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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    Bodio's MLB Wed 09/21

    «First Previous 1234
    raywapuzzo
    wolfeman3
    mootz748
    Fortmax
    MojoGypson
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    raywapuzzo
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2011 - 4:22 PM ET #76

    Tampa just killed me.  What's your opinion on game 2?
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    Tampa just killed me.  What's your opinion on game 2?
     
    wolfeman3
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2011 - 4:33 PM ET #77

    Some interesting situations in the night games..Like that Tigers under with Sherzer pitching.
    The impossible only takes longer….
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    Some interesting situations in the night games..Like that Tigers under with Sherzer pitching.
     
    mootz748
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2011 - 4:33 PM ET #78

    Great call with Cubbies
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    Great call with Cubbies
     
    Fortmax
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2011 - 4:33 PM ET #79

    Rays blew it !
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    Rays blew it !
     
    MojoGypson
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2011 - 4:40 PM ET #80

    Tampa killed me too- (but I'm on the Cubs and Dbacks.)

    Should just lay off game 2 NY/TB..?-  Yanks clinched- 
    Maybe they rest some players? TB gets fired up? CC on the mound.
    IMO- too many variables to make a good pick

    DET, SEA or SF look tempting...?

    GL
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    Tampa killed me too- (but I'm on the Cubs and Dbacks.)

    Should just lay off game 2 NY/TB..?-  Yanks clinched- 
    Maybe they rest some players? TB gets fired up? CC on the mound.
    IMO- too many variables to make a good pick

    DET, SEA or SF look tempting...?

    GL
     
    DDH420
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2011 - 4:44 PM ET #81

    I got burned late with TB as well but I'm going back to them in G2. I had them penciled in anyways and after the YANKS won AND clinched a playoff berth I'm taking a shot at the RAYS & +170. Hopefully BOD is on board as well but he has just a pinch more patience than me lol BOL either way boys
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    I got burned late with TB as well but I'm going back to them in G2. I had them penciled in anyways and after the YANKS won AND clinched a playoff berth I'm taking a shot at the RAYS & +170. Hopefully BOD is on board as well but he has just a pinch more patience than me lol BOL either way boys
     
    bodio
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2011 - 5:12 PM ET #82

    Quote Originally Posted by DDH420:

    Hey bro missed ya for a few days I hope all is well and glad to have you back.

    I noticed you don't even have a lean on the ATL/FLA game but I was loving the FISH today at -120. Here is what I came up with. Please let me know what you think.....be kind

    Re-post: I forgot to mention them earlier but I also love the FISH today at home to a super slumping Derek B-Lowe and the Bravos. Neither team is playing particularly great ball but since getting some bats back in the lineup FLA has played better winning 3 of 5 (ATL 2 W's L5)

     FLA is also 3-0 in Javier Vazquez's L3 outings. I had sworn off of him earlier in the year cuz he was so damn inconsistent but lately he's been as good as they get. In his last start he had a complete game 5 hit shutout. The game before a 6 inning 3 hits shutout. Before that a 7 inning 6 hit 1 run outing and before that he went 7 innings allowing 3 hits and 3 runs but none were earned. Going back even further all the way through his L10 the 6 previous outings were also ALL quality starts (Actually all of his L10 starts are quality outings) going 7 innings in 4 games and 6 innings in the other 2. He gave up 3 runs 3 times and 1 run the other 3 times.

    Derek Lowe has basically been the complete opposite at least recently. In his L3 he has only lasted 13.1 innings,allowed 26 hits,has a whip that looks more like and era at 2.48 and his era looks Wes Welkers average yards per catch at 10.12. Oh and yeah you probably already guessed he's 0-3. For comparison Vazquez's L3 he is 3-0 with 22 IP,only 14 hits,a whip of .73 and a ridiculous era of .41.

    Lowe is also coming off his shortest start in two years and trying to avoid a career high 4th straight loss. Javy is looking to win his 5th straight. My only real concern is that Lowe is 1-0 with a 1.42 ERA in two starts against Florida this season, with both coming in Miami but with his current form so bad thats not enough to scare me off this one. THOUGHTS ???

    Thanx

    Yeah I wanted to back Vazquez but at these odds there is no 'value'.  The books have adjusted their prices on him.  Good luck
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    Quote Originally Posted by DDH420:

    Hey bro missed ya for a few days I hope all is well and glad to have you back.

