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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    Bodio's MLB Fri 06/17

    123 Next Last»
    bodio
    steelwill43
    VLR
    cuso
    JamesPants
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 8706
    Posts: 62
    123 Next Last»
     
    bodio
    bodio
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2011 - 12:49 PM ET #1

    2011 MLB Record:
    90 - 71 @ 56% for +9.89 Units




    Fri, 06/17

    #1: Minnesota Twins -132
    Twins get Mauer back for this one and they're playing much better baseball right now than at the start of the season. Duensing is coming off a 56-pitch performance and I expect him to rebound at home against the worst hitting lineup in baseball. Padres' BP is much better than Minnesota's but Twinkies' pen is well rested so that advantage should be reduced somewhat. Padres are 3-10 in Richard's starts this year and I expect him to struggle here as his road ERA is 3.72 higher than at home.

    #2: Arizona Diamondbacks -132
    White Sox made a mistake trading Hudson for Jackson last year, as they've gotten a worse pitcher in return. I expect Jackson to get hit hard today with his poor 4.5 tERA and 24% LD%, against a top 6 D-Backs lineup. Diamondbacks have a better starting pitching, better hitting, better BP and better fielding in this one. Plus they're playing at home, as the White Sox had to travel yesterday from Minnesota. These are very affordable odds on a much better home-squad.

    #3: UNDER 8 KCR/STL -110
    Paulino has never faced the Cards before so he'll have an advantage a couple of times through the rotation. Carpenter is coming off a poor outing and I expect him to 'rebound' here against a KC team that is traveling from a long West Coast trip to play this one. Both pitchers have been pretty unlucky so far this year with BABIP's over .320 and GB% at 50%+. I see a low scoring game here in one of the worst hitting ball-parks in the majors.

    _________________

    '10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130
    '10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600
    '10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800
    '10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400
    '10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400
    '10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200
    '10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400
    '10 NBA: 151-99 @ 60% for +$42,100
    '10 NBAP: 30-26 @ 54% for +$1,400
    '10 NHL: 18-9 @ 67% for +$6,175
    '10 NHLP: 16-7 @ 70% for +$5,575

    -----------------------------------
    TOTAL: 415-277 @ 60% for +$107,580




    "A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned"

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    2011 MLB Record:
    90 - 71 @ 56% for +9.89 Units




    Fri, 06/17

    #1: Minnesota Twins -132
    Twins get Mauer back for this one and they're playing much better baseball right now than at the start of the season. Duensing is coming off a 56-pitch performance and I expect him to rebound at home against the worst hitting lineup in baseball. Padres' BP is much better than Minnesota's but Twinkies' pen is well rested so that advantage should be reduced somewhat. Padres are 3-10 in Richard's starts this year and I expect him to struggle here as his road ERA is 3.72 higher than at home.

    #2: Arizona Diamondbacks -132
    White Sox made a mistake trading Hudson for Jackson last year, as they've gotten a worse pitcher in return. I expect Jackson to get hit hard today with his poor 4.5 tERA and 24% LD%, against a top 6 D-Backs lineup. Diamondbacks have a better starting pitching, better hitting, better BP and better fielding in this one. Plus they're playing at home, as the White Sox had to travel yesterday from Minnesota. These are very affordable odds on a much better home-squad.

    #3: UNDER 8 KCR/STL -110
    Paulino has never faced the Cards before so he'll have an advantage a couple of times through the rotation. Carpenter is coming off a poor outing and I expect him to 'rebound' here against a KC team that is traveling from a long West Coast trip to play this one. Both pitchers have been pretty unlucky so far this year with BABIP's over .320 and GB% at 50%+. I see a low scoring game here in one of the worst hitting ball-parks in the majors.

    _________________

    '10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130
    '10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600
    '10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800
    '10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400
    '10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400
    '10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200
    '10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400
    '10 NBA: 151-99 @ 60% for +$42,100
    '10 NBAP: 30-26 @ 54% for +$1,400
    '10 NHL: 18-9 @ 67% for +$6,175
    '10 NHLP: 16-7 @ 70% for +$5,575

    -----------------------------------
    TOTAL: 415-277 @ 60% for +$107,580




    "A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned"

     
    steelwill43
    steelwill43
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2011 - 12:53 PM ET #2

    BOL bodio
    Reply
    BOL bodio
     
    VLR
    VLR
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2011 - 12:54 PM ET #3

    GL Bodio   Really like that Cards under.  Took it last night at 8, it's down to 7.5 in my book today
    Reply
    GL Bodio   Really like that Cards under.  Took it last night at 8, it's down to 7.5 in my book today
     
    cuso
    cuso
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2011 - 12:56 PM ET #4

    Good luck bodio.
    Reply
    Good luck bodio.
     
