My
model has this one at 9.8 total runs and 7 would be needed for this
wager to lose. Reds are the 4th best hitting team against lefties this
year so I expect them to have success off Wandy who has been giving up
3/4 ER's in his last 5 starts. Arroyo has allowed 10 HR's in his last 4
starts and 44 on the season. Even the Houston bats should have some
success off him. Arroyo is coming off a 114 pitch outing and I expect
him to give up some runs in this one as well. Both BP's are below
average.
#2: Chicago Cubs +100
This
is Cubs' last HOME game of the season. Sure the season was a total
disaster but you have to believe that they'll have their best lineup on
the field in this one with their best pitcher on the mound. Brewers
don't have much to play for, so they might rest a starter or two.
Either way, I expect the Cubs to field a strong lineup in order to win
their last home game of the season. Garza is a much better pitcher than
Wolf according to advanced stats and Chicago hits lefties pretty well.
Definitely some 'value' with the home team here.
This is it for the early games. I'm capping late games right now and will most likely have a play or two there as well. Back in a bit!
Good luck!
_________________ '10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130 '10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600 '10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800 '10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400 '10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400 '10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200 '10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400 '10 NBA: 151-99 @ 60% for +$42,100 '10 NBAP: 30-26 @ 54% for +$1,400 '10 NHL: 18-9 @ 67% for +$6,175 '10 NHLP: 16-7 @ 70% for +$5,575
----------------------------------- TOTAL: 415-277 @ 60% for +$107,580
"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned"
0
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
2011 MLB Record: 189 - 148 @56%for+22.28 Units
Wed 09/21
#1: OVER 8 HOU/CIN -120
My
model has this one at 9.8 total runs and 7 would be needed for this
wager to lose. Reds are the 4th best hitting team against lefties this
year so I expect them to have success off Wandy who has been giving up
3/4 ER's in his last 5 starts. Arroyo has allowed 10 HR's in his last 4
starts and 44 on the season. Even the Houston bats should have some
success off him. Arroyo is coming off a 114 pitch outing and I expect
him to give up some runs in this one as well. Both BP's are below
average.
#2: Chicago Cubs +100
This
is Cubs' last HOME game of the season. Sure the season was a total
disaster but you have to believe that they'll have their best lineup on
the field in this one with their best pitcher on the mound. Brewers
don't have much to play for, so they might rest a starter or two.
Either way, I expect the Cubs to field a strong lineup in order to win
their last home game of the season. Garza is a much better pitcher than
Wolf according to advanced stats and Chicago hits lefties pretty well.
Definitely some 'value' with the home team here.
This is it for the early games. I'm capping late games right now and will most likely have a play or two there as well. Back in a bit!
Good luck!
_________________ '10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130 '10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600 '10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800 '10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400 '10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400 '10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200 '10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400 '10 NBA: 151-99 @ 60% for +$42,100 '10 NBAP: 30-26 @ 54% for +$1,400 '10 NHL: 18-9 @ 67% for +$6,175 '10 NHLP: 16-7 @ 70% for +$5,575
----------------------------------- TOTAL: 415-277 @ 60% for +$107,580
"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned"
W.
Rodriguez, starting for Houston Astros, has a FIP of 4.14 (#123 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.65 (#61 in MLB), and tERA of 4.44 (#122 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .291, LOB% of 79%, and E-F of -0.59. He has a K/BB ratio of
2.5, with a WHIP of 1.32, and opponent BA of .248. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 35% for a 1.32 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 12%.
B. Arroyo, starting for Cincinnati Reds, has a
FIP of 5.87 (#240 in MLB), xFIP of 4.58 (#191 in MLB), and tERA of 6.18
(#231 in MLB), with a BABIP of .281, LOB% of 73%, and E-F of -0.53. He
has a K/BB ratio of 2.27, with a WHIP of 1.41, and opponent BA of .286.
His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 41%, FB%: 42% for a 0.97
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 15%.
Houston Astros have the #27
bullpen, #22 offense, and are rated #24 in fielding. They have a road
record of 25-55 (31%), ranked #30 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Cincinnati
Reds have the #13 bullpen, #7 offense, and are rated #4 in fielding.
They have a home record of 41-39 (51%), ranked #18 in MLB and have Won 1
in a row.
Odds: HOU +126 (44%) CIN -134 (57%) O/U = 8
Lean: OVER =======================================
Milwaukee Brewers 91-64 (59%) @ Chicago Cubs 68-87 (44%)
R.
