Hello everyone and welcome to my MLB System Plays thread. A few of you may know me from my NBA System Plays which have performed great over the years so now I am going to start posting my MLB plays as well. The NBA plays have basically hit 60% for the last 10-12 years and have served me very well. The MLB plays will not approach that 60% mark long term like the NBA ones do but there are far more of the MLB plays to make up for it. There will be anywhere from 150-300 MLB plays in a season compared to only like 50 of the NBA. I've refrained from posting the MLB plays because it gets difficult to get them all posted daily but I'm going to make a real effort this year to follow thru with them all.
All my plays are O/U bets from numbers based systems that teams must fit a certain criteria to qualify. Basically if Team A and Team B do X then bam its a play. There are ZERO opinions involved in these plays, theyre all strictly numbers based and black and white. A play either qualifies or it doesn't, there's no talking myself into or out of a play.
A tiny bit about myself so you know who the person is making these plays. I'm a 41 year old guy in Southern California whose passion in life is sports betting, I just love every single thing about it. Like most people I lost my ass yearly honestly up until about 2010. That's when I got lucky and met a few really sharp guys and they showed me a lot of things that really made me look at it all differently. The main thing they taught me was you have to have some kind of edge if youre gonna win long term at this, just "knowing the game" and watching a ton of sports just isn't enough to win year in and year out cuz lets face it, as good as you THINK you know sports, you don't know SPORTS GAMBLING better than the top linesmakers in the world do. Sports knowledge and Sports gambling ARE NOT THE SAME THING, theyre two totally different things whether you wanna believe it or not. Seriously, how many former players do you see making picks and they just suck? A LOT. So I really just took more time analyzing the lines and situations than I did stuff like "oh wow the mariners are really bad right now lets fade them" and slowly but surely things really turned around for me. I always felt there has to be certain situations that steer games over or under consistently and Ive spent countless hours analyzing this stuff and by now I feel I have these systems pretty finely tuned for results.
DISCLAIMER : I am not and will never reveal what the systems actually are. I know a lot of you read that and roll your eyes and say whatever but the bottom line is there's just not one positive thing that can come out of it. There are positives for you, but not for me so its not gonna happen so really don't even waste the time asking. I agree it sucks but again think about it, theres just no angle at all where it benefits me. Follow long enough and you can figure parts of them out but all the factors combined is kinda impossible to figure out. Another thing is I'm not gonna freak out over bad stretches or if I start out real shitty. My bet size is 2% of my working bankroll, not 50 or 100% like most people on here, so if I start out 0-6 or 2-11 I'm not gonna quit or start chasing or start arguing with all of you about how my systems are terrible. If after 200 plays I am down money then I will be a tiny bit concerned but that's not gonna happen. 54% and +15 units is my goal. I honestly hope to do more units and maybe go 55-56% but 54 and 15 are the goals and as long as I hit those goals I will consider the season a success regardless if any of you do or not. I don't mean to sound arrogant or snooty but some people on here are just such terrible spastic gamblers I'm just letting you know now I don't buy into of that immature foolish gambler act. Rip me all you want but just don't honestly expect me to take u seriously. In all honesty even 200 plays isn't a large enough sample size to really prove anything but we'll just use that number for now.
Anyways this is dragging on a bit but I wanted to give a true explanation of who I am and what I'm doing here on the 1st post of the thread, sorry for the novel but I felt some background would help. As of now the 1st play tomorrow will be on the Giants/Mets UNDER but I will confirm it in the morning. I wont have time for this whole write up tomorrow during the workday so I wanted to get it in here now. Don't bet the play yet, it likely will not change but it could.
Thanks for reading and best of luck to all of us this season
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