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🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵

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Legend
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Posted: #5401

Monday, June 08:

an_police  an_blowhorn   HOT STREAK WARNING! an_speechless

 

                                    SANCHEZ,  Phillies

 

           This STARTER is riding a tenuous  8-game  HOT STREAK, an_lightening

                       WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET! 

           ...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!! an_nailbiter an_speechless an_getaway          

 

Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long" especially AFTER 7 straight w/o a "bad outing"....All GOOD pitchers will, from time to time, have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again.  CAN NOT be avoided. an_shake Best to avoid!

 

an_lightCAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" doesn't guarantee his team will lose! It just seriously weakens their chances! But his team's bats could come thru with a lot of runs to save the day.....maybe!   You decide.

 
Legend
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Posted: #5402

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

And MIKOLAS is on the mound for the NATS to face these revived GIANTS.

surprised His ERA is 6.39 with a weak 1.40 WHIP stat.

In his last 4 starts, all losses, the NATS team yielded:    7,     3,    5,     7  

 

And tonight's Wash/SF game total is set at 8.

 

cool  You make da call . . . 

Lefty LOVELADY will start before handing bulk relief to Mikolas....

 
Legend
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Posted: #5403

Breeze blowing  OUT to center is a bit stronger than usual for a night game at Oracle

 

Wash/SF ov 7 -178  @pinn *BB   ...my capping shows a likely range of 7.2 to 10.6 runs

Wash/SF ov 8 -110  @SIA      fingershake not a *BB at this integer 

 

 

Both teams to score 2+ runs?  YES -235 @SIA  *BB   ...projecting 4+ each

 
MVP
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Posted: #5404

@fubah2

 clover

 
Legend
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Posted: #5405

Quote Originally Posted by OO7CRUSHER:

@fubah2

clover

TY and Bol with YOUR bets tonight! thumbs_up

 
Captain
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Posted: #5406

@fubah2

 With him sir it has not much to do with luck well maybe a shred id say but mostly through hard work and dedication then studying his craft then capitalizes on it then goes out and let's every body win with him That's a true gentleman that needs to be rewarded for all his work but nobody wants that its a shame.

The King Legend of the now. 

Just my humble opinion

Mr Evil.
 
Legend
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Posted: #5407

The Brewers face A's in Vegas (not Sacramento)

It is warm, 90 degrees and the wind AT GAMETIME is expected to be around 15 out to center but will subside slightly to 13 by the end of the game

 

This AAA ballpark is generally considered a "hitter's park" in part because the heat helps carry the ball slightly.

 
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Posted: #5408

LIVE Guardians +129

 
Legend
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Posted: #5409

Uggghhh....here comes REGGRESSION again......

My 4 early game bets are ALL in trouble...sad

 
Legend
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Posted: #5410

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Uggghhh....here comes REGGRESSION again...... My 4 early game bets are ALL in trouble...

YEP, looks like my NYY/CLV under 8.5  is already toast  angry

 
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Posted: #5411

Quote Originally Posted by NetProfit2023:

LIVE Guardians +129

 

LIVE Mariners Orioles OVER 7.5 +148

 Brewers Team Total 6.5 +112

 
Legend
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Posted: #5412

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Yankees  +113 @pinn  "value bet" ... I show NYY with +0.3 run edge; 52% to win

Cinci  +120 @pinn  "value bet"    ... I show Cinci with about a 53% chance to win

 

Only thing to hurt this is if PADRES choose tonight to break out of their chronic, month-long batting slump, OR Abbott (LEFTY) has an unexpected implosion on the mound vs the WORST battng team in MLB, let alone the weakest in MLB facing lefties........ Still, that said, it could happen.  We know it has to sooner or later and tonight could be the night the Padres surge! an_eek2

 
Legend
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Posted: #5413

NATS getting a lot of PLUS $$$  is a close call, but falls just short of a "value bet" yielding about -0.4 run edge to Giants,  so it is no play for me......close, but no cigarillos on Washy....