    JamesPants
    JamesPants
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2011 - 1:01 PM ET #5

    Reply
     
    afgking4life
    afgking4life
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2011 - 1:05 PM ET #6

    Would you say MINN 1st 5 would be the better bed if their bullpen is weaker?

    Please advise. 
    Reply
    Would you say MINN 1st 5 would be the better bed if their bullpen is weaker?

    Please advise. 
     
    yogz1
    yogz1
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2011 - 1:06 PM ET #7

    gl Bodio.....
    Reply
    gl Bodio.....
     
    saviola
    saviola
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2011 - 1:09 PM ET #8

    Gl Bodio!
    Reply
    Gl Bodio!
     
    Barbosa212
    Barbosa212
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2011 - 1:11 PM ET #9

    Love #1 and #2. AZ at home is tough!
    Reply
    Love #1 and #2. AZ at home is tough!
     
    eknilb
    eknilb
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2011 - 1:14 PM ET #10

    love all 3 lets sweep tonight
    Reply
    love all 3 lets sweep tonight
     
    xbaggypants
    xbaggypants
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2011 - 1:17 PM ET #11

    Reply
     
    1bajalife
    1bajalife
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2011 - 1:19 PM ET #12

    Solid write-ups Bodio 
    Reply
    Solid write-ups Bodio 
     
    bodio
    bodio
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2011 - 1:20 PM ET #13

    Quote Originally Posted by afgking4life:

    Would you say MINN 1st 5 would be the better bed if their bullpen is weaker?

    Please advise. 

    Not necessarily.  YOu'd be missing out on 4 innings of Minnesota's offense, which is much better with Mauer in there.  Their pen is well rested and should be just fine against mediocre SD bats...
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by afgking4life:

    Would you say MINN 1st 5 would be the better bed if their bullpen is weaker?

    Please advise. 

    Not necessarily.  YOu'd be missing out on 4 innings of Minnesota's offense, which is much better with Mauer in there.  Their pen is well rested and should be just fine against mediocre SD bats...
     
    bodio
    bodio
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2011 - 1:21 PM ET #14

    Quote Originally Posted by eknilb:

    love all 3 lets sweep tonight

    hehe..I'm assuming there is no ROM on these today!  :)
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by eknilb:

    love all 3 lets sweep tonight

    hehe..I'm assuming there is no ROM on these today!  :)
     
    keepitstrict
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2011 - 1:32 PM ET #15

    good luck bodio!
    Reply
    good luck bodio!
     
    buffalo11
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2011 - 1:33 PM ET #16

    st louis ML
    Reply
    st louis ML
     
    slikstiks99
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2011 - 1:33 PM ET #17

    I love the Twins and D-backs. I think the under is a bit risky for my taste though.
    Reply
    I love the Twins and D-backs. I think the under is a bit risky for my taste though.
     
    win1234
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2011 - 1:35 PM ET #18

    Bodio,

    Any toughts or leans on the cubs/yankees game? Thanks!
    Reply
    Bodio,

    Any toughts or leans on the cubs/yankees game? Thanks!
     
    Bucci020
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2011 - 1:38 PM ET #19

    im on minnesota too today bodio. . . BOL
    Reply
    im on minnesota too today bodio. . . BOL
     
    GiLmo574
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2011 - 1:39 PM ET #20

    *BOL* today, bodio! 

     

     GiL

    Reply

    *BOL* today, bodio! 

     

     GiL

     
    ManassaMauler
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2011 - 1:39 PM ET #21

    Reply
     
    bodio
    bodio
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2011 - 1:43 PM ET #22

    Quote Originally Posted by win1234:

    Bodio,

    Any toughts or leans on the cubs/yankees game? Thanks!

    I was leaning yankees at -135 (openner) but it's way too juiced up right now.  Can't back Davis though.  UNDER 9.5 might be worth a look for a small action wager
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by win1234:

    Bodio,

    Any toughts or leans on the cubs/yankees game? Thanks!

    I was leaning yankees at -135 (openner) but it's way too juiced up right now.  Can't back Davis though.  UNDER 9.5 might be worth a look for a small action wager
     
    LasVegasLord
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2011 - 1:45 PM ET #23

    BOL today Bodio.
    Reply
    BOL today Bodio.
     
    win1234
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2011 - 1:48 PM ET #24

    Quote Originally Posted by bodio:


    I was leaning yankees at -135 (openner) but it's way too juiced up right now.  Can't back Davis though.  UNDER 9.5 might be worth a look for a small action wager


    Thank you sir!
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by bodio:


    I was leaning yankees at -135 (openner) but it's way too juiced up right now.  Can't back Davis though.  UNDER 9.5 might be worth a look for a small action wager


    Thank you sir!
     
     
    5t4r5align
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2011 - 1:48 PM ET #25

    Reply
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