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🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵

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Legend
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Posted: #6076

LIVE BET, bottom 1, CWS 2 - 1, none on, none out: CWS -241 @pinn

 
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Posted: #6077

@fubah2

 clover

 
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Posted: #6078

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

LIVE BET, bottom 1, CWS 2 - 1, none on, none out: CWS -241 @pinn

Oh-ooh  an_eek2

 
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Posted: #6079

I have Dodgers with about +0.2 run edge. Obviously Dodgers have the better offense. But it's also clear that Padres send up a modestly better starter who is backed up by a stronger pen.  In a similar situation Friday, Padres won 7 - 1, but lost Saturday when the strength on the mound was reversed.

This may set up for a "value bet" on Padres particularly if the line moves up more, but I'm undecided on playing it...

 
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Posted: #6080

Quote Originally Posted by OO7CRUSHER:

@fubah2 clover

@OO7CRUSHER

TY! ....and BoL with your bets today! an_2drinks

 
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Posted: #6081

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

LIVE BET, bottom