CHASE THE DOG/TOTAL VOL 43 (series start 9/6-9-7)

I see value in the NFLtake and do ok-take the Chiefs getting points at home with the better D and running game...take the Jets because they own the Bills and  have a lot of egg to clean off their faces-this is when they cover usually, plus they are better than they showed..Finally, Az is a good home dog and Wilson isn't Strausburg yet....

I'm doing a couple games today shady Houston -13.5 I think it's 14 now and I usually like to wait till like week 3 to really get into it but I like Houston great d good offense and Miami has no one to throw to so it'll make it easier to stop them just worrying about the run that's my pick today

No one to throw to **

I like new Orleans too but Houston is my pick of the day well see how it goes Gluck today guys with your picks and thanks mcshady and semper as always

McShady, thanks for Dbacks, I already placed my SD -1.5 before I saw your post. Thanks PT for Air Force. I took the Reds -1.5.

Today is Honor Military Sunday for SD. Any thoughts on continueing my chase on SD -1.5?

Thanks to all and BOL

disclaimer: first year of betting baseball, but i thought this was funny. reds are -320 ml on my book! -320, you'd have to be nuts to take that. 

Visitor in the Jets/Bills game is 8 -1 ATS. Bills!

I have carolina over 47 left to hit a par 4. And I love my chances. Back me shady!

ummm do not take kc as like half of their defense is injured..

NFL...Titans to score 1st (+140)

Angle - If I understand the system correctly, only the Michigan game hit so it went 1-10-1 yesterday?

Also, why weren't the following plays?
Memphis/Ark St
NM/Texas
Fresno St/Oregon

Thanks...I need something to take the "gambling" out of college football.

Lions ov 1q 9.5 +110

Lions ov 2q 13.5 -115

Lions ov 3q 9.5 -120

I'll give it shot.

 

Shiman, you are correct. Worst day ever for the system for me.

The other games you mentioned had totals that were "off" in my book so I could not play them.

I really like GB today.
Also Tenn +5 vs NE (fade super bowl loser week 1)
Jax +4 Den-2 Tamp+3.5

4-team 13pt tease
NO, Hou, Det, GB

I'm also playing all the UGLY dogs today Buff, Indy, Mia, Rams, Wash, Cle

any MLB, angle

I'm still on the STL cards MLB second game of jump-in and all McTrendz. Will take Pitt-1.5 to avoid home sweep.

McTrendz were Yank under and Sea under.

I'm on them too. plus SD -1.5.

Even though my website doesn't allow parlays on spread to total, they did for Notre Dame. It must be for main TV games.  Took a chance and won.  GL

Titans first to score! Winner

Other NFL Ariz+3 and Tamp over 45

Sorry about late posting guys but had to research and get plays in first.

Let's all have a good first NFL Sunday, Time to put the Coors Banquet from fridge to freezer and get ready for that coldest one.

GB is my 2 unit play today.

Best way to play 6pt teaser (NFL ONLY).

Tease these lines up +1.5,2,2.5 (that way u cover key numbers of 3 and 7) (if you don't mind tie on 7 you can tease +1)

Tease these lines down  -7,7.5,8,8.5 (that way u cover key numbers of 3 and 7 (if you don't mind tie on 3 you can tease -9)

This is for a 6pt teaser ONLY.

Did I count u on 14 NFL plays?!!

BOL

Shady ,any picks for late NFL ?

Didnt have time to post totals and parlays.
Totals NO over and HOU under.

Parlays 2 teamers Tamp+3/Jax+3   GB-5.5/Indy+9.5

Many plays based on NFL angles since 2000. Good teams defined as winning 10 or more previous year, bad teams lost 10 or more previous year.

These plays and percentages are for SEPTEMBER ONLY!

Play against good teams as road dogs 63% (Pitt, SF). Good teams catching points? There is a reason. The plays are Denver and GB.

Play OVER when good teams play division games vs each other 60%. The play is Balt/Cincy OVER.

Play OVER when good teams favored vs bad teams 61%. The play is NO/Wash OVER.

Play on bad teams as underdogs 58%. Public tends to avoid these smelly dogs and the lines are skewed toward them. The plays are Buff, Indy, Jax, Miami, STL and Wash. (I added 7-9 KC also and forgot to post as a play today).

Play against bad team as conference favorite 63%. Bad teams not used to being favored and feel the pressure. The play is Tampa (vs Car).

Play the dog when 2 bad teams face each other 66%. The plays are Jax and Tampa. (That is why I parlayed these two, high % and fit 2 of the angles).

Sorry I didn't get this out earlier guys, please copy this to notepad if you want to use in coming weeks. All you need is last year's standings to know good teams vs. bad teams.

I hope this works or helps in some way today.

As Schiman said, my NCAA system went 1-10-1 worst day ever in 5 years but counting last week still ahead .8 unit (less than 1 unit).
I hate ending up with a small unit, but better than none at all!