TRAIN69 - 75% of the time oddsmakers lines are WAY off. They're nothing more than robots that publish set lines. Then the lines move at books dependent of how the money flows and what limits the managers set. Your illustration is nothing more than anything that happens on a daily basis based on situations, bettors perceptions and other pertinent news.
Handicappers have the edge. Thats why more than 70% of handicappers on Covers.com will end up with plus-money at the end of October.
The books have the overall edge because of the 4.15%-4.95% rake.
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Congrats to the Over bettors.
TRAIN69 - 75% of the time oddsmakers lines are WAY off. They're nothing more than robots that publish set lines. Then the lines move at books dependent of how the money flows and what limits the managers set. Your illustration is nothing more than anything that happens on a daily basis based on situations, bettors perceptions and other pertinent news.
Handicappers have the edge. Thats why more than 70% of handicappers on Covers.com will end up with plus-money at the end of October.
The books have the overall edge because of the 4.15%-4.95% rake.
TRAIN69 - Well. Yeah. I'm also a believer of sucker bets. But not because of what or how the books set the lines. Their lines are supposed to be "fair". But because of the public perception of certain teams, there will never be a complete 50/50 draw of cash on any game.
About this game. Joel Pineiro wasn't all that bad. The Reds got lots of "lucky" hits that hit the gap while the Cardinals early hits were nothing but ground-outs and fly-balls directly to the O-Fielders. Add in the fact that the Cardinals remain to be one of the worst defensive teams in the league.
End result: congrats to whoever took the Reds.
I just like betting on good road teams. Thats all.
And, i'd PROBABLY take the plus-money on the Cardinals in this same situation again. Probably.
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TRAIN69 - Well. Yeah. I'm also a believer of sucker bets. But not because of what or how the books set the lines. Their lines are supposed to be "fair". But because of the public perception of certain teams, there will never be a complete 50/50 draw of cash on any game.
About this game. Joel Pineiro wasn't all that bad. The Reds got lots of "lucky" hits that hit the gap while the Cardinals early hits were nothing but ground-outs and fly-balls directly to the O-Fielders. Add in the fact that the Cardinals remain to be one of the worst defensive teams in the league.
End result: congrats to whoever took the Reds.
I just like betting on good road teams. Thats all.
And, i'd PROBABLY take the plus-money on the Cardinals in this same situation again. Probably.
TRAIN69 - 75% of the time oddsmakers lines are WAY off. They're nothing more than robots that publish set lines. Then the lines move at books dependent of how the money flows and what limits the managers set. Your illustration is nothing more than anything that happens on a daily basis based on situations, bettors perceptions and other pertinent news.
Handicappers have the edge. Thats why more than 70% of handicappers on Covers.com will end up with plus-money at the end of October.
The books have the overall edge because of the 4.15%-4.95% rake.
75% of the time they are off??? no way bro
and 70% of the cappers on covers WILL NOT be plus money at the end of the season....
gl bro
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Quote Originally Posted by HappyKane:
Congrats to the Over bettors.
TRAIN69 - 75% of the time oddsmakers lines are WAY off. They're nothing more than robots that publish set lines. Then the lines move at books dependent of how the money flows and what limits the managers set. Your illustration is nothing more than anything that happens on a daily basis based on situations, bettors perceptions and other pertinent news.
Handicappers have the edge. Thats why more than 70% of handicappers on Covers.com will end up with plus-money at the end of October.
The books have the overall edge because of the 4.15%-4.95% rake.
75% of the time they are off??? no way bro
and 70% of the cappers on covers WILL NOT be plus money at the end of the season....
Oddsmakers ARE NOT out to set so-called "trap" lines. Its only a "trap" because of context. Its only a sucker bet because the consensus lost.
Here are proof that the oddsmakers are NOT smarter than us and set lines based on their their formulae or model. And proof that point-buyers are wasting money; proof that 75% of the time, the spread DOES NOT matter.
Thats all i'm saying. Please, stop giving the "house" too much credit. They have their automatic rake. They're NOT out there to play "mind games" with you. Its only in your mind that you think that way.
Friday, May 8th
+5 Boston Celtics 96
-5 Orlando Magic 117
Way off!
Thursday, May 7th
+12.5 Atlanta Hawks 85
-12.5 Cleveland Cavaliers 105
Way off!
Wednesday, May 6th
+4 Orlando Magic 94
-4 Boston Celtics +112
Way off!
Tuesday, May 5th
+11.5 Atlanta Hawks 72
-11.5 Cleveland Cavaliers 99
Way off!
+7 Dallas Mavericks 105
-7 Denver Nuggets 117
Coser but... the spread really didn't matter.
Monday, May 4
+1.5 Orlando Magic 95
-1.5 Boston Celtics 90
Quite close but... the spread didn't matter.
+8.5 Houston Rockets 100
-8.5 LA Lakers 92
Way off! Spread didn't matter.
NFL is roughly 68%, where the spread DOES NOT matter or are way off. Slightly less because of the scoring system.
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Dude.
Oddsmakers ARE NOT out to set so-called "trap" lines. Its only a "trap" because of context. Its only a sucker bet because the consensus lost.
Here are proof that the oddsmakers are NOT smarter than us and set lines based on their their formulae or model. And proof that point-buyers are wasting money; proof that 75% of the time, the spread DOES NOT matter.
Thats all i'm saying. Please, stop giving the "house" too much credit. They have their automatic rake. They're NOT out there to play "mind games" with you. Its only in your mind that you think that way.
Friday, May 8th
+5 Boston Celtics 96
-5 Orlando Magic 117
Way off!
Thursday, May 7th
+12.5 Atlanta Hawks 85
-12.5 Cleveland Cavaliers 105
Way off!
Wednesday, May 6th
+4 Orlando Magic 94
-4 Boston Celtics +112
Way off!
Tuesday, May 5th
+11.5 Atlanta Hawks 72
-11.5 Cleveland Cavaliers 99
Way off!
+7 Dallas Mavericks 105
-7 Denver Nuggets 117
Coser but... the spread really didn't matter.
Monday, May 4
+1.5 Orlando Magic 95
-1.5 Boston Celtics 90
Quite close but... the spread didn't matter.
+8.5 Houston Rockets 100
-8.5 LA Lakers 92
Way off! Spread didn't matter.
NFL is roughly 68%, where the spread DOES NOT matter or are way off. Slightly less because of the scoring system.
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