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Chapstick's Picks 7-30-11 (Season: 187 - 153 - 7 .....+161.27 Units!)

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Posts: 35
 
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Posted: #26
If i knew my money was placed on Phil Coke in relief....i would've kept my money in my pocket

That guy is Weak As F*%K
 
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Posted: #27
Pitching change in Washington/Mets game too!
 
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Posted: #28

Quote Originally Posted by ka678:

Pitching change in Washington/Mets game too!

Yeah we saw it earlier but we will keep it.  We are betting AGAINST Dickey more than we were on Vasquez.  Washington is +120 with Maya on the bump.  It's a go!!!

 
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Posted: #29

UPDATE:  CONFIRMING THE PITCHING CHANGE.

WASHINGTON +120 OVER NEW YORK METS FOR 3.5 UNITS - WE GO WITH MAYA HERE AGAINST DICKEY....

 
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Posted: #30

Damn! I wish i saw yoru PoD before playing TB. Yeah, I like that dodgers pick.  Owings makes me a little nervous because he hasnt been good on the road lately but has it in him to play a solid games. Also, normally I would preffer the AZ offense butthe dodgers have been really clicking lately. Either way, I think LA has more value.

So are you feeling strongly about Minny? I have been on the fense wih them. Im not a huge blackburn fan and  the Athletics are 4-1 in Moscosos last 5 home starts. Whats your take on this game.

btw - Great card so far and its always a pleasure reading your post!

 
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by CloserX:

Damn! I wish i saw yoru PoD before playing TB. Yeah, I like that dodgers pick.  Owings makes me a little nervous because he hasnt been good on the road lately but has it in him to play a solid games. Also, normally I would preffer the AZ offense butthe dodgers have been really clicking lately. Either way, I think LA has more value.

So are you feeling strongly about Minny? I have been on the fense wih them. Im not a huge blackburn fan and  the Athletics are 4-1 in Moscosos last 5 home starts. Whats your take on this game.

btw - Great card so far and its always a pleasure reading your post!

 

Yes I like Minny again tonight.  This a play SPECIFICALLY with the odds maker "line skew".  Oakland should be favored a little bit more but yet the odds makers released this play so low.  Look Blackburn has historically pitched AWFUL against the A's.  I have seen a lot of wagers on Oakland tonight with most books showing almost 60% of the public on that A's.  Yet the line has NOT really moved which leads me to believe we got Good money on the Twins. 

It fits that scenario we like with the MORE money and less wagers going on the twins and MORE wagers less money on Oakland.  Public is leaning towards A's tonight....we like betting against the public.

Its not a big play but I like it.....

 
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Posted: #32
I'm seeing over 70% on Minnesota..where are you going to see your numbers?

Also, Ubaldo just got switched for E Rogers..
 
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Posted: #33
Damn man, you have some balls! Playing against the numbers because of the odds/line movement lol. I dont know if I can pull the trigger but I will be rooting for you! I will also kick myself in the ass if it wins lol
 
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Posted: #34

Quote Originally Posted by ka678:

I'm seeing over 70% on Minnesota..where are you going to see your numbers?

Also, Ubaldo just got switched for E Rogers..

He still pitched so it counts.  You must be looking at the Covers "Consensus" on the 70%.  I got 5 log in accounts where the offshore book will show me the wager history for a game.  That's how I look at how much the public is betting.  

 
 
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Posted: #35

BANG!  I'll take 6 - 3 with a +10.30 Units!!!

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