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🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵

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Legend
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Posted: #4301

Tuesday, May 12:

an_police an_blowhorn  HOT STREAK WARNING!

 

                                    SKENES, Pitty

 

            This STARTER is riding a tenuous  7-game  HOT STREAK, an_lightening

                       WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!

 

           ...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!! an_nailbiter an_speechless an_getaway          

 

Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long" especially AFTER 7 straight w/o a "bad outing"....All GOOD pitchers will, from time to time, have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again.  CAN NOT be avoided. an_shake

 

an_lightCAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" doesn't mean his team will lose! It just seriously weakens their chances! But his team's bats could come thru with a lot of runs to save the day.....maybe! You decide.

 
Legend
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Posted: #4302

CWS +105
Brewskies -140                 ....+0.8 net runs edge, I think an_nailbiter

 
Legend
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Posted: #4303

Mia/Twinkies ov 9 -105   @B365

 
Legend
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Posted: #4304

St.Louis  +138 @pinn   "value bet"      ....Cards may have a thin edge

 
Legend
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Posted: #4305

BOL tonight an_cheers

Hope I don't jinx you -- but I think all four of those are winners, especially the MIA O peace_5

 
Legend
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Posted: #4306

 

 

  an_police an_blowhorn  HOT STREAK WARNING!

 

                                    Yamamoto, LAD

 

            This STARTER is riding a tenuous  7-game  HOT STREAK, an_lightening

                       WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!

 

           ...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!! an_nailbiter an_speechless an_getaway          

 

Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long" especially AFTER 7 straight w/o a "bad outing"....All GOOD pitchers will, from time to time, have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again.  CAN NOT be avoided. an_shake

 

an_lightCAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" doesn't mean his team will lose! It just seriously weakens their chances! But his team's bats could come thru with a lot of runs to save the day.....maybe!

You decide.

 

 

 
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Posted: #4307

an_cheers

 
Legend
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Posted: #4308

Tuesday, May 12:

W  Cleve -132                       ...+0.7 net edge just makes the cut
W  NYY -135 *BB                  ...solid +1.2 run edge!
W  Wash +126  "value bet"   ...coin-flipper
W  Philly -133 *BB                ...solid +1.2 run edge!
W  NYY -131 *BB first 5 in

pending:

CWS   +105
Brewskies -140  
Mia/Twins ov 9 -105  
St.Louis +138 "value bet" 

 
Legend
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Posted: #4309

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

 

HOT STREAK WARNING!                                              Yamamoto, LAD               

STARTER is riding a tenuous  7-game  HOT STREAK,                         WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!              ...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!!                Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long" especially AFTER 7 straight w/o a "bad outing"....All GOOD pitchers will, from time to time, have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again.  CAN NOT be avoided.    CAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" doesn't mean his team will lose! It just seriously weakens their chances! But his team's bats could come thru with a lot of runs to save the day.....maybe! You decide.

 

an_punch  Yep!   5 earned runs in my capping stats always qualifies as a "BAD outing"

and as a direct result the -349 World Champions, lose "bigly" AGAIN to the worst offense in baseball...

 
Legend
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Posted: #4310

[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]

Tuesday, May 12:

W  Cleve -132                     ...+0.7 net edge just makes the cut
W  NYY -135  *BB                ...solid +1.2 run edge!
W  Wash +126   "value bet"   ...coin-flipper! take the PLUS $$$
W  Philly -133 *BB               ...solid +1.2 run edge!
W  NYY -131  *BB first 5 in

W  CWS   +105
W  Brewskies -140                    ....+0.8 net runs edge
 L   Mia/Twins ov 9 -105  
W  St.Louis +138  "value bet"   ....Cards may have a thin edge!

 

8 - 1   +7.64u    [3 - 0 *BB]

 
Legend
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Posted: #4311

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

My YTD with "value bets"  =  12 - 9   +5.48u

 

cool The idea is to identify coin-flippers (or very close) and grab significant PLUS $$

Assuming I assess the coin-flippers fairly well over the season, I would anticipate my W/L with these to be roughly even but a significant gain in profits! win

             Then again,  "everyone has a plan until he gets punched in the face" an_punch

 

an_2drinks My YTD with "value bets"  =  14 - 9   +8.12u

 
Legend
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Posted: #4312

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

[

Tuesday, May 12:

W  Cleve -132                     ...+0.7 net edge just makes the cut
W  NYY -135  *BB                ...solid +1.2 run edge!
W  Wash +126   "value bet"   ...coin-flipper! take the PLUS $$$
W  Philly -133 *BB               ...solid +1.2 run edge!
W  NYY -131  *BB first 5 in

W  CWS   +105
W  Brewskies -140                    ....+0.8 net runs edge
 L   Mia/Twins ov 9 -105  
W  St.Louis +138  "value bet"   ....Cards may have a thin edge!