    I noticed you don't even have a lean on the ATL/FLA game but I was loving the FISH today at -120. Here is what I came up with. Please let me know what you think.....be kind

    Re-post: I forgot to mention them earlier but I also love the FISH today at home to a super slumping Derek B-Lowe and the Bravos. Neither team is playing particularly great ball but since getting some bats back in the lineup FLA has played better winning 3 of 5 (ATL 2 W's L5)

     FLA is also 3-0 in Javier Vazquez's L3 outings. I had sworn off of him earlier in the year cuz he was so damn inconsistent but lately he's been as good as they get. In his last start he had a complete game 5 hit shutout. The game before a 6 inning 3 hits shutout. Before that a 7 inning 6 hit 1 run outing and before that he went 7 innings allowing 3 hits and 3 runs but none were earned. Going back even further all the way through his L10 the 6 previous outings were also ALL quality starts (Actually all of his L10 starts are quality outings) going 7 innings in 4 games and 6 innings in the other 2. He gave up 3 runs 3 times and 1 run the other 3 times.

    Derek Lowe has basically been the complete opposite at least recently. In his L3 he has only lasted 13.1 innings,allowed 26 hits,has a whip that looks more like and era at 2.48 and his era looks Wes Welkers average yards per catch at 10.12. Oh and yeah you probably already guessed he's 0-3. For comparison Vazquez's L3 he is 3-0 with 22 IP,only 14 hits,a whip of .73 and a ridiculous era of .41.

    Lowe is also coming off his shortest start in two years and trying to avoid a career high 4th straight loss. Javy is looking to win his 5th straight. My only real concern is that Lowe is 1-0 with a 1.42 ERA in two starts against Florida this season, with both coming in Miami but with his current form so bad thats not enough to scare me off this one. THOUGHTS ???

    Thanx

    Yeah I wanted to back Vazquez but at these odds there is no 'value'.  The books have adjusted their prices on him.  Good luck
     
    bodio
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2011 - 5:16 PM ET #83

    Quote Originally Posted by raywapuzzo:

    Tampa just killed me in first game..   what about game 2?

    I liked the Yankees in game 2 but I'm just going to pass
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    Quote Originally Posted by raywapuzzo:

    Tampa just killed me in first game..   what about game 2?

    I liked the Yankees in game 2 but I'm just going to pass
     
    bodio
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2011 - 5:17 PM ET #84

    Quote Originally Posted by MojoGypson:

    Tampa killed me too- (but I'm on the Cubs and Dbacks.)

    Should just lay off game 2 NY/TB..?-  Yanks clinched- 
    Maybe they rest some players? TB gets fired up? CC on the mound.
    IMO- too many variables to make a good pick

    DET, SEA or SF look tempting...?

    GL

    I was looking at DET/KC UNDER but that dropped to 8.5...so no play
    Besides that was liking Yankees had they lost game 1.  Now it's a pass also
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    Quote Originally Posted by MojoGypson:

    Tampa killed me too- (but I'm on the Cubs and Dbacks.)

    Should just lay off game 2 NY/TB..?-  Yanks clinched- 
    Maybe they rest some players? TB gets fired up? CC on the mound.
    IMO- too many variables to make a good pick

    DET, SEA or SF look tempting...?

    GL

    I was looking at DET/KC UNDER but that dropped to 8.5...so no play
    Besides that was liking Yankees had they lost game 1.  Now it's a pass also
     
    evc3210
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2011 - 5:18 PM ET #85

    you think the yankees are satisfied because they clinched a playoff spot?  This is the yankees not the diamondbacks!  They want home field advantage, CC wants 20 wins and guys got rested in the first game granted they came in later but I dont see them giving any games away until home field is clinched
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    you think the yankees are satisfied because they clinched a playoff spot?  This is the yankees not the diamondbacks!  They want home field advantage, CC wants 20 wins and guys got rested in the first game granted they came in later but I dont see them giving any games away until home field is clinched
     
    bodio
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2011 - 5:19 PM ET #86

    Passing on the rest of the night!  
    1-2 today for -1.73 units 
    Back at it tomorrow fellas. 

