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Bodio's MLB Wed 09/07

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Posted: #126
Bodio, In your original write-up you had this game leaning towards the OVER.  Was that a typo or a change of heart?

Quote Originally Posted by bodio:

#2: UNDER 10.5 ARZ/COL -115

Milwood is coming off a very solid performance and hasn't faced Arizona since 2006. Saunders has been pretty decent against Colorado in his 2 starts against them this year. It's cold in Colorado today and the wind is blowing in slightly. Ah, who am I kidding. Forget all this analysis. Yesterday I was on the OVER and it was a very 'lucky' hit. Today I'm playing the UNDER. Let's see if 'gambling' gods are with me tonight!

Good luck!
 
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Posted: #127

Parlay with with Angels R/L which is the best bet of today.

Bodio, what's up with the Milwaukee spread. Why is Grienke getting no love in this match-up?

 
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Posted: #128
wow , its dropping to 9.5 now
 
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Posted: #129
Quote Originally Posted by bodio:

2011 MLB Record:
177 - 140 @ 56% for +19.11 Units




Wed 09/07

#1: New York Mets -116
 
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Posted: #130

Bodioooo ........no sweat for the Mets......Job 1.....done...

very sweet work again B

 
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Posted: #131
Wooo Mets win!
 
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Posted: #132

Money again! Thanks for the work my man.

 

 
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Posted: #133

thanks for the mets winner bodio!!!! 

looking forward to the football season too!!

 

 
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Posted: #134
Quote Originally Posted by jpg30:



QUOTEBodio, In your original write-up you had this game leaning towards the OVER.  Was that a typo or a change of heart?

Originally Posted by bodio:

#2: UNDER 10.5 ARZ/COL -115

Milwood is coming off a very solid performance and hasn't faced Arizona since 2006. Saunders has been pretty decent against Colorado in his 2 starts against them this year. It's cold in Colorado today and the wind is blowing in slightly. Ah, who am I kidding. Forget all this analysis. Yesterday I was on the OVER and it was a very 'lucky' hit. Today I'm playing the UNDER. Let's see if 'gambling' gods are with me tonight!

Good luck!


After I handicapped the game properly I felt there was a lot of 'value' on the UNDER.  Plus remember that OVER play we had last night?  The UNDER should have hit and the bookies didn't adjust the #...until now I see...It's dropping like crazy!
 
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Posted: #135
nice hit bodio! good work. thanks and i am about to read your nfl write up which i have been waiting for. 
 
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Posted: #136
Quote Originally Posted by DrewSinatra:

Parlay with with Angels R/L which is the best bet of today.

Bodio, what's up with the Milwaukee spread. Why is Grienke getting no love in this match-up?



I respectfully disagree.  That's not the 'best' bet today and a home team RL should never be considered a 'best' bet IMO.

Parlay the UNDER 10 -125 with Real Madrid this weekend.  They won't lose...that team at home is sick
 
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Posted: #137
Quote Originally Posted by giangho_viet:

wow , its dropping to 9.5 now

Would you think of hitting the other side Bodio if it hit 9 before the first pitch? Nice middle opportunity possibly.
 
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Posted: #138
Quote Originally Posted by bodio:



After I handicapped the game properly I felt there was a lot of 'value' on the UNDER.  Plus remember that OVER play we had last night?  The UNDER should have hit and the bookies didn't adjust the #...until now I see...It's dropping like crazy!


By the way, this is another reason why 'strong leans' should NOT be bet blindly.  Those are just statistical leans that my model spits out.  YOu have to properly handicap each of those leans.  It does not happen often, but once in awhile I do go against the model's lean...Let's see if it's a smart move tonight
 
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Posted: #139


RESPECT BODIO!
 
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Posted: #140
Quote Originally Posted by buildingbank:


Would you think of hitting the other side Bodio if it hit 9 before the first pitch? Nice middle opportunity possibly.


Nah...I don't bet to middle.  I bet to win so no need to 'middle' after the fact.  Only bettors that predict line/odds moves should be concerned with middling. 
 
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Posted: #141
OK fellas.  I have my last fantasy football draft coming up in 10 minutes...10 team redraft league, receptions count. 

Time to dominate it!! hehe

Talk to you all later and good luck with your plays tonight!

 
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Posted: #142
Quote Originally Posted by bodio:



Nah...I don't bet to middle.  I bet to win so no need to 'middle' after the fact.  Only bettors that predict line/odds moves should be concerned with middling. 

Gotcha. Nice call on the Mets and lets get this under for a sweep. 
 
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Posted: #143
nice..
 
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Posted: #144
Good Luck Bodio. Thanks for the help. Crush them in the fantasy draft.
 
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Posted: #145
both pitchers have fairly good numbers with Gerry Davis. 
 
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Posted: #146

parlayed U 10 ARZ with LA/Seattle U 9

 
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Posted: #147
Hey Bodio,

I also was thinking of using Cle or Hou for Survivor.  Worried about Cle though, I know Cin sucks, still haven't made up mind.  Are you planning to put up a Survivor pool thread?
 
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Posted: #148
I also like SF and the Bills as possible survivor plays. Bills are going to be better than people think. No way Pats lose to Miami. Too much time to prepare
 
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Posted: #149
one of my book close under 9.5-170 over +150
is that even possible??
 
 
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Posted: #150

Quote Originally Posted by jpg30:

Im using 5dimes & my total was 9.5, so I bought it down to 8.5 & went Over

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