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🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵

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fubah2

Legend

Joined: Aug, 2012

Posts: 54744

Posted: May. 25, 2026 - 8:34 PM ET #4751

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Rangers -116 @pinn *BB my TEXAS bet was made when the lineup card showed that JUNG was probable. He is their TOP BAT vs righties, and now I learn he is out.....which likely reduces RANGERS run production significantly - almost close to minus a run.... Yeesh. I dunno now.... Trying to decide what to do, as this doesn't look to be such a great play anymore... ....and sure enough TEXAS already trails in the first inning And it looks like they are about to BOTCH a gift of 3 walks and leave the 1st inning still down 0 - 1 Had I known their TOP BATTER vs righties would be OUT tonight, I dunno this would even make a bet - and certainly NOT a *BestBet! This just underscores the wisdom to wait to confirm lineups shortly before gametimes.

They trail by 0 - 4 after 5 ip.......

Never would have been a bet....... angry

ZipYourLib

Prospect

Joined: Aug, 2024

Posts: 426

Posted: May. 25, 2026 - 8:56 PM ET #4752

@countrybob

Never wager more than 2%, 5 to 10% of your Bankroll on any certain game or play..

If it don't make Dollars it don't make Cents

fubah2

Legend

Joined: Aug, 2012

Posts: 54744

Posted: May. 25, 2026 - 9:03 PM ET #4753

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Rangers -116 @pinn *BB my TEXAS bet was made when the lineup card showed that JUNG was probable. He is their TOP BAT vs righties, and now I learn he is out.....which likely reduces RANGERS run production significantly - almost close to minus a run.... Yeesh. I dunno now.... Trying to decide what to do, as this doesn't look to be such a great play anymore... ....and sure enough TEXAS already trails in the first inning And it looks like they are about to BOTCH a gift of 3 walks and leave the 1st inning still down 0 - 1 Had I known their TOP BATTER vs righties would be OUT tonight, I dunno this would even make a bet - and certainly NOT a *BestBet! This just underscores the wisdom to wait to confirm lineups shortly before gametimes. They trail by 0 - 4 after 5 ip.......

Never would have been a bet.......

TEXAS will not make a comeback to win..... no way

fubah2

Legend

Joined: Aug, 2012

Posts: 54744

Posted: May. 25, 2026 - 9:10 PM ET #4754

I have Dodgers (Muncy OUT!!!) for a full run edge over Rockies

but that is not near enough to justify -300 odds! an_speechless

fubah2

Legend

Joined: Aug, 2012

Posts: 54744

Posted: May. 25, 2026 - 10:37 PM ET #4755

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Rangers -116 @pinn *BB my TEXAS bet was made when the lineup card showed that JUNG was probable. He is their TOP BAT vs righties, and now I learn he is out.....which likely reduces RANGERS run production significantly - almost close to minus a run.... Yeesh. I dunno now.... Trying to decide what to do, as this doesn't look to be such a great play anymore... ....and sure enough TEXAS already trails in the first inning And it looks like they are about to BOTCH a gift of 3 walks and leave the 1st inning still down 0 - 1 Had I known their TOP BATTER vs righties would be OUT tonight, I dunno this would even make a bet - and certainly NOT a *BestBet! This just underscores the wisdom to wait to confirm lineups shortly before gametimes. They trail by 0 - 4 after 5 ip....... Never would have been a bet....... TEXAS will not make a comeback to win..... no way

1 - 2 today.

But on the flip side, despite my regression, there is some very good news:

I was seriously considering NYY, Giants, Cleveland, Padres, and Blew-it Jays

4 of those 5 were destined to LOSE... but I passed! an_2drinks

fubah2

Legend

Joined: Aug, 2012

Posts: 54744

Posted: May. 26, 2026 - 12:25 AM ET #4756

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

MEMORIAL DAY

"Because they stand on a wall, and say,

'Nothing's gonna hurt you tonight. Not on my watch!' "

Assessing pitching by ERA ? confused

So, how did it go Monday for teams that had the starter on the mound with the SIGNIFICANTLY better ERA?

