OHTANI
In his first 10 starts on the mound this season, 9 of them he held the opponent to 1 run or less, and one game to 2 ER - keeping opps to no more than 5 hits in all 10 starts! - for an awesome 0.74 ERA 
.....although Dodgers were only 6 - 4 in those games; not particularly good 
considering their HUGE advantage on the mound!....
suggests any odds favoring LAD by more than -145 might NOT be logically justified 
when win% expectation might only be 60% in his starts (only 50% recently while allowing 6 hits then 7 hits!)
But since then, LAD are 1 - 1 as Ohtani allowed 3 ER and then 4 ER last time out
Of OHTANI's 12 starts only 1 was against a team with a TOP 10 RPG offense (Pitts ranked #5) and they LOST that game 8 - 9!
Of his other 11 starts he faced almost all sub-par/weak offenses:
ranked #13 Hou
ranked #16 TB
ranked #18 Miami
ranked #20 AZ
ranked #22 Toro
ranked #24 SF x 2
ranked #26 Mets
ranked #28 Cleve
ranked #30 Padres
ranked #15 Colo *but numbers obviously inflated by Coors Field
I have nothing against the man...I cheer for him!! Hope he does very well!!
Dodgers too!! It's just that we must all be reminded that the game odds ALWAYS over-value any top rated starter plus teams like NYY and LAD. Remember Paul Skenes?! The fact that a starter is very good and likely to pitch very well DOES NOT MEAN THE TEAM WINS THE BET FOR YOU!
Very often they still lose and at HIGH ODDS!!!! Be careful...
....6 losses for devastating 
Assad/McLean 
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