If YOU are on them, BoL! 

 
Legend
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Posted: #5414

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

NYY/CLV  un 8.5 -140  alt@pinn

BIG FAT LOSER of course....I hate unders!!! an_smash

 
Legend
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Posted: #5415

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Uggghhh....here comes REGRESSION again...... My 4 early game bets are ALL in trouble...

 

Houston -119 @pinn   *BB    ...I have Astros with roughly a +1.2 run edge

 
Legend
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Posted: #5416

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Uggghhh....here comes REGRESSION again...... My 4 early game bets are ALL in trouble...   Houston -119 @pinn   *BB    ...I have Astros with roughly a +1.2 run edge

Brewskies -149 @pinn  *BB     ...largest edge of the day, estimated +1.6 runs

 
Legend
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Posted: #5417

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

BoSox -106 @pinn                    ....very modest +0.8 run edge, I think

 

BIG FAT LOSER 

 
Legend
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Posted: #5418

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Seattle -120 @pinn     CLOSE CALL on this one; just modest +0.7 run edge, maybe?

 

6 - 3  WINNER! 

 

I need a YANKEE win to avoid going 1 - 3 on the early games...

 
Legend
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Posted: #5419

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Seattle -120 @pinn     CLOSE CALL on this one; just modest +0.7 run edge, maybe?   6 - 3  WINNER!    I need a YANKEE win to avoid going 1 - 3 on the early games...

Got my YANKEE winner  7 - 5.....

And I may need that so I don't lose EVERYTHING tonight....sad ...not looking encouraging AT ALL....

 
Legend
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Posted: #5420

There is scoring in every late game on the board, except one......that's the one in which I thought would have the most runs already by the 4th inning.....and they have  a BIG FAT 0

 
Legend
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Posted: #5421

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Over the last 30 days (27 games), the  RED HOT San Francisco GIANTS have scored more runs than all other teams in MLB, 149, for a mean avg of 5.5 rpg.   And a whopping 6.80 rpg in past 10 games (3 series)    Huge turnaround from their opening first 39 games, where they scored only 123 runs for a pathetic 3.15 rpg.  But the recent 30 games is no fluke...  

Tonight they face the #3 highest scoring team ON THE ROAD (NATS, 5.38 rpg!)  

And MIKOLAS is on the mound for the NATS to face these revived GIANTS.  

His ERA is 6.39 with a weak 1.40 WHIP stat.

In his last 4 starts, all losses, the NATS team yielded:    7,     3,    5,     7    

And tonight's Wash/SF game total is set at 8.     You make da call . . .

Of course, with that analysis, this game is now destined to stay waaaay under.

I had figured that by the end of the 5th inning we would see 2+ runs each already

Nope.           Of course not.

Reminds me of the NFL. EVERY TIME I did a writeup for the forum, it LOST!

 
Legend
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Posted: #5422

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

 

 

Brewskies -149 @pinn  *BB     ...largest edge of the day, estimated +1.6 runs

 

All for not, as HARRISON (a good starter!!)  implodes on the mound, allowing 8 on base and 7 ER in just 2.1 ip

 

So there goes that *Best Bet... an_burn_money

 
Legend
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Posted: #5423

That Brewers game may land 20
I don’t think you’re dead yet

i’m just hoping to escape with the first five

 
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Posted: #5424

Quote Originally Posted by NetProfit2023:

Quote Originally Posted by NetProfit2023: LIVE Guardians +129   LIVE Mariners Orioles OVER 7.5 +148  Brewers Team Total 6.5 +112

2-1

9-5-1- +4.49

 
 
Legend
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Posted: #5425

Quote Originally Posted by LVTruck:

That Brewers game may land 20I don’t think you’re dead yet i’m just hoping to escape with the first five

 

Ah well....it was fun for awhile......Checking out Tuesday's games...

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