    Going forward, I don't see myself playing anymore OVERS.  Teams are bringing up young players and even playoff squads will be resting starters.  Will only look at UNDERS the rest of the way. 
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    Passing on the rest of the night!  
    1-2 today for -1.73 units 
    Back at it tomorrow fellas. 

    Going forward, I don't see myself playing anymore OVERS.  Teams are bringing up young players and even playoff squads will be resting starters.  Will only look at UNDERS the rest of the way. 
     
    bodio
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2011 - 5:20 PM ET #87

    Quote Originally Posted by evc3210:

    you think the yankees are satisfied because they clinched a playoff spot?  This is the yankees not the diamondbacks!  They want home field advantage, CC wants 20 wins and guys got rested in the first game granted they came in later but I dont see them giving any games away until home field is clinched

    Agree 100%.  
    Was hoping for a TB win in game 1 and was going to back the Bombers in game 2.  
    Good luck if you play this one.
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    Quote Originally Posted by evc3210:

    you think the yankees are satisfied because they clinched a playoff spot?  This is the yankees not the diamondbacks!  They want home field advantage, CC wants 20 wins and guys got rested in the first game granted they came in later but I dont see them giving any games away until home field is clinched

    Agree 100%.  
    Was hoping for a TB win in game 1 and was going to back the Bombers in game 2.  
    Good luck if you play this one.
     
    RhodeIslandG
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2011 - 5:23 PM ET #88

    hey bodio you think over 7 in the texas oakland game is a good play i could see ranger putting up 5 to 6 runs.
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    hey bodio you think over 7 in the texas oakland game is a good play i could see ranger putting up 5 to 6 runs.
     
    bodio
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2011 - 5:27 PM ET #89

    Quote Originally Posted by RhodeIslandG:

    hey bodio you think over 7 in the texas oakland game is a good play i could see ranger putting up 5 to 6 runs.

    I have this one at 6.7 total runs
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    Quote Originally Posted by RhodeIslandG:

    hey bodio you think over 7 in the texas oakland game is a good play i could see ranger putting up 5 to 6 runs.

    I have this one at 6.7 total runs
     
    JMAG
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2011 - 5:27 PM ET #90

    Hey bodio, what made the STL/NYM UNDER not a play for you?
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    Hey bodio, what made the STL/NYM UNDER not a play for you?
     
    Swoop
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2011 - 5:36 PM ET #91

    Bo, looking at Phils/Nats U8

    Phils bats are ice-cold and Howard, Pence, and Chooch are out.  The Vanimal has been solid all year.  Especially at home and at night.  Werth is out for the Nats and Phils are known to have some difficulties with Lefties.  Finally, Tim Timmons has been 22-36 O/U the last 2 years.  Ohh, and it's cold and rainy here in Philly.  Thoughts? 


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    Bo, looking at Phils/Nats U8

    Phils bats are ice-cold and Howard, Pence, and Chooch are out.  The Vanimal has been solid all year.  Especially at home and at night.  Werth is out for the Nats and Phils are known to have some difficulties with Lefties.  Finally, Tim Timmons has been 22-36 O/U the last 2 years.  Ohh, and it's cold and rainy here in Philly.  Thoughts? 


     
    DDH420
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2011 - 5:49 PM ET #92

    Quote Originally Posted by Swoop:

    Bo, looking at Phils/Nats U8

    Phils bats are ice-cold and Howard, Pence, and Chooch are out.  The Vanimal has been solid all year.  Especially at home and at night.  Werth is out for the Nats and Phils are known to have some difficulties with Lefties.  Finally, Tim Timmons has been 22-36 O/U the last 2 years.  Ohh, and it's cold and rainy here in Philly.  Thoughts? 


