🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵

June 26:

     HOT STREAK WARNING! 

                                    ABBOTT,  Cinci

           This STARTER is riding a tenuous  9-game  HOT STREAK, 

                       WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET! 

           ...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!!             

Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long" especially AFTER 7 straight w/o a "bad outing"....All GOOD pitchers will, from time to time, have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again.    Best to avoid!

CAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" doesn't guarantee his team will lose! It just seriously weakens their chances! But his team's bats could come thru with a lot of runs to save the day.....maybe!   You decide.

If not for the two separate caveates I posted, the way I have the Cinci/PITTY game capped shows Pitty with a modest 0.7 run edge.....not nearly enough an edge to justify heavy juice on Pitty. 

And that assumes neither starter implodes on the mound tonight...

Strong PASS!

Pirates awful vs LH 

Pirates lost last 7 Skenes starts

Good value on Reds whether ML or RL

I show TIGGERS with a very small +0.3 run edge

I show Tex/TORO as a coin-flipper

PASS

Fubah, no big umpire bias today. So we cant double team a play today

Good luck MY Friend

@cd329

 Thanks lol

@cd329

 OK..... Do keep us informed when it arises 

THANK GOD it's FRIDAY!

Washy +121 @pinn "value bet"    ...50/50 shot; true dead-even, coin-flipper

Tampa -128 @pinn  *BB

Tampa 1st5 -136 @pinn *BB 

While I put more emphasis on OFFENSES than pitching, there is what seems to be a fairly large mismatch on the mound tonight, favoring MARTINEZ over Gallen.  And with Zona being weak against righties while TAMPA is very strong against righties - I also show a SOLID edge for Tampa at the plate as well.....Zona gets a small edge with bullpens in the latter innings, perhaps... Net Tampa edge is ~1.60 runs......I hope, but won't play the -RL on a home team here...

Philly -150 @pinn   *BB

Colorado +158 @pinn   "value bet"   

...50/50 shot; true coin-flipper!   Not expected to win, but . . . 

@fubah2

OMG!  Skenes has allowed 7 baserunners and 4 ER in the first 2 innings! 

Pirates closed as -181 home favs..........again with a Skenes start...

If this goes down as a bad outing by the end of the game, and this seems likely unless he pitches past the 7th, then Skenes will have started 17 games and pitched only 4 bad performances...

            13 - 4    is AWESOME! 

But the Pirates TEAM has some question marks to be sure....

KC/CWS ov 8.0 -143 alt-total@pinn  *BB  

With  "THE MIZ" waaaaaaaaaaaay overdue for a "BAD outing" I am passing.

Cubs bats have revived themselves lately scoring 70 in just 9 games!!

Posted by fubah2     Washy +121  "value bet"     Tampa -128   *BB       Tampa 1st5 -136  *BB        Philly -150    *BB                                         Colorado +158   "value bet"             KC/CWS ov 8.0 -143 alt-total *BB                 hope that is about right

@fubah2

 !!

Well wasn't thinking I would win this one in the 3rd inning but I'm pleased 

@fubah2

Not sure what I'm missing here but I have the ANGELS with better rpg and a better starter, for roughly a +0.8 run edge at home...Of course anything can happen in baseball...

ANGELS +101 @pinn  *BB

Thank GOD it's Friday, June 26:

 L   Washy +121 "value bet" ...coin-flipper
W  Tampa  -128      *BB
W  Tampa 1st5 -136 *BB
W  Phillies -150        *BB
W  KC/CWS ov 8.0 -143 *BB
pending... Colorado +158 "value bet" ...coin-flipper
pending... ANGELS +101 @pinn *BB