Falcon Sports (The Chase) 2.0

@MITM

 I’ve read thru a good amount of the thread, but have the power totals been crushing it?

@alexjdoty

 I've played some of the Top Power Totals and they have done well. But playing (The Chase) and regular wagering is different. I am playing one at a time in here, I'm using almost all plus money plays.

But since you asked. Starting tonight, I'm tracking and betting every Power Totals model play that qualifies. 

I don't know if they will kill it but if they turn out a high volume of plays, id like to hit 55% of them. U can check out the next 100 plays in the CFB forum.

Falcon Sports 

@MITM

 Great, looking forward to following along! Appreciate the response.

(The Chase) will resume with play (E) when the mlb playoffs get back in action.

This started in a baseball forum, if it ends, it will end with a baseball play. 

Right now I'm involved with something in the college football forum.

Catch u guys Sunday or Monday.

Falcon Sports 

@MITM

 I wouldn't mind phillies team total again 

Falcon Sports (The Chase) 2.0 

21-0 (+$1090)

Monday October 16

Phillies TT Over 3.5 

To win $800

Over the next 35 hours, ill be getting down on this play at 5 different books, if they have the 3.5, I've started at Draftkings.

( The Chase) may end right here or it may continue right on. 

In the meantime, for the very first time, I'm tracking and playing every play from my Power Totals model for each sport.

U can see the results in the CFB forum. Win or lose, ill be working through 100 plays.

Good luck guys

(The Chase) continues on????

Falcon Sports 

CHASE 

-150 juice on that final chase play. Yikes 

@Kadejax

 I got (-140) this morning at Draftkings 

But yes its alot. 

Falcon Sports 

GL 

Why 5 books?

@nuggins

 Spreading it around. 

Taking advantage of boosts and things and not dropping a large wager at any one place.

Falcon Sports 

Ok. Why wouldn't you just play it at the shop that gives you the best line?  I don't know how boosts work but even with that? I can see spreading around 80k but 800?

@nuggins

 Mostly because. My normal wager is around $200 and I'd just rather spread around the $1100 wager that I'm making here. I know an $1100-$1200 wager isn't that big but its big to me. 

Guys this is probably the last wager in (The Chase) for a while and that's win or lose tonight. If I win tonight, ill just pause the thread temporarily, I will pick it back up later.

I'm involved in something else, u can read about it in the CFB forum. When this ends, ill return to (The Chase). In Sports betting, I prefer to focus on one thing at a time. 

Good luck tonight and I hope we win.

Falcon Sports 

Not sure why, but my book has the Philly TT locked.  However, the Dbacks are available.  I wonder why?

Falcon Sports (The Chase) 2.0 

22-0 (+$1140)

This will resume but I'm not sure when.

Join me in the college football forum.

Falcon Sports 

Nice hit MITM !

@MITM

 Been lurking since the end of chase 2, made an account to comment this. 

Assuming a new gambler tails this strategy, they could use the pointsbet / czr / berivers etc no sweat bet on the 5th leg of the chase. This would heavily reduce the downside of a E bet, assuming a 70% conversion rate you could greatly minimize loss. I'm a college student so I have been tailing at a 15$ increment, but theoretically I could be freeroll profit after 19 wins utilizing the 250$ pointsbet no sweat, meaning that if E lost I would get 250 * .7 = 175. That would put my total loss at 15+30+60+120+240 - 175 = 290

that would make anything over 19 wins profit. This is all on the assumption that E picks are very rare, so I don't know if that is the case or not, but assuming it is this could be a good strategy. You could also scale it up with a higher no sweat offer like czr, which is 1500 I believe. 

Realizing I posted this one the inactive one, oops  

@winnersnvrquit

 Are u following the current Chase.?

I retired this one at (22-0)

Falcon Sports 

@MITM

 Didn't realize there was a new one until tonight. Good win on flyers o6, I will be following along with the same strategy I mentioned. Curious if you maybe know how many past chases result in a E bet?

@winnersnvrquit

 I've only done 2 of these.

Chase 1 (52-1) (+$1120)

Chase 2 (22-0) (+$1140)

U could go through both threads but I'm not sure exactly how many (E) bets there were but I do know i only lost 1 of them.

Now I'm running my third, which is my (Power Totals Chase) and I'm hoping its the best yet.

So join us in that thread and let's retire this one.

Falcon Sports 

Took 2 picks already , all winners.Not playing the way you do , but winners anyway.

As the chase is made up of 5 and you play the best plays of your model, is like 75-80% winning rate, assuming your average winning rate of your model is 55% rate, wouldn´t you just change the way you wager? let´s say you are up 3-0 in the chase so the last two plays wager less in order to maximise your benefits?

other thing, I don´t know if possible, but could you upload when you place your bets the current numbers of your model? just for comparisson with the sportbooks and then take a decision. Example: sportbook-flyers over 6 and your model forecasts 7.

Thanks

@VICRRC

 Please ask in current thread. This one is retired. Someone bumped it.

Let's put this one to bed.

Falcon Sports