Wolf, starting for Milwaukee Brewers, has a FIP of 4.31 (#145 in MLB),
xFIP of 4.47 (#174 in MLB), and tERA of 4.85 (#161 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .277, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of -0.85. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.03,
with a WHIP of 1.28, and opponent BA of .253. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 23%, GB%: 38%, FB%: 39% for a 0.97 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 8%.
M. Garza, starting for Chicago Cubs, has a FIP
of 3.07 (#16 in MLB), xFIP of 3.25 (#19 in MLB), and tERA of 3.71 (#47
in MLB), with a BABIP of .309, LOB% of 69%, and E-F of 0.44. He has a
K/BB ratio of 2.98, with a WHIP of 1.29, and opponent BA of .245. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 32% for a 1.45
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
Milwaukee Brewers have the #7
bullpen, #7 offense, and are rated #9 in fielding. They have a road
record of 39-41 (49%), ranked #16 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Chicago
Cubs have the #17 bullpen, #16 offense, and are rated #19 in fielding.
They have a home record of 38-42 (48%), ranked #20 in MLB and have Lost 1
in a row.
San Diego Padres 67-88 (43%) @ Colorado Rockies 70-84 (46%)
A.
Bass, starting for San Diego Padres, has a FIP of 5.02 (#216 in MLB),
xFIP of 7.52 (#261 in MLB), and tERA of 3.44 (#31 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .263, LOB% of 89%, and E-F of -3.22. He has a K/BB ratio of 0.25,
with a WHIP of 1.8, and opponent BA of .25. His batted-ball peripherals
are: LD%: 23%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 34% for a 1.27 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of
3%.
A. Cook, starting for Colorado Rockies, has a FIP of 4.64
(#183 in MLB), xFIP of 4.53 (#186 in MLB), and tERA of 5.87 (#221 in
MLB), with a BABIP of .335, LOB% of 67%, and E-F of 1.09. He has a K/BB
ratio of 1.09, with a WHIP of 1.67, and opponent BA of .315. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 56%, FB%: 24% for a 2.37
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
San Diego Padres have the #6
bullpen, #28 offense, and are rated #7 in fielding. They have a road
record of 35-45 (44%), ranked #21 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
Colorado
Rockies have the #17 bullpen, #6 offense, and are rated #21 in
fielding. They have a home record of 38-42 (48%), ranked #20 in MLB and
have Lost 6 in a row.
Odds: SDP +102 (50%) COL -108 (52%) O/U = 9.5
Lean: OVER =======================================
R.
Ohlendorf, starting for Pittsburgh Pirates, has a FIP of 4.94 (#211 in
MLB), xFIP of 4.71 (#206 in MLB), and tERA of 5.81 (#218 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .381, LOB% of 64%, and E-F of 1.88. He has a K/BB ratio of
2.3, with a WHIP of 1.83, and opponent BA of .34. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 31%, FB%: 51% for a 0.6 GB/FB ratio, and
a HR/FB of 12%.
W. Miley, starting for Arizona Diamondbacks, has
a FIP of 4.75 (#194 in MLB), xFIP of 4.4 (#167 in MLB), and tERA of
6.36 (#233 in MLB), with a BABIP of .327, LOB% of 80%, and E-F of -0.52.
He has a K/BB ratio of 1.29, with a WHIP of 1.68, and opponent BA of
.294. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 33%, GB%: 37%, FB%: 30% for a
1.22 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 11%.
Pittsburgh Pirates have
the #19 bullpen, #26 offense, and are rated #14 in fielding. They have a
road record of 35-42 (45%), ranked #19 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Arizona
Diamondbacks have the #12 bullpen, #14 offense, and are rated #1 in
fielding. They have a home record of 46-28 (62%), ranked #5 in MLB and
have Lost 1 in a row.
Odds: PIT +169 (37%) ARI -180 (64%) O/U = 9.5
Lean: OVER =======================================
Washington Nationals 74-79 (48%) @ Philadelphia Phillies 98-56 (64%)
J.
Lannan, starting for Washington Nationals, has a FIP of 4.35 (#151 in
MLB), xFIP of 4.2 (#139 in MLB), and tERA of 5.08 (#184 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .296, LOB% of 73%, and E-F of -0.67. He has a K/BB ratio of
1.38, with a WHIP of 1.47, and opponent BA of .268. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 55%, FB%: 25% for a 2.18 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 11%.
V. Worley, starting for Philadelphia
Phillies, has a FIP of 3.05 (#15 in MLB), xFIP of 3.6 (#46 in MLB), and
tERA of 3.95 (#68 in MLB), with a BABIP of .283, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of
-0.18. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.76, with a WHIP of 1.19, and opponent
BA of .229. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 22%, GB%: 40%, FB%:
38% for a 1.05 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 6%.
