team/Division Streak Analysis

AL Central (extended streaks past 2 in a row games)

KC Royals   +20 

Cleveland   +13

Twins         +8 

Detroit       +7

CWS          +6

 

Each Team's Specialty:

KC > > extending win streaks (13 - 4) and extending UNDER streaks (18 - 11)

Clev. > extending losing streaks (17 - 11) and extending UNDERS streaks (16 - 9)

Minn > none 

Det > extending OVER streaks (16 - 9)

CWS > extending losing streaks (27 - 6)

 

Best at handling Lefthand starters according to my records > Detroit  (23 - 7), KC  (14 - 11)

*** ALL other teams in the Central are terrible vs Lefthanded starters (32 - 55 combined!)

Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #259

Play #1 - Toronto ML +100 x 1U win

 

Play #2 - UNDER 8 runs +100 x HALF U  an_burn_money

 

Play #3 - Angels ML +115 x HALF U  an_burn_money

 

 

Play #4 - more great value - Ch. White Sox with Adrian Houser x 1U  win

 

 

Play #5 - Cubs - Boston Under 9 x HALF U  moneybag

 

Parlay > Brewers ML with Under 8.5 runs x HALF U pays over +1U payout (good risk with two strong pitchers in control)

......STILL TO COME

Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #260

ALL -STAR BREAK *** Team/Division Streak Analysis

AL West (extended streaks past 2 in a row games)

Texas         +13 

Seattle       +9

Oakland     +2 

LAA           +2

Houston     -4  

 

Each Team's Specialty:  *** there is only one team in this whole division with a definitive streak specialty!

Texas > extending UNDER streaks  (20 - 11)

 

Best at handling Lefthand starters according to my records > Houston   (15 - 4), Seattle  (16 - 13)

*** ALL other teams in the West are average to below avg. vs Lefthanded starters (30 - 41 combined!)

 

 

That's it for a summary for the American League....will summarize NL divisions in the next couple of days

Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #261

Concerning Lefties:

TEAMS THAT HAVE GREAT RECORDS vs LEFTY starters

1. Detroit   23 - 7

2. Brewers  23 - 11

3. Houston   15 - 4

4. Toronto    16 - 10

 

POOR RECORD vs LEFTY starters:

1. Colorado    4 - 29

2. Twins        8 - 17

3. Texas        8 - 16

4. Nationals   11 - 23

5. Atlanta      11 - 19

Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #262

Nothing else matters except for the night game, to make money!!

 

-Eovaldi in scorching form in July and always at home/night

-Skubal is one of the most dominant pitchers in the game and huge audience watching 

-umpires love to call things loose for the pitchers on Sunday nights the majority of the time especially with big tv audience

-Rangers the best overall defense/not a hitters park and Tigers scuffling for runners since break facing an alpha pitcher themselves an_tongueout ....and according to my analysis....Rangers are 8 - 16 vs lefty starters and Tigers are angling for a win so this one is going to be a very tight/focused game

 

UNDER 7 runs x 4U  

 

Will look for other plays but this is a nice spot to press

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Covers Rehab
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Posted: #263

@Last2thirst

 BOL on Rangers under!!

clover

 
Prospect
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Posted: #264

@Last2thirst

 Check the lineup; I don't think Eovaldi is pitching tonight.

peace_5

 
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Posted: #265

UPDATE ON STREAKS FOR SUNDAY-MONDAY GAMES:

 LEFT HANDED pitching has been fairly dominant in the last while AND should continue....FADE the team FACING A LEFTY

*** WINNING STREAKS heating up ....some 2nd half movers starting.... JAYS - YANKEES series next in Toronto ...OH MY!!! Both teams heating up!

 

Lose vs Lefty starters  (losing streaks extending over > 56% of the time)

Texas       continues a loss streak vs lefties (5 games and counting)

Arizona    continues a loss streak vs lefties (4 games and counting)

Tampa     continues a loss streak vs lefties (3 games and counting)

St.Louis  continues a loss streak vs lefties  (3 games and counting)

Tampa   continues a loss streak vs lefties  (3 games and counting)

Nationals  start loss streak vs lefties (2 losses and counting)

Toronto   start loss streak vs lefties ( 2 losses and counting)

San Fran  start loss streak vs lefties  (2 losses and counting)

 

UNDER STREAK (wins under 54.5 % now and extending less UNDER streaks/rarer) 

Boston  5 games*** extended 

Cubs       4 games  

 

OVER STREAKS  (keeps improving extending streaks! 54.5% now)

St Louis     6 games*** extended  2x

Atlanta      5 games*** extended   

 

WIN STREAKS (reversing now to above  55 %  extending streaks!) 

Milwaukee  9 games*** extended  5x

Seattle       5 games*** extended 

Cincy          4 games

Cubs           4 games 

Miami         4 games 

 

LOSING STREAKS ( steady > 56% extending streaks )

Detroit         6 games*** extended  2x

San Fran       4 games 

Orioles          4 games  

 

Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #266

Quote Originally Posted by Xdoge:

@Last2thirst  Check the lineup; I don't think Eovaldi is pitching tonight.

 

I WILL!! THANK YOU!! an_cheers

....I've had my nose in data all morning and early afternoon so I appreciate bud

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Posted: #267

I just BOUGHT OUT 2U on the OVER 7 @+90 because Jacob Latz is showing on my BET365 as the starter

-I figure they want to use their bullpen a little more since they have had a lot of time off.....rest Eovaldi a little more?

- LATZ has let Tigers hit him 2 for 6 in his career with no RBIs or HRs

 

**I am still confident in this play since TEXAS is the #3 BULLPEN in baseball ! I would like 7.5 to be safe

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Legend
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Posted: #268

GL clover on your plays @Last2thirst peace_5

 

What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!
 
