Posted:
#51
Quote Originally Posted by sicknesscity:
That's the one thing I've openly asked Si1ly about. I pointed out the disparity between Nova and Buchholz yesterday (which the results proved) and I have to agree with you here. There's absolutely no reason for Felix not to be in the top 30 pitchers of the past 30 days. I know he incorporates a lot of advanced metrics into the equation but maybe the formula could use a bit of tweaking.
That's the one thing I've openly asked Si1ly about. I pointed out the disparity between Nova and Buchholz yesterday (which the results proved) and I have to agree with you here. There's absolutely no reason for Felix not to be in the top 30 pitchers of the past 30 days. I know he incorporates a lot of advanced metrics into the equation but maybe the formula could use a bit of tweaking.
King Felix has been lights out.. I don't know why his advanced stats aren't holding up to his recent success. FYI, Felix's perfect game is not included in the top 30 report. I know one reason he's not in the top 30 prior to his start against Tampa and that's his K% and BB% which were both below league average. I would imagine he'll slide into the top 30 the next time I run the rankings.
As for Buchholz and Nova. Clay gave up 3 earned runs to Baltimore's offense (ranked in the bottom 5) and Nova gave up 4 earned runs to Texas' offense (ranked in the top 5). Their performances were not all that dissimilar.
One thing people need to know about the rankings is they're strictly quantitative. I do not move around the players based on my personal preferences. They're power ranked according to how they perform versus league average in major pitching categories, like the advanced ERA-scaled predictors as well as K and BB rates and batted ball peripherals. Obviously I would give a personal boost to Felix and Buchholz in my power rankings, but that's not the point of why I publish them. They're generated largely using predictor metrics so they're more like a power ranking of expected future performance, not a power ranking of how they performed over the last 30 days. Does that make sense?
It's important to bring up points like this because these types of quality judgement improve the overall utility of the quantitative power rankings that I publish.
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