Washington
Nationals have the #15 bullpen, #23 offense, and are rated #17 in
fielding. They have a road record of 32-44 (42%), ranked #23 in MLB and
have Won 3 in a row.
Philadelphia Phillies have the #13 bullpen,
#10 offense, and are rated #23 in fielding. They have a home record of
52-27 (66%), ranked #2 in MLB and have Lost 4 in a row.
W.
Rodriguez, starting for Houston Astros, has a FIP of 4.14 (#123 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.65 (#61 in MLB), and tERA of 4.44 (#122 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .291, LOB% of 79%, and E-F of -0.59. He has a K/BB ratio of
2.5, with a WHIP of 1.32, and opponent BA of .248. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 35% for a 1.32 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 12%.
B. Arroyo, starting for Cincinnati Reds, has a
FIP of 5.87 (#240 in MLB), xFIP of 4.58 (#191 in MLB), and tERA of 6.18
(#231 in MLB), with a BABIP of .281, LOB% of 73%, and E-F of -0.53. He
has a K/BB ratio of 2.27, with a WHIP of 1.41, and opponent BA of .286.
His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 41%, FB%: 42% for a 0.97
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 15%.
Houston Astros have the #27
bullpen, #22 offense, and are rated #24 in fielding. They have a road
record of 25-55 (31%), ranked #30 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Cincinnati
Reds have the #13 bullpen, #7 offense, and are rated #4 in fielding.
They have a home record of 41-39 (51%), ranked #18 in MLB and have Won 1
in a row.
Odds: HOU +126 (44%) CIN -134 (57%) O/U = 8
Lean: OVER =======================================
Milwaukee Brewers 91-64 (59%) @ Chicago Cubs 68-87 (44%)
R.
Wolf, starting for Milwaukee Brewers, has a FIP of 4.31 (#145 in MLB),
xFIP of 4.47 (#174 in MLB), and tERA of 4.85 (#161 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .277, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of -0.85. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.03,
with a WHIP of 1.28, and opponent BA of .253. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 23%, GB%: 38%, FB%: 39% for a 0.97 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 8%.
M. Garza, starting for Chicago Cubs, has a FIP
of 3.07 (#16 in MLB), xFIP of 3.25 (#19 in MLB), and tERA of 3.71 (#47
in MLB), with a BABIP of .309, LOB% of 69%, and E-F of 0.44. He has a
K/BB ratio of 2.98, with a WHIP of 1.29, and opponent BA of .245. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 32% for a 1.45
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
Milwaukee Brewers have the #7
bullpen, #7 offense, and are rated #9 in fielding. They have a road
record of 39-41 (49%), ranked #16 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Chicago
Cubs have the #17 bullpen, #16 offense, and are rated #19 in fielding.
They have a home record of 38-42 (48%), ranked #20 in MLB and have Lost 1
in a row.
San Diego Padres 67-88 (43%) @ Colorado Rockies 70-84 (46%)
A.
Bass, starting for San Diego Padres, has a FIP of 5.02 (#216 in MLB),
xFIP of 7.52 (#261 in MLB), and tERA of 3.44 (#31 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .263, LOB% of 89%, and E-F of -3.22. He has a K/BB ratio of 0.25,
with a WHIP of 1.8, and opponent BA of .25. His batted-ball peripherals
are: LD%: 23%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 34% for a 1.27 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of
3%.
A. Cook, starting for Colorado Rockies, has a FIP of 4.64
(#183 in MLB), xFIP of 4.53 (#186 in MLB), and tERA of 5.87 (#221 in
MLB), with a BABIP of .335, LOB% of 67%, and E-F of 1.09. He has a K/BB
ratio of 1.09, with a WHIP of 1.67, and opponent BA of .315. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 56%, FB%: 24% for a 2.37
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
San Diego Padres have the #6
bullpen, #28 offense, and are rated #7 in fielding. They have a road
record of 35-45 (44%), ranked #21 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
Colorado
Rockies have the #17 bullpen, #6 offense, and are rated #21 in
fielding. They have a home record of 38-42 (48%), ranked #20 in MLB and
have Lost 6 in a row.
Odds: SDP +102 (50%) COL -108 (52%) O/U = 9.5
Lean: OVER =======================================
R.