Cubs LOST ( Brown)
Tampa LOST (McClanahan)
Twins LOST (Matthews)
Brewers WON (the MIZ)
Royals LOST (Wacha)
Mets LOST (McLean)
Giants LOST (Roupp)
Cleveland LOST (Bibee)
Padres LOST (Vasquez)
Texas LOST (Rocker)
Toronto LOST (Yesavage)
Dodgers WON (Sheehan)
Sacramento LOST (Civale)

2 wins, 11 losses by the superior ERA starters

ZipYourLib

Prospect

Joined: Aug, 2024

Posts: 426

Posted: May. 26, 2026 - 12:34 AM ET #4757

@fubah2

Well, I suppose at first glance, it would be one of those things that cycle through and can happen, yet that many in one bloody day though..?!? an_speechless

If it don't make Dollars it don't make Cents

Moose6836

Captain

Joined: Mar, 2006

Posts: 5731

Posted: May. 26, 2026 - 6:51 AM ET #4758

Take twins to win today/series as well series over Pittsburgh-once they get over .500 look out!!!

PAZ

Veteran

Joined: Jan, 2006

Posts: 1368

Posted: May. 26, 2026 - 7:25 AM ET #4759

@Moose6836

Put the crack pipe down.

No pitching especially the bullpen blows

fubah2

Legend

Joined: Aug, 2012

Posts: 54744

Posted: May. 26, 2026 - 9:46 AM ET #4760

It's true that TWINKIES pen has struggled this year, though not too bad the past 3 games.....however the 3 worst overall (home/away combined) for the season so far appear to be

Angels

Cinci

St.Louis

*Note: both Colorado and Sacramento A's have very poor numbers as well but at least part of those would be due to their home venues, not necessarily bad relief pitching there.

fubah2

Legend

Joined: Aug, 2012

Posts: 54744

Posted: May. 26, 2026 - 10:46 AM ET #4761

Curious stat . . .

the Dodgers have not played in ANY extra-inning games thus far

fubah2

Legend

Joined: Aug, 2012

Posts: 54744

Posted: May. 26, 2026 - 11:06 AM ET #4762

PADRES played a soft sched to begin the season and went 17 - 8

Since then - vs tougher opps - they are 14 - 14

fubah2

Legend

Joined: Aug, 2012

Posts: 54744

Posted: May. 26, 2026 - 11:14 AM ET #4763

May 18 the Amazing Mets scored 11 runs in extra innings

after only scoring 5 thru 9 innings surprised

fubah2

Legend

Joined: Aug, 2012

Posts: 54744

Posted: May. 26, 2026 - 11:49 AM ET #4764

At HOME, the Amazing Mets have scored 104 runs across 25 home games for a mean avg of 4.16 rpg

But . . .

they were FORTUNATE to gain 9 runs from extra-innings and

were lucky to gain 6 runs that were UNearned. (2 overlaps)

So if we remove those 13 FORTUNATE extra runs, then instead of a mean of 4.16 rpg (when all that luck is included) their number drops a half-run to 3.64 rpg (when all their luck is hypothetically dismissed) to get what I believe to be a more accurate depiction of their YTD offensive numbers (notwithstanding injuries to key batters)

fubah2

Legend

Joined: Aug, 2012

Posts: 54744

Posted: May. 26, 2026 - 12:15 PM ET #4765

Will Toronto's best batter be held out of the lineup again today... Hard to say. Maybe, but too early to say definitively until the lineup card is confirmed.

fubah2

Legend

Joined: Aug, 2012

Posts: 54744

Posted: May. 26, 2026 - 1:09 PM ET #4766

TEXAS slugger Josh Jung may continue to be held out again today but this could change. I wouldn't make any move until I KNOW FOR SURE...

fubah2

Legend

Joined: Aug, 2012

Posts: 54744

Posted: May. 26, 2026 - 1:14 PM ET #4767

1 - 2 Monday [0 - 1 *BB]

40 - 18 last 9 days

fubah2

Legend

Joined: Aug, 2012

Posts: 54744

Posted: May. 26, 2026 - 1:46 PM ET #4768

May 26:

an_police an_blowhorn HOT STREAK WARNING!

SCHLITTLER, NYY

This STARTER is riding a tenuous 11-game HOT STREAK, an_lightening

WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!

...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!!

Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long" especially AFTER 7 straight w/o a "bad outing"....All GOOD pitchers will, from time to time, have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again. CAN NOT be avoided. Best to avoid!

an_light CAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" doesn't mean his team will lose! It just seriously weakens their chances! But his team's bats could come thru with a lot of runs to save the day.....maybe! You decide.