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Posted: #269

Parlay > Twins ML with Houston +1.5 runline pays +110 x HALF U

-Ryan completely dominates Colorado in the past and the Twins have to get going here....

-Brown hasn't been great the last 2 games BUT ....he has limited Seattle to a low BA and 0 HRs in over 100 ABs!!

 

UNDER SEATTLE 6.5 x 1U 

 

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Posted: #270

UPDATE ON STREAKS FOR SUNDAY-MONDAY GAMES:

 

*** BIG SERIES MONDAY... JAYS - YANKEES series next in Toronto ...OH MY!!! Both teams heating up! Yankees swept 4 games by Toronto recently an_speechless

- TRUTHFULLY ...if the Yankees did their homework on the Jays...we will see them aggressive in the strike zone on the first 2 pitches, or after the first pitch..... JAYS BATTER PATIENCE drove the Yankees nuts and so I guarantee you their hitters and coaching staff spent a ton of time in the film room during AS Break circling this series to get even with the Jays....I will likely be fading the Jays and doing more UNDERS ...its being played in Toronto and COOL AIR coming in and dome will be opened (beautiful sunny skies)

-Jays strong vs lefties >> game #1 is Rodon vs Gausman << he gets hit hard by the Yankees a lot!

RODON with very good numbers vs the Blue Jays!

 

Lose vs Lefty starters  (losing streaks extending over > 56% of the time)

Texas       continues a loss streak vs lefties (5 games and counting)  << To Be Updated tomorrow (likely vs Skubal)

Arizona    continues a loss streak vs lefties (4 games and counting)

Tampa   continues a loss streak vs lefties  (4 games and counting)  << LOSS

Tampa     continues a loss streak vs lefties (3 games and counting)

St.Louis  continues a loss streak vs lefties  (3 games and counting)

Nationals  start loss streak vs lefties (2 losses and counting)

San Fran  start loss streak vs lefties  (2 losses and counting)

 

UNDER STREAK (wins under 54.5 % now and extending less UNDER streaks/rarer) 

Boston  6 games*** extended  2x

Cubs     5 games*** extended  

 

OVER STREAKS  (keeps improving extending streaks! 54.5% now)

St Louis     6 games*** extended  2x  

Cleveland   4 games 

 

WIN STREAKS (reversing now to above  55 %  extending streaks!) 

Milwaukee  10 games*** extended  6x

Arizona     4 games 

 

LOSING STREAKS ( steady > 56% extending streaks )

Detroit         6 games*** extended  2x

San Fran       5 games*** extended  

 

FUEGO TEAMS:

1. Milwaukee   (10 - 0) 

2. Cleveland    (8 - 2)

3. Boston        (8 - 2)

 

Cold:   Pirates  1 - 9  ...... Dodgers  2 - 8 .....  Nationals  2 - 8 

 

Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #271

+2.5 UNIT DAY an_cheers .... National League Streak Data coming soon....just cleaning/organizing my charts. I am shocked I have kept this up and wonder if I can with NCAAF FOOTBALL around the corner but that is why I am organizing the chart so I can input a lot quicker and get data out

 

Lots of people posting they appreciate the data and that puts a smile on my face honestly. I am retired and doing data is good for my brain.... I do horse racing as well and working in major Euro Soccer patterns too....think I have stumbled upon a good pattern in the Premier League in England...working on Spain next

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Posted: #272

ALL -STAR BREAK *** Team/Division Streak Analysis

National League (EAST) (extended streaks past 2 in a row games)

Nationals +29   

Atlanta    +9

Miami     +9

NY Mets  +8

Phillies    +2

 

Each Team's Specialty:

Washington > extending losing streaks (20 - 10) and extending OVER streaks (23 - 8)

Atlanta > extending losing streaks (14 - 7)

Miami > extending win streaks (19 - 11) 

NY Mets > extending win streaks (17 - 9) 

Phillies > none 

 

Best at handling Lefthand starters according to my records > NY Mets (18 - 14)

The rest of the Division vs Lefties = 53 - 78 >> Nationals are 11 - 23

Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #273

ALL -STAR BREAK *** Team/Division Streak Analysis

National League (Central) (extended streaks past 2 in a row games)

Pirates +14   

Brewers +12

Cincy    +11

St.Louis  +2

Ch Cubs  - 8 << generally not much of a streaky team

 

Each Team's Specialty

Pittsburgh > extending losing streaks (21 - 13) and extending UNDER streaks (22 - 12)

Milwaukee > extending win streaks (23 - 9)

Cincy > extending win streaks (16 - 8) 

 

Cubs and Cardinals > with no definitive specialty with streaks

 

Best at handling Lefthand starters according to my records > Milwaukee (23 - 11)

The rest of the Division vs Lefties = 61 - 82 >>

Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #274

Games I am playing Monday:

Cubs Under 7.5 x HALF U

-good young pitchers on the mound and strong wind blowing in from centrefield

 

I want to bet the Yankees but cannot pull the trigger at only +83.... I don't get how they are favorite with Toronto in 1st place and on a 10 game home winning streak (JUST GONNA WATCH AND ENJOY!)

 

TBH...I don't like the prices I am seeing from Vegas...they have stripped downs some plays too low ML and I would rather not just reach for those at those prices

Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
 
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Posted: #275

Give me my fave bulldog pitcher to watch > Zack Wheeler!!

Phillies -1.5 +86 x HALF U vs a pukey Walker Buehler witt stratospheric era on the road /away and in heat months 

Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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