Ohlendorf, starting for Pittsburgh Pirates, has a FIP of 4.94 (#211 in
MLB), xFIP of 4.71 (#206 in MLB), and tERA of 5.81 (#218 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .381, LOB% of 64%, and E-F of 1.88. He has a K/BB ratio of
2.3, with a WHIP of 1.83, and opponent BA of .34. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 31%, FB%: 51% for a 0.6 GB/FB ratio, and
a HR/FB of 12%.
W. Miley, starting for Arizona Diamondbacks, has
a FIP of 4.75 (#194 in MLB), xFIP of 4.4 (#167 in MLB), and tERA of
6.36 (#233 in MLB), with a BABIP of .327, LOB% of 80%, and E-F of -0.52.
He has a K/BB ratio of 1.29, with a WHIP of 1.68, and opponent BA of
.294. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 33%, GB%: 37%, FB%: 30% for a
1.22 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 11%.
Pittsburgh Pirates have
the #19 bullpen, #26 offense, and are rated #14 in fielding. They have a
road record of 35-42 (45%), ranked #19 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Arizona
Diamondbacks have the #12 bullpen, #14 offense, and are rated #1 in
fielding. They have a home record of 46-28 (62%), ranked #5 in MLB and
have Lost 1 in a row.
Odds: PIT +169 (37%) ARI -180 (64%) O/U = 9.5
Lean: OVER =======================================
Washington Nationals 74-79 (48%) @ Philadelphia Phillies 98-56 (64%)
J.
Lannan, starting for Washington Nationals, has a FIP of 4.35 (#151 in
MLB), xFIP of 4.2 (#139 in MLB), and tERA of 5.08 (#184 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .296, LOB% of 73%, and E-F of -0.67. He has a K/BB ratio of
1.38, with a WHIP of 1.47, and opponent BA of .268. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 55%, FB%: 25% for a 2.18 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 11%.
V. Worley, starting for Philadelphia
Phillies, has a FIP of 3.05 (#15 in MLB), xFIP of 3.6 (#46 in MLB), and
tERA of 3.95 (#68 in MLB), with a BABIP of .283, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of
-0.18. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.76, with a WHIP of 1.19, and opponent
BA of .229. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 22%, GB%: 40%, FB%:
38% for a 1.05 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 6%.
Washington
Nationals have the #15 bullpen, #23 offense, and are rated #17 in
fielding. They have a road record of 32-44 (42%), ranked #23 in MLB and
have Won 3 in a row.
Philadelphia Phillies have the #13 bullpen,
#10 offense, and are rated #23 in fielding. They have a home record of
52-27 (66%), ranked #2 in MLB and have Lost 4 in a row.
Atlanta Braves 88-67 (57%) @ Florida Marlins 70-85 (45%)
D.
Lowe, starting for Atlanta Braves, has a FIP of 3.61 (#59 in MLB), xFIP
of 3.61 (#48 in MLB), and tERA of 3.99 (#74 in MLB), with a BABIP of
.33, LOB% of 67%, and E-F of 1.33. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.94, with a
WHIP of 1.52, and opponent BA of .281. His batted-ball peripherals are:
LD%: 19%, GB%: 59%, FB%: 22% for a 2.66 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
J.
Vazquez, starting for Florida Marlins, has a FIP of 3.67 (#65 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.94 (#102 in MLB), and tERA of 4 (#78 in MLB), with a BABIP of
.288, LOB% of 68%, and E-F of 0.25. He has a K/BB ratio of 3, with a
WHIP of 1.25, and opponent BA of .247. His batted-ball peripherals are:
LD%: 21%, GB%: 32%, FB%: 47% for a 0.69 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
Atlanta
Braves have the #1 bullpen, #21 offense, and are rated #25 in fielding.
They have a road record of 41-36 (53%), ranked #7 in MLB and have Won 1
in a row.
Florida Marlins have the #8 bullpen, #19 offense, and
are rated #18 in fielding. They have a home record of 29-45 (39%),
ranked #29 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
New York Mets 73-81 (47%) @ St Louis Cardinals 85-69 (55%)
#N/A
J.
Garcia, starting for St Louis Cardinals, has a FIP of 3.23 (#31 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.35 (#28 in MLB), and tERA of 3.43 (#30 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .321, LOB% of 68%, and E-F of 0.36. He has a K/BB ratio of
2.98, with a WHIP of 1.34, and opponent BA of .27. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 53%, FB%: 29% for a 1.82 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 9%.
New York Mets have the #19 bullpen, #7
offense, and are rated #29 in fielding. They have a road record of 42-37
(53%), ranked #8 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
St Louis
Cardinals have the #15 bullpen, #4 offense, and are rated #26 in
fielding. They have a home record of 42-34 (55%), ranked #12 in MLB and
have Won 3 in a row.
