Lay off Tim Hudson at home (4-3, 5.01 ERA), and follow away (4-1, 1.94 ERA). Hudson pitches in Miami tomorrow by the way, facing Buehrle.
Fade Jurrjens next start. He has been terrible lately.
Follow Giants (20-9), Yankees (21-12), and Red Sox (20-11) against LHP.
Avoid betting on shitty teams unless you can provide an overwhelming amount of data to justify it.
Don't put in 15 plays a day. I learned this one the hard way, getting down 47U. Once I started making 5 plays or less, I got it all back and then some.
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Lay off Tim Hudson at home (4-3, 5.01 ERA), and follow away (4-1, 1.94 ERA). Hudson pitches in Miami tomorrow by the way, facing Buehrle.
Fade Jurrjens next start. He has been terrible lately.
Follow Giants (20-9), Yankees (21-12), and Red Sox (20-11) against LHP.
Avoid betting on shitty teams unless you can provide an overwhelming amount of data to justify it.
Don't put in 15 plays a day. I learned this one the hard way, getting down 47U. Once I started making 5 plays or less, I got it all back and then some.
A rule I consistently live by is the double header theory. Since this stat has been recorded, it has worked 77% of the time. The team that wins the first game in a double header loses 77% in the night cap of the double header. This has paid off for me countless amount of times and I place my wager strictly based on this without even acknowledging the match ups of the teams or pitchers. Many people may not agree with this but it keeps winning me money and paying off.
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A rule I consistently live by is the double header theory. Since this stat has been recorded, it has worked 77% of the time. The team that wins the first game in a double header loses 77% in the night cap of the double header. This has paid off for me countless amount of times and I place my wager strictly based on this without even acknowledging the match ups of the teams or pitchers. Many people may not agree with this but it keeps winning me money and paying off.
1.Don't go ALL IN on the Yankees' last game thinking they won't get swept. 2.The hottest pick on board is usually the team giving up the most juice, so why not play the ml and rl every time. 3.Home teams play harder than teams on the road.
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1.Don't go ALL IN on the Yankees' last game thinking they won't get swept. 2.The hottest pick on board is usually the team giving up the most juice, so why not play the ml and rl every time. 3.Home teams play harder than teams on the road.
4. Don't bet early, always wait to watch the line moves until the game kicks off.
Tone10 has made a lot of money by catching additional value on lines when they first come out. I have done the same a couple of times this season. Can't say I agree with this one, though I can understand why you would include it.
Quote Originally Posted by mattdew:
-don't bet on tampa when shield pitch
Tampa Bay has won 3 out of 4 of Shields July starts. Tampa Bay is 1-3 on Cobb's July starts and 0-3 on Hellickson's.
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Quote Originally Posted by OKCITY:
4. Don't bet early, always wait to watch the line moves until the game kicks off.
Tone10 has made a lot of money by catching additional value on lines when they first come out. I have done the same a couple of times this season. Can't say I agree with this one, though I can understand why you would include it.
Quote Originally Posted by mattdew:
-don't bet on tampa when shield pitch
Tampa Bay has won 3 out of 4 of Shields July starts. Tampa Bay is 1-3 on Cobb's July starts and 0-3 on Hellickson's.
One rule that my friends give me a lot of shit about is not bettin the 1st 3 weeks of the NFL.
That's really hard to do, with football replacing the long base season, but don't think anyone has a handle that early in the season. Remember Dream Team Philly shittin the bed.
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One rule that my friends give me a lot of shit about is not bettin the 1st 3 weeks of the NFL.
That's really hard to do, with football replacing the long base season, but don't think anyone has a handle that early in the season. Remember Dream Team Philly shittin the bed.
I'm almost certain that in the history of baseball. More than 55% of the time. The team that wins game 1, also wins game 2. I could be wrong, but I don't think I am. I have watched a few double headers in my day on TV and they brought this stat up. I believe you that you have made money going with the other team. But overall, the sweep is more common.
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@tstove....About the double header theory.
I'm almost certain that in the history of baseball. More than 55% of the time. The team that wins game 1, also wins game 2. I could be wrong, but I don't think I am. I have watched a few double headers in my day on TV and they brought this stat up. I believe you that you have made money going with the other team. But overall, the sweep is more common.
I have just looked up facts about the double header theory because I too have only heard this through word of mouth and this is what I came up with.
"According to the Elias Sports Bureau, only 26.2 percent of doubleheaders end in a sweep. That means that if you were to just blindly pick a team and work a chase on them you would win money in three of four doubleheaders. There aren’t many systems in any sport where you can use “close your eyes and pick a team” and win 75 percent of the time. But, according to our friends at Elias, that’s the case with MLB doubleheaders.
The problem is, that statistic is likely an “all-time” stat. And over the last half-decade we have seen a much, much greater incidence of doubleheader sweeps than the statistical norm."
Pretty surprising to see the second paragraph but I will keep to my theory and keep cashing
I guess we were both right!
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I have just looked up facts about the double header theory because I too have only heard this through word of mouth and this is what I came up with.
"According to the Elias Sports Bureau, only 26.2 percent of doubleheaders end in a sweep. That means that if you were to just blindly pick a team and work a chase on them you would win money in three of four doubleheaders. There aren’t many systems in any sport where you can use “close your eyes and pick a team” and win 75 percent of the time. But, according to our friends at Elias, that’s the case with MLB doubleheaders.
The problem is, that statistic is likely an “all-time” stat. And over the last half-decade we have seen a much, much greater incidence of doubleheader sweeps than the statistical norm."
Pretty surprising to see the second paragraph but I will keep to my theory and keep cashing
Some rules I've used the past 2 seasons to make some nice cash:
1) Never chase a victory by doubling your bet each time
2) If you lose early in the day, don't automatically add to your night game bets to make it up (exception is if you find a legitimate reason to do so).
3) This one is key and may sound weird: try to visualize the game play out. Once you look at all the stats/trends etc, can you find a likely potential scenario where your bet will lose? If yes, back off.
A perfect example was when Capuano faced the Bautista the other day. No stat out there (that I pay attention to) suggested the Mets win that game. So, I went large on the Dodgers.
4) Focus on betting only certain teams and avoiding other teams. I almost never bet on teams with shit offenses because the odds of them scoring few runs every game are high. My favourite teams to bet are teams like the Yankees, Jays, Cardinals, etc. as at any point they can get back into the game in one inning.
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Some rules I've used the past 2 seasons to make some nice cash:
1) Never chase a victory by doubling your bet each time
2) If you lose early in the day, don't automatically add to your night game bets to make it up (exception is if you find a legitimate reason to do so).
3) This one is key and may sound weird: try to visualize the game play out. Once you look at all the stats/trends etc, can you find a likely potential scenario where your bet will lose? If yes, back off.
A perfect example was when Capuano faced the Bautista the other day. No stat out there (that I pay attention to) suggested the Mets win that game. So, I went large on the Dodgers.
4) Focus on betting only certain teams and avoiding other teams. I almost never bet on teams with shit offenses because the odds of them scoring few runs every game are high. My favourite teams to bet are teams like the Yankees, Jays, Cardinals, etc. as at any point they can get back into the game in one inning.
*** Dont buy into the hype of the MARLINS new stadium and offseason offensive acquisitions... everything about them is terrible, offense, bullpen, and coaching
FADE FADE FADE
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*** Dont buy into the hype of the MARLINS new stadium and offseason offensive acquisitions... everything about them is terrible, offense, bullpen, and coaching
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in just one inning
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