8 - 1   +7.64u    [3 - 0 *BB]

. 

cool It's HUMPING DAY! an_happydude

Yankees -170   *BB

Cleveland -144 *BB

TB/Toro ov 7.0 -143 alt-line *BB

 
Legend
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Posted: #4313

End of May 12, UPDATE: YTD HEAVY favs -200 and up

30 - 22  an_speechless  ...with losers totaling a staggering -5536 an_burn_money
22 - 30 fingershake  ...if opting for -1.5 RL (all with negative juice!!!) an_burningbag

 

-349 LAD LOSE!!! 2 - 6
-299 Pitt 3 -1
-314 PHL 6 - 0
-232 PHL LOSE!!! 7 - 9
-207 Cubs 8 - 3
-219 LAD 12 - 2
-227 LAD LOSE!!! 1 - 2
-219 Phil 9 - 1 ...................May 05

 
Legend
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Posted: #4314

Mariners -124 @FD   *BB

 
Legend
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Posted: #4315

Humping Day, May 13:

an_police an_blowhorn  HOT STREAK WARNING!

 

                                    MEYER, Miami

 

            This STARTER is riding a tenuous  8-game  HOT STREAK, an_lightening

                       WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!

 

           ...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!! an_nailbiter an_speechless an_getaway          

 

Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long" especially AFTER 7 straight w/o a "bad outing"....All GOOD pitchers will, from time to time, have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again.  CAN NOT be avoided. an_shake

 

an_lightCAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" doesn't mean his team will lose! It just seriously weakens their chances! But his team's bats could come thru with a lot of runs to save the day.....maybe! You decide.

 
Legend
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Posts: 54741
Posted: #4316

May 13:

an_police an_blowhorn  HOT STREAK  WARNING!

 

                         Misiorowski, Brewskies

 

            This STARTER is riding a tenuous  8-game  HOT STREAK, an_lightening

                       WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!

 

           ...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!! an_nailbiter an_speechless an_getaway          

 

Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long" especially AFTER 7 straight w/o a "bad outing"....All GOOD pitchers will, from time to time, have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again.  CAN NOT be avoided. an_shake

 

an_lightCAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" doesn't mean his team will lose! It just seriously weakens their chances! But his team's bats could come thru with a lot of runs to save the day.....maybe! You decide.

 
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Posted: #4317

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: [ Tuesday, May 12: W  Cleve -132                     ...+0.7 net edge just makes the cutW  NYY -135  *BB                ...solid +1.2 run edge!W  Wash +126   "value bet"   ...coin-flipper! take the PLUS $$$W  Philly -133 *BB               ...solid +1.2 run edge!W  NYY -131  *BB first 5 in W  CWS   +105 W  Brewskies -140                    ....+0.8 net runs edge L   Mia/Twins ov 9 -105  W  St.Louis +138  "value bet"   ....Cards may have a thin edge! 8 - 1   +7.64u    [3 - 0 *BB] .   It's HUMPING DAY!  Yankees -170   *BB Cleveland -144 *BB TB/Toro ov 7.0 -143 alt-line *BB

Loving the picks.  I've got yankees/cleveland ml in a parlay.  BOL on your picks.

 
Legend
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Posted: #4318

Yankees pitching have allowed 13 baserunners in just 6.1 ip an_speechlessan_getaway

Complete meltdown...

 
Captain
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Posted: #4319

@chaka1

 G.L i took Baltimore wow thought i was toast when i seen yankees.

Mr Evil.
 
Legend
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Posted: #4320

Quote Originally Posted by trust-me:

@chaka1  G.L i took Baltimore wow thought i was toast when i seen yankees.

Yeah.  Thank goodness nobody tailed me! an_getaway

 
Legend
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Posted: #4321

[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2] 8 - 1   +7.64u    [3 - 0 *BB]    

It's HUMPING DAY! 

L  Yankees -170   *BB

W  Cleveland -144  *BB 

 

Weak start to the day . . . sad

 
Captain
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Posted: #4322

@fubah2

 They pulled fried in 3rd elbow was bothering him no wonder?

Mr Evil.
 
Captain
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Posted: #4323

@fubah2

 Pitcher was pulled 

Mr Evil.
 
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Posted: #4324

@fubah2

 clover

 
 
Legend
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Posted: #4325

2 - 2 schplitt on HUMPING DAY 

but a loss on juice because Yankees powerful offense only managed one hit against mediocre pitching.

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