🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵

So I decided to pass on TIGGERS...

They won 8 - 0

Quote Originally Posted by TheVigPodcast:

@TheVigPodcast

BoL with your bets tomorrow! 

And once again PIRATES backers because they saw SKENES on the mound, LOSE again 

 Which it did stay under, as suggested  ...  8 - 0 

And once again anyone with a brain saw Skenes on the mound laying ridiculous odds and hammered the Reds.

"Playin' solitaire til dawn, with a deck of fifty-one..."

3 - 5  Monday
5 - 7  Tuesday
4 - 2  Humping Day
2 - 1  Thursday
4 - 3  Friday

I won't bet or recommend specifically this because it's an under but the Hou/Det game seems like a fair chance at staying under 9.0 again today but the juice isn't worth it

@fubah2

 Smoking cigarettes and watching Captain kangaroo 

@countrybob

 And don't tell me  I've nothing to !

I show a positive edge for Detroit today of about 0.6 runs edge to 1.0 runs edge....approx....However, my statistics indicate for that size edge I need  LOWER juice, down in the high teens or very low 20's MAX! .... Best I see is -130 so I'll stick to my capping rules and have to PASS.

@fubah2

 I took the Astros TT Under, thanks for the tip! Any Under leans today? BOL!

I show a very small edge for BoSox, whatwith the Yankees apparent batting slump.....but I need a better line sothis will go to live play for a possible bet....maybe....

Cinci/Pitts looks interesting.....I have it as a virtual coin-flipper, though tempted to go with Pirates if the PLUS $$$ would climb more....

Mind you this game looks like it will be headed for a long rain delay...

2 good ump bias's plays today.  mets over 9(ump 12-4 on overs) (i missed the 8.5) and angels over 8.5 (ump 8-3 on overs)

There is a big under ump 12-2 on kc but i wont play unders, 1 team can always screw it up

Good luck today Fubah

p.s. ump in cleveland game is 11-4 to home teams and ump in mil ]game is 12-3 on home teams.  You gotta like the home team to start with on those plays, but if you do, its added security with homer umps

@cd329

TY for the info!....but in the Mets case, my capping suggests an under 9.0 may have a better chance, sim to yesterday, despite the ump tendancies.....maybe ....    

Assuming no starter implodes, I have the Mets game figured for a best fit range of 6.6 to 8.8 total runs...

None so far but I'm still capping as we speak and only partway thru the sched...

@fubah2

Bobby WITT has returned to the KC lineup........BEST batter!.....hitless last night but that won't last long

Didn't bet nor suggest.....but 7 runs already and only in the 3rd!  THAT is why I hate UNDERS...

June 27:

     HOT STREAK WARNING! 

                                    BURNS,  Cinci

           This STARTER is riding a tenuous  12-game  HOT STREAK, 

                       WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET! 

           ...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!!             

Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long" especially AFTER 7 straight w/o a "bad outing"....All GOOD pitchers will, from time to time, have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again.    Best to avoid!

CAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" doesn't guarantee his team will lose! It just seriously weakens their chances! But his team's bats could come thru with a lot of runs to save the day.....maybe!   You decide.

If I bet unders (which I won't) I would be LEANING to Wash/Balt under 9.0, provided low juice though not suggesting anyone take it...

Agree you have to look at all the info combined.

Thing with the umps, especially ones with big bias's they are putting lots of hitters on base and causing the starters to work harder, giving both teams more chances for scoring.  But sometimes even the ump bias cant overcome some really good pitching