Odds: NYM +178 (36%) STL -190 (66%) O/U = 8.5
Lean: UNDER =======================================
San Francisco Giants 83-71 (54%) @ Los Angeles Dodgers 77-76 (50%)
R.
Vogelsong, starting for San Francisco Giants, has a FIP of 3.73 (#75 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.88 (#93 in MLB), and tERA of 4.27 (#100 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .279, LOB% of 80%, and E-F of -0.97. He has a K/BB ratio of
2.15, with a WHIP of 1.28, and opponent BA of .238. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 45%, FB%: 35% for a 1.31 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 8%.
#N/A
San Francisco Giants have the #2
bullpen, #29 offense, and are rated #10 in fielding. They have a road
record of 39-37 (51%), ranked #12 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Los
Angeles Dodgers have the #10 bullpen, #23 offense, and are rated #11 in
fielding. They have a home record of 41-38 (52%), ranked #16 in MLB and
have Won 4 in a row.
Chicago White Sox 75-79 (49%) @ Cleveland Indians 76-77 (50%)
M.
Buehrle, starting for Chicago White Sox, has a FIP of 4.02 (#111 in
MLB), xFIP of 4.21 (#142 in MLB), and tERA of 4.51 (#135 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .298, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of -0.28. He has a K/BB ratio of
2.35, with a WHIP of 1.32, and opponent BA of .277. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 37% for a 1.26 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 8%.
U. Jimenez, starting for Cleveland Indians,
has a FIP of 3.74 (#77 in MLB), xFIP of 3.67 (#64 in MLB), and tERA of
4.36 (#107 in MLB), with a BABIP of .309, LOB% of 66%, and E-F of 0.76.
He has a K/BB ratio of 2.33, with a WHIP of 1.38, and opponent BA of
.249. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 33% for a
1.44 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
Chicago White Sox have the
#5 bullpen, #19 offense, and are rated #12 in fielding. They have a
road record of 42-37 (53%), ranked #8 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Cleveland
Indians have the #9 bullpen, #17 offense, and are rated #27 in
fielding. They have a home record of 40-35 (53%), ranked #14 in MLB and
have Lost 1 in a row.
LAA Angels 84-70 (55%) @ Toronto Blue Jays 78-76 (51%)
D.
Haren, starting for LAA Angels, has a FIP of 2.93 (#13 in MLB), xFIP of
3.29 (#24 in MLB), and tERA of 3.11 (#11 in MLB), with a BABIP of .274,
LOB% of 71%, and E-F of 0.32. He has a K/BB ratio of 5.97, with a WHIP
of 1.03, and opponent BA of .232. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%:
18%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 39% for a 1.11 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.
#N/A
LAA
Angels have the #22 bullpen, #17 offense, and are rated #5 in fielding.
They have a road record of 40-39 (51%), ranked #13 in MLB and have Won 1
in a row.
Toronto Blue Jays have the #21 bullpen, #10 offense,
and are rated #20 in fielding. They have a home record of 41-38 (52%),
ranked #16 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Atlanta Braves 88-67 (57%) @ Florida Marlins 70-85 (45%)
D.
Lowe, starting for Atlanta Braves, has a FIP of 3.61 (#59 in MLB), xFIP
of 3.61 (#48 in MLB), and tERA of 3.99 (#74 in MLB), with a BABIP of
.33, LOB% of 67%, and E-F of 1.33. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.94, with a
WHIP of 1.52, and opponent BA of .281. His batted-ball peripherals are:
LD%: 19%, GB%: 59%, FB%: 22% for a 2.66 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
J.
Vazquez, starting for Florida Marlins, has a FIP of 3.67 (#65 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.94 (#102 in MLB), and tERA of 4 (#78 in MLB), with a BABIP of
.288, LOB% of 68%, and E-F of 0.25. He has a K/BB ratio of 3, with a
WHIP of 1.25, and opponent BA of .247. His batted-ball peripherals are:
LD%: 21%, GB%: 32%, FB%: 47% for a 0.69 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
Atlanta
Braves have the #1 bullpen, #21 offense, and are rated #25 in fielding.
They have a road record of 41-36 (53%), ranked #7 in MLB and have Won 1
in a row.
Florida Marlins have the #8 bullpen, #19 offense, and
are rated #18 in fielding. They have a home record of 29-45 (39%),
ranked #29 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
New York Mets 73-81 (47%) @ St Louis Cardinals 85-69 (55%)
#N/A
J.
Garcia, starting for St Louis Cardinals, has a FIP of 3.23 (#31 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.35 (#28 in MLB), and tERA of 3.43 (#30 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .321, LOB% of 68%, and E-F of 0.36. He has a K/BB ratio of
2.98, with a WHIP of 1.34, and opponent BA of .27. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 53%, FB%: 29% for a 1.82 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 9%.
New York Mets have the #19 bullpen, #7
offense, and are rated #29 in fielding. They have a road record of 42-37
(53%), ranked #8 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
St Louis
Cardinals have the #15 bullpen, #4 offense, and are rated #26 in
fielding. They have a home record of 42-34 (55%), ranked #12 in MLB and
have Won 3 in a row.
Odds: NYM +178 (36%) STL -190 (66%) O/U = 8.5
Lean: UNDER =======================================
San Francisco Giants 83-71 (54%) @ Los Angeles Dodgers 77-76 (50%)
R.
Vogelsong, starting for San Francisco Giants, has a FIP of 3.73 (#75 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.88 (#93 in MLB), and tERA of 4.27 (#100 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .279, LOB% of 80%, and E-F of -0.97. He has a K/BB ratio of
2.15, with a WHIP of 1.28, and opponent BA of .238. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 45%, FB%: 35% for a 1.31 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 8%.
#N/A
San Francisco Giants have the #2
bullpen, #29 offense, and are rated #10 in fielding. They have a road
record of 39-37 (51%), ranked #12 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Los
Angeles Dodgers have the #10 bullpen, #23 offense, and are rated #11 in
fielding. They have a home record of 41-38 (52%), ranked #16 in MLB and
have Won 4 in a row.
Chicago White Sox 75-79 (49%) @ Cleveland Indians 76-77 (50%)
M.
Buehrle, starting for Chicago White Sox, has a FIP of 4.02 (#111 in
MLB), xFIP of 4.21 (#142 in MLB), and tERA of 4.51 (#135 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .298, LOB% of 72%, and E-F of -0.28. He has a K/BB ratio of
2.35, with a WHIP of 1.32, and opponent BA of .277. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 37% for a 1.26 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 8%.
U. Jimenez, starting for Cleveland Indians,
has a FIP of 3.74 (#77 in MLB), xFIP of 3.67 (#64 in MLB), and tERA of
4.36 (#107 in MLB), with a BABIP of .309, LOB% of 66%, and E-F of 0.76.
He has a K/BB ratio of 2.33, with a WHIP of 1.38, and opponent BA of
.249. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 33% for a
1.44 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
Chicago White Sox have the
#5 bullpen, #19 offense, and are rated #12 in fielding. They have a
road record of 42-37 (53%), ranked #8 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Cleveland
Indians have the #9 bullpen, #17 offense, and are rated #27 in
fielding. They have a home record of 40-35 (53%), ranked #14 in MLB and
have Lost 1 in a row.
LAA Angels 84-70 (55%) @ Toronto Blue Jays 78-76 (51%)
D.
Haren, starting for LAA Angels, has a FIP of 2.93 (#13 in MLB), xFIP of
3.29 (#24 in MLB), and tERA of 3.11 (#11 in MLB), with a BABIP of .274,
LOB% of 71%, and E-F of 0.32. He has a K/BB ratio of 5.97, with a WHIP
of 1.03, and opponent BA of .232. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%:
18%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 39% for a 1.11 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.
#N/A
LAA
Angels have the #22 bullpen, #17 offense, and are rated #5 in fielding.
They have a road record of 40-39 (51%), ranked #13 in MLB and have Won 1
in a row.
Toronto Blue Jays have the #21 bullpen, #10 offense,
and are rated #20 in fielding. They have a home record of 41-38 (52%),
ranked #16 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Baltimore Orioles 64-90 (42%) @ Boston Red Sox 88-67 (57%)
T.
Hunter, starting for Baltimore Orioles, has a FIP of 4.82 (#199 in
MLB), xFIP of 4.22 (#145 in MLB), and tERA of 5.69 (#213 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .303, LOB% of 65%, and E-F of 0.43. He has a K/BB ratio of
4.83, with a WHIP of 1.34, and opponent BA of .295. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 23%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 33% for a 1.35 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 9%.
J. Beckett, starting for Boston Red Sox, has a
FIP of 3.38 (#42 in MLB), xFIP of 3.56 (#43 in MLB), and tERA of 3.57
(#38 in MLB), with a BABIP of .243, LOB% of 82%, and E-F of -0.87. He
has a K/BB ratio of 3.45, with a WHIP of 1, and opponent BA of .202. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 39%, FB%: 43% for a 0.91
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
Baltimore Orioles have the #28
bullpen, #14 offense, and are rated #30 in fielding. They have a road
record of 27-49 (36%), ranked #29 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Boston
Red Sox have the #4 bullpen, #2 offense, and are rated #2 in fielding.
