1* Marlins/Tigers Over 8.5 -112
Chris Paddack gave up 8 runs on 8 hits to the White Sox. That's terrible considering how void of offense the Chicago is. And this is nothing new, he had a similar line late last year as a member of this Tiger team. He's just not very good. Good news for him, he has the best hitting offense vs RHP in the league behind him. You heard that right, the Marlins lead the Majors in average, 2nd in OBP, first in SLG, and OPS when facing righties. I didn't have them pegged for this kind of success, but I'll jump on the wave.
1*Arizona Diamondbacks +152
I just can't trust the Philly offense right now. They are averaging 3.5 runs/game. That's not gonna win you a lot of baseball games. Yes, Luzardo has been good thus far, but I don't really trust him either, and Arizona is top 10 in the league vs lefties. Soroka has been great so far, but I think he's been pretty lucky too. But sometimes, you'd rather be lucky than good, and that's a fine price for me to jump on board.
1* New York Mets -1.5 +160
The Mets bats came alive in San Fran, but then disappeared again in Arizona. Regardless, they still have a top 10 offense. The As offense is definitely serviceable, but right now their pitching is atrocious, and they send JT Ginn to the mound for his season debut. Weather in New York is going to be perfect, and Im betting that the Mets bats get them 6 or so tonight, and Holmes and pen can keep the As to small handful.
1* Atlanta Braves -1.5 +152
Cecconi is coming off a great start against the Cubs, but that game was played in freezing temps and the ball wasn't going anywhere. Now they go to Atlanta to face a line up that is top 5 in slugging, and number 1 in ERA. I don't even think they've touched their potential either. This Braves team could be REALLY good. Guardians still can't hit. I love Josey Ramirez, but he needs to get out of there and try to win it all before his days are over.
1* Nationals/Brewers Over 8.5 -102
Washington is still raking, so I'm not gonna fade them until they stop hitting. Milwaukee has scored at least 6 runs in 5 of their last 10 games. It's a bullpen start for the Crew, and Jake Irvin got smashed in his last start, albeit the Dodgers did it to him. This game should get to 10.
1* Red Sox/Cardinals Over 7.5 +100
Cardinals are beating lefties, to the tune of 4th best in the league. Early has had some control issues, and Cards in the top half of the league in walks taken. So baserunners aplenty for them. May has been atrocious for the Birds. He is about 1/3 of the payroll, and the worst starter in our rotation. He looked good in spring, but that didn't translate for some reason. A handful of guys playing against their former teams in this one too. 20% chance of rain, but shouldn't be hard enough to stop play, but if it did, and the Cards pen gets involved, that's ok with me too.
1* Rockies/Padres Over 8 -120
Rockies bats have produced 30 runs in the last 5 games. Padres line up has appeared to be waking up as well, scoring 29 runs in their last 5 games. The Padres line up in loaded when everyone is being productive. Power lies up and down the line up. It's a huge ball park, but that just means large gaps. Sugano has been pretty good so far, but that isn't sustainable. Buehlers been bad in his two outtings, and I look for more of that from him all year long.
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