You guys think minn gets another one from Boston I think I'm going to chase for it
I would NOT chase the Twins beginning tonight, as you have Duensing as your SP. He's only had one quality starts out of 5 attempts.
If you are chasing the Twins, you are better off starting your chase tomorrow night (Buchholz vs. DeVries). The following game will be Gas Can Beckett vs. Gas Can Blackburn.
GL on your chase.
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Quote Originally Posted by fernandes119:
You guys think minn gets another one from Boston I think I'm going to chase for it
I would NOT chase the Twins beginning tonight, as you have Duensing as your SP. He's only had one quality starts out of 5 attempts.
If you are chasing the Twins, you are better off starting your chase tomorrow night (Buchholz vs. DeVries). The following game will be Gas Can Beckett vs. Gas Can Blackburn.
stupid question...i never played f5's before. if you would take the moneyline and its tied after 5 would that be a push? the only reason i ask is because the runline is only -1/2.
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stupid question...i never played f5's before. if you would take the moneyline and its tied after 5 would that be a push? the only reason i ask is because the runline is only -1/2.
It's a privilege to stop in this thread. Anybody that is not utilizing the trends you have put together and SemperFi's wisdom is missing out on a wealth of value.
You da man, Semper is da man, and thanks for the help.
bbreit- If the score is tied after 5, you get a push on the 1st 5 ML.
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Quote Originally Posted by McShady:
Thx for dropping in KG! And for that tidbit
It's a privilege to stop in this thread. Anybody that is not utilizing the trends you have put together and SemperFi's wisdom is missing out on a wealth of value.
You da man, Semper is da man, and thanks for the help.
bbreit- If the score is tied after 5, you get a push on the 1st 5 ML.
stupid question...i never played f5's before. if you would take the moneyline and its tied after 5 would that be a push? the only reason i ask is because the runline is only -1/2.
The reason I posted RL's is the value of approx 50cents cheaper than the ML. Big favorites have no appeal to me so the RL makes the odds playable for me as im always looking for -120 or better.
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Quote Originally Posted by bbreit:
stupid question...i never played f5's before. if you would take the moneyline and its tied after 5 would that be a push? the only reason i ask is because the runline is only -1/2.
The reason I posted RL's is the value of approx 50cents cheaper than the ML. Big favorites have no appeal to me so the RL makes the odds playable for me as im always looking for -120 or better.
Nice day for me +13 units thanks to jump-in on Wash to avoid sweep ended up playing 6 units and 2 units on McShady's Oak home under which was same as the total of the day.
Total of the day was same as McShady's so that is why I increased from normal one unit. Total of the day now 59-26, 26-8 (and 16-7 as posted here).
Today's total is Tex/KC under 9.5. The website said 10 but everywhere I've seen said it opened at 9.5. My line is u9.5-115 so I went ahead and got down on it already so 9.5 under is the official total of the day. It's on another decent run so I hope this is helpful information.
My "dog of the day" yesterday on Minn won and I saw later that McShady hit the TT over 4 on Minn after changing his mind on FG over. Way to go McShady!
I missed Semper's play but I already had KC small so I got lucky there as I don't like to go against Semper or McShady.
Thanks to both of you guys once again for all your hard work and for being generous with your time and efforts to make it available to us here. You don't know how much it means especially to someone like me who can't get on the internet at work and has limited time before work to get the plays in.
Bravo!!!
I'm also glad I didn't post any losers yesterday as I am trying to limit my postings unless I have some really nice info or a jump-in chase where you only have to play 1 or 2 games to win. The total of the day will probably be all you see me post most days.
Thanks McShady for Sea/Yank under and Balt/Tamp under. Let's win them all tonight and hope Semper comes out with some nice doggies to chase!!!
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Nice day for me +13 units thanks to jump-in on Wash to avoid sweep ended up playing 6 units and 2 units on McShady's Oak home under which was same as the total of the day.
Total of the day was same as McShady's so that is why I increased from normal one unit. Total of the day now 59-26, 26-8 (and 16-7 as posted here).
Today's total is Tex/KC under 9.5. The website said 10 but everywhere I've seen said it opened at 9.5. My line is u9.5-115 so I went ahead and got down on it already so 9.5 under is the official total of the day. It's on another decent run so I hope this is helpful information.
My "dog of the day" yesterday on Minn won and I saw later that McShady hit the TT over 4 on Minn after changing his mind on FG over. Way to go McShady!
I missed Semper's play but I already had KC small so I got lucky there as I don't like to go against Semper or McShady.
Thanks to both of you guys once again for all your hard work and for being generous with your time and efforts to make it available to us here. You don't know how much it means especially to someone like me who can't get on the internet at work and has limited time before work to get the plays in.
Bravo!!!
I'm also glad I didn't post any losers yesterday as I am trying to limit my postings unless I have some really nice info or a jump-in chase where you only have to play 1 or 2 games to win. The total of the day will probably be all you see me post most days.
Thanks McShady for Sea/Yank under and Balt/Tamp under. Let's win them all tonight and hope Semper comes out with some nice doggies to chase!!!
KG, pork and mcshady...thanks for the info. much appreciated. im still a newb tryin to learn a few things. this is only my 2nd year wagering on mlb. i usually just stick to nhl. thanks again guys!!
