denvedder - MLB contest - sides - incredible run

Toronto has been on my do not trust list for a couple years now. This year is even worse for them, not sure they even care. Springer having a down year hitting 225, Bichette a career 300 hitter only hitting 225. I don't think he hurt his calf, I think he's about to be traded. Not really sure about Philly, they might get swept here. Yankees and Atlanta would be the only two I'd be looking at

@chicubs09

The way denvedder has been going, they're pretty cold recently and as we have said, regression is a real thing in betting.

My only play today were the Cubs using my own system. I wouldn't trust the Jays at all over the last 3 - 4 years. Philly, I would probably have agreed that they avoid the sweep. Yankees and Atlanta I would have stayed away from because stupid things always happen after the All Star Break for the first 5 -6 days.

@tvigilante2020

 The way things have been going in mlb lately if you  blindly bet all the dogs every day you would come out ahead. i  might try  that  for a while instead of chasing favs who lost the day before.

@chicubs09

You just can't bet blindly as those fortunes can change anytime. I've been doing this for about 20 years, last 2-3 years in MLB seriously (because I've learned discipline). This is for some extra money per month for me and not a job. I don't know anyone on this site that has tracked their records / units and has made a living at this year after year.

Added play:

BOS +100

@tvigilante2020

 I agree with you betting heavy fav blindly will end you up in the gutter

I do this for extra cash to help ease the bills and excitement purposes but when you try to do mlb for a living its very hard.

like you say I haven't seen anyone on a consistent basis win every year.

NFL is around the corner 

The wheels have fallen off this is his 6th losing day in a row as his season record on sides is now 72-30 and 31-26 since the 41-4 start. I'm sure he'll be chasing the nyy tomorrow against tb at 1:00 et . 

if it wasn’t for this thread I feel he would still be posting at an 80% clip 

Exactly. I’m glad I spotted him very early in his phenomenal run and rode along for the ride. I timed everything perfectly, and I jumped ship prior  to the regression.

NYY

Phillies

Atlanta

@finsterbaby

 miketang split yesterday for a small loss - big day ahead NYY,NYM,TEX,BOS,SEA

more chalk than an olympic gymnast 

Added Houston and Seattle and Boston earlier.

@smellybunty

 Would like to see him surprise us with  at least a medium size dog pick soon.

@smellybunty

 Wow 6 plays today off the top of my head that might be the most plays for him in a day this season. During the 41-4 run sometimes it  took 2 weeks for him to post 6 plays.

I went and checked 6 plays in a day is the most for him this season.

Tuesday plays

Yankees -160

Philly -165

Mil- even

Houston-135

@Dulay

Do we fade?

@fade_the_mush

 Look at the matchup.  If you like his side, play it.  If you don’t, fade or pass.

He’s not fretting about what you’re playing.

denvedder updated equity curve

https://ibb.co/94Bhw62

note his sharpe ratio has dropped to 1.37, well below the investable 2.0 level

Is this regression or just chasing losses addiction ?

@chicubs09

 agreed (it was a rethorical question imo)