They have a home record of 45-35 (56%), ranked #10 in MLB and have Lost 1
in a row.
M.
Pineda, starting for Seattle Mariners, has a FIP of 3.41 (#44 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.48 (#35 in MLB), and tERA of 3.46 (#33 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .254, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of 0.31. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.23, with
a WHIP of 1.08, and opponent BA of .206. His batted-ball peripherals
are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 35%, FB%: 46% for a 0.77 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of
9%.
K. Slowey, starting for Minnesota Twins, has a FIP of 5.37
(#226 in MLB), xFIP of 4.68 (#200 in MLB), and tERA of 6.45 (#238 in
MLB), with a BABIP of .324, LOB% of 60%, and E-F of 1.87. He has a K/BB
ratio of 4.5, with a WHIP of 1.45, and opponent BA of .316. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 30%, FB%: 49% for a 0.62
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 11%.
Seattle Mariners have the #22
bullpen, #30 offense, and are rated #16 in fielding. They have a road
record of 27-46 (37%), ranked #27 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
Minnesota
Twins have the #29 bullpen, #27 offense, and are rated #13 in fielding.
They have a home record of 30-46 (39%), ranked #28 in MLB and have Lost
10 in a row.
Odds: SEA -127 (56%) MIN +120 (45%) O/U = 7.5
Lean: Mariners + OVER
=======================================
Detroit Tigers 89-65 (58%) @ Kansas City Royals 68-87 (44%)
M.
Scherzer, starting for Detroit Tigers, has a FIP of 4.28 (#137 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.74 (#71 in MLB), and tERA of 4.67 (#147 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .309, LOB% of 75%, and E-F of 0.11. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.06,
with a WHIP of 1.35, and opponent BA of .267. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 40%, FB%: 40% for a 0.98 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 11%.
F. Paulino, starting for Kansas City Royals,
has a FIP of 3.7 (#67 in MLB), xFIP of 3.93 (#101 in MLB), and tERA of
3.93 (#64 in MLB), with a BABIP of .328, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of 0.58.
He has a K/BB ratio of 2.25, with a WHIP of 1.41, and opponent BA of
.264. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 36% for a
1.28 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.
Detroit Tigers have the #25
bullpen, #5 offense, and are rated #22 in fielding. They have a road
record of 44-36 (55%), ranked #6 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Kansas
City Royals have the #24 bullpen, #10 offense, and are rated #15 in
fielding. They have a home record of 40-40 (50%), ranked #19 in MLB and
have Won 1 in a row.
Odds: DET -123 (55%) KCR +116 (46%) O/U = 9
Lean: UNDER
=======================================
C.
Wilson, starting for Texas Rangers, has a FIP of 3.24 (#33 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.38 (#30 in MLB), and tERA of 3.65 (#43 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .286, LOB% of 73%, and E-F of -0.28. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.87,
with a WHIP of 1.17, and opponent BA of .229. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 49%, FB%: 32% for a 1.55 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 8%.
B. McCarthy, starting for Oakland Athletics,
has a FIP of 2.76 (#8 in MLB), xFIP of 3.24 (#17 in MLB), and tERA of
3.3 (#23 in MLB), with a BABIP of .301, LOB% of 67%, and E-F of 0.59. He
has a K/BB ratio of 4.64, with a WHIP of 1.15, and opponent BA of .254.
His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 22%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 32% for a
1.48 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 5%.
Texas Rangers have the #30
bullpen, #3 offense, and are rated #8 in fielding. They have a road
record of 40-36 (53%), ranked #11 in MLB and have Won 3 in a row.
Oakland
Athletics have the #11 bullpen, #25 offense, and are rated #28 in
fielding. They have a home record of 42-37 (53%), ranked #15 in MLB and
have Lost 2 in a row.
Baltimore Orioles 64-90 (42%) @ Boston Red Sox 88-67 (57%)
T.
Hunter, starting for Baltimore Orioles, has a FIP of 4.82 (#199 in
MLB), xFIP of 4.22 (#145 in MLB), and tERA of 5.69 (#213 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .303, LOB% of 65%, and E-F of 0.43. He has a K/BB ratio of
4.83, with a WHIP of 1.34, and opponent BA of .295. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 23%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 33% for a 1.35 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 9%.