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KG, pork and mcshady...thanks for the info. much appreciated. im still a newb tryin to learn a few things. this is only my 2nd year wagering on mlb. i usually just stick to nhl. thanks again guys!!
Great night Angle glad you cleaned up! Dont know if you mentioned it, but what is the $ value to a UNIT for you?
Working in a liquor store I don't make a lot of money. My unit value changes sometimes based on the size of the bankroll because I don't like to bet over 5% on any given play, that being said I sometimes do that. My current bankroll is a little above $1K. Most books have a $10 minimum, so I make that one unit and it also works out to 1%. If I had more discipline I might bet more money on fewer games. In the last 2 years I have been up as high as $3.5 K and over the last 2 years I have taken out $2K. I haven't paid out any money in 2 years and have survived long losing streaks by making minimum bets (1 unit). One book allows $5 mininum on Parlays so sometimes you will hear me say a half unit.
So in reality, right now 1 unit is approximately 1% of my bankroll, if I double the bankroll I double the unit to $20 and if I hit a losing streak or take money out I lower back down to $10.
So even though my amounts are small, they aren't small to me. I am just as happy winning $10 on a game as it beats losing and Iive to play another day with somebody else's money!
Even though I'm an action junkie, by playing small most of the time I can enjoy the hobby and If don't get greedy I can play all of the major sports year around. My best sport was NHL until I found you guys and now I am loving baseball. I do experiment with chases such as the one where I always take the "non-dog" home teams to avoid sweeps such as Wash yesterday and the Yankees with extremely high juice last Sunday. On these plays that is where I have my largest units in play. I do okay this way unless I lose those plays and on that terrible Sunday several weeks ago I lost 30 units or $300 on 3 teams all on GM2 of 2 game chases which hurt my bankroll. Luckily, I have recovered those losses and hope to get up to $2K and then I might raise my unit to $20.
I don't have unlimited funds by any means and I don't borrow money to gamble. Of course that is easy to say when I have been up for 2 years. I aspire to be more like you McShady and cut down the number of games I play and grow the bankroll and increase my wagers the next season. That is why I appreciate you and Semper so much. Even a guy like me with a small bankroll can make money!
At least you know I am honest and didn't say I played a nickel or dime on every play!!!
Even a guy with a small bankroll can make money tailing
I hope to someday
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Quote Originally Posted by McShady:
Great night Angle glad you cleaned up! Dont know if you mentioned it, but what is the $ value to a UNIT for you?
Working in a liquor store I don't make a lot of money. My unit value changes sometimes based on the size of the bankroll because I don't like to bet over 5% on any given play, that being said I sometimes do that. My current bankroll is a little above $1K. Most books have a $10 minimum, so I make that one unit and it also works out to 1%. If I had more discipline I might bet more money on fewer games. In the last 2 years I have been up as high as $3.5 K and over the last 2 years I have taken out $2K. I haven't paid out any money in 2 years and have survived long losing streaks by making minimum bets (1 unit). One book allows $5 mininum on Parlays so sometimes you will hear me say a half unit.
So in reality, right now 1 unit is approximately 1% of my bankroll, if I double the bankroll I double the unit to $20 and if I hit a losing streak or take money out I lower back down to $10.
So even though my amounts are small, they aren't small to me. I am just as happy winning $10 on a game as it beats losing and Iive to play another day with somebody else's money!
Even though I'm an action junkie, by playing small most of the time I can enjoy the hobby and If don't get greedy I can play all of the major sports year around. My best sport was NHL until I found you guys and now I am loving baseball. I do experiment with chases such as the one where I always take the "non-dog" home teams to avoid sweeps such as Wash yesterday and the Yankees with extremely high juice last Sunday. On these plays that is where I have my largest units in play. I do okay this way unless I lose those plays and on that terrible Sunday several weeks ago I lost 30 units or $300 on 3 teams all on GM2 of 2 game chases which hurt my bankroll. Luckily, I have recovered those losses and hope to get up to $2K and then I might raise my unit to $20.
I don't have unlimited funds by any means and I don't borrow money to gamble. Of course that is easy to say when I have been up for 2 years. I aspire to be more like you McShady and cut down the number of games I play and grow the bankroll and increase my wagers the next season. That is why I appreciate you and Semper so much. Even a guy like me with a small bankroll can make money!
At least you know I am honest and didn't say I played a nickel or dime on every play!!!
Even a guy with a small bankroll can make money tailing
Hey Angle thx for the breakdown. $ doesnt impress me. Ability does. And your alright in my book. As long as your having fun and living within your means stay the coarse. Glad to have ya along!
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Hey Angle thx for the breakdown. $ doesnt impress me. Ability does. And your alright in my book. As long as your having fun and living within your means stay the coarse. Glad to have ya along!
Just stopped by to drop a thanks. I've had similar plays to you guys, and the ones that I didn't, I either bought out of, or stopped myself from wagering.
You guys are geniuses and I think I might have to hop on this bus soon.
I just need to work on my discipline on # of picks per day...I can't stay away from ANYTHING.
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Just stopped by to drop a thanks. I've had similar plays to you guys, and the ones that I didn't, I either bought out of, or stopped myself from wagering.
You guys are geniuses and I think I might have to hop on this bus soon.
I just need to work on my discipline on # of picks per day...I can't stay away from ANYTHING.
Great night Angle glad you cleaned up! Dont know if you mentioned it, but what is the $ value to a UNIT for you?
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