    Hey SWOOP (great pic BTW) I know you're asking BOS but I read this earlier and it turned me off the WASH ML who I was  thinking of playing as nice +175 dogs

    "The Phillies could be in line for a breakout performance with Lannan (9-13, 3.68 ERA) in town. The left-hander is 1-12 with a 5.81 ERA over 16 starts against the Phillies, going 0-5 with a 7.40 ERA in six outings at Citizens Bank Park. Lannan doesn't enter this matchup with much momentum after compiling a 7.56 ERA over his last two starts. He is 1-6 with a 4.15 ERA in his last seven outings. Lannan won't have to worry about pitching to Ryan Howard (bursitis), who isn't expected to return to the lineup until Thursday at the earliest. He will, though, likely be facing Raul Ibanez and Chase Utley, who are 12 for 25 (.480) and 12 for 32 (.375), respectively, against him -- each going deep twice

    Philadelphia gives the ball to Vance Worley (11-2, 2.85), who could be taking his final turn in the rotation. The Phillies are likely to move the 23-year-old right-hander to the bullpen following this start in order to give him some time to adjust to his new role come October. The decision to make Worley a reliever surely isn't based on performance as he continues to have a stellar season. He leads all rookies with at least 100 innings in ERA and ranks fourth in wins."

    Either way BOL just thought I'd share
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    Quote Originally Posted by Swoop:

    Bo, looking at Phils/Nats U8

    Phils bats are ice-cold and Howard, Pence, and Chooch are out.  The Vanimal has been solid all year.  Especially at home and at night.  Werth is out for the Nats and Phils are known to have some difficulties with Lefties.  Finally, Tim Timmons has been 22-36 O/U the last 2 years.  Ohh, and it's cold and rainy here in Philly.  Thoughts? 


    Hey SWOOP (great pic BTW) I know you're asking BOS but I read this earlier and it turned me off the WASH ML who I was  thinking of playing as nice +175 dogs

    "The Phillies could be in line for a breakout performance with Lannan (9-13, 3.68 ERA) in town. The left-hander is 1-12 with a 5.81 ERA over 16 starts against the Phillies, going 0-5 with a 7.40 ERA in six outings at Citizens Bank Park. Lannan doesn't enter this matchup with much momentum after compiling a 7.56 ERA over his last two starts. He is 1-6 with a 4.15 ERA in his last seven outings. Lannan won't have to worry about pitching to Ryan Howard (bursitis), who isn't expected to return to the lineup until Thursday at the earliest. He will, though, likely be facing Raul Ibanez and Chase Utley, who are 12 for 25 (.480) and 12 for 32 (.375), respectively, against him -- each going deep twice

    Philadelphia gives the ball to Vance Worley (11-2, 2.85), who could be taking his final turn in the rotation. The Phillies are likely to move the 23-year-old right-hander to the bullpen following this start in order to give him some time to adjust to his new role come October. The decision to make Worley a reliever surely isn't based on performance as he continues to have a stellar season. He leads all rookies with at least 100 innings in ERA and ranks fourth in wins."

    Either way BOL just thought I'd share
     
    giangho_viet
    giangho_viet
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2011 - 5:50 PM ET #93

    Bodio , you think Yankees + Texas is a good parlay for tonight ?
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    Bodio , you think Yankees + Texas is a good parlay for tonight ?
     
    Qncyk1
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2011 - 6:19 PM ET #94

    Quote Originally Posted by evc3210:

    you think the yankees are satisfied because they clinched a playoff spot?  This is the yankees not the diamondbacks!  They want home field advantage, CC wants 20 wins and guys got rested in the first game granted they came in later but I dont see them giving any games away until home field is clinched

    nyy used their bp in game 1. also, very hard to sweep doubleheader.

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    Quote Originally Posted by evc3210:

    you think the yankees are satisfied because they clinched a playoff spot?  This is the yankees not the diamondbacks!  They want home field advantage, CC wants 20 wins and guys got rested in the first game granted they came in later but I dont see them giving any games away until home field is clinched

    nyy used their bp in game 1. also, very hard to sweep doubleheader.

     
    NorthOf49Sports
    NorthOf49Sports
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2011 - 7:15 PM ET #95

    going with SEA -1, ATL U8, STL -1. gl.
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    going with SEA -1, ATL U8, STL -1. gl.
     
    stoney1
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2011 - 7:33 PM ET #96

    bodio  i like the under met game just curios why it was not a play thanks and gl
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    bodio  i like the under met game just curios why it was not a play thanks and gl
     
     
    bassaholicman
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2011 - 10:08 PM ET #97

    Bodio - thanx alot for all your write-ups and pics.  i don't post often, but i read your thread when i can and it's always good info.  thx again
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    Bodio - thanx alot for all your write-ups and pics.  i don't post often, but i read your thread when i can and it's always good info.  thx again
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