J. Beckett, starting for Boston Red Sox, has a
FIP of 3.38 (#42 in MLB), xFIP of 3.56 (#43 in MLB), and tERA of 3.57
(#38 in MLB), with a BABIP of .243, LOB% of 82%, and E-F of -0.87. He
has a K/BB ratio of 3.45, with a WHIP of 1, and opponent BA of .202. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 39%, FB%: 43% for a 0.91
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
Baltimore Orioles have the #28
bullpen, #14 offense, and are rated #30 in fielding. They have a road
record of 27-49 (36%), ranked #29 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Boston
Red Sox have the #4 bullpen, #2 offense, and are rated #2 in fielding.
They have a home record of 45-35 (56%), ranked #10 in MLB and have Lost 1
in a row.
M.
Pineda, starting for Seattle Mariners, has a FIP of 3.41 (#44 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.48 (#35 in MLB), and tERA of 3.46 (#33 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .254, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of 0.31. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.23, with
a WHIP of 1.08, and opponent BA of .206. His batted-ball peripherals
are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 35%, FB%: 46% for a 0.77 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of
9%.
K. Slowey, starting for Minnesota Twins, has a FIP of 5.37
(#226 in MLB), xFIP of 4.68 (#200 in MLB), and tERA of 6.45 (#238 in
MLB), with a BABIP of .324, LOB% of 60%, and E-F of 1.87. He has a K/BB
ratio of 4.5, with a WHIP of 1.45, and opponent BA of .316. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 30%, FB%: 49% for a 0.62
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 11%.
Seattle Mariners have the #22
bullpen, #30 offense, and are rated #16 in fielding. They have a road
record of 27-46 (37%), ranked #27 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
Minnesota
Twins have the #29 bullpen, #27 offense, and are rated #13 in fielding.
They have a home record of 30-46 (39%), ranked #28 in MLB and have Lost
10 in a row.
Odds: SEA -127 (56%) MIN +120 (45%) O/U = 7.5
Lean: Mariners + OVER
=======================================
Detroit Tigers 89-65 (58%) @ Kansas City Royals 68-87 (44%)
M.
Scherzer, starting for Detroit Tigers, has a FIP of 4.28 (#137 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.74 (#71 in MLB), and tERA of 4.67 (#147 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .309, LOB% of 75%, and E-F of 0.11. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.06,
with a WHIP of 1.35, and opponent BA of .267. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 40%, FB%: 40% for a 0.98 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 11%.
F. Paulino, starting for Kansas City Royals,
has a FIP of 3.7 (#67 in MLB), xFIP of 3.93 (#101 in MLB), and tERA of
3.93 (#64 in MLB), with a BABIP of .328, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of 0.58.
He has a K/BB ratio of 2.25, with a WHIP of 1.41, and opponent BA of
.264. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 36% for a
1.28 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.
Detroit Tigers have the #25
bullpen, #5 offense, and are rated #22 in fielding. They have a road
record of 44-36 (55%), ranked #6 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Kansas
City Royals have the #24 bullpen, #10 offense, and are rated #15 in
fielding. They have a home record of 40-40 (50%), ranked #19 in MLB and
have Won 1 in a row.
Odds: DET -123 (55%) KCR +116 (46%) O/U = 9
Lean: UNDER
=======================================
C.
Wilson, starting for Texas Rangers, has a FIP of 3.24 (#33 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.38 (#30 in MLB), and tERA of 3.65 (#43 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .286, LOB% of 73%, and E-F of -0.28. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.87,
with a WHIP of 1.17, and opponent BA of .229. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 49%, FB%: 32% for a 1.55 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 8%.
B. McCarthy, starting for Oakland Athletics,
has a FIP of 2.76 (#8 in MLB), xFIP of 3.24 (#17 in MLB), and tERA of
3.3 (#23 in MLB), with a BABIP of .301, LOB% of 67%, and E-F of 0.59. He
has a K/BB ratio of 4.64, with a WHIP of 1.15, and opponent BA of .254.
His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 22%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 32% for a
1.48 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 5%.
Texas Rangers have the #30
bullpen, #3 offense, and are rated #8 in fielding. They have a road
record of 40-36 (53%), ranked #11 in MLB and have Won 3 in a row.
Oakland
Athletics have the #11 bullpen, #25 offense, and are rated #28 in
fielding. They have a home record of 42-37 (53%), ranked #15 in MLB and
have Lost 2 in a row.
good luck today! 
good luck bodio
thanks for the calls...love the over...if I can win with the Cubs then you are a genious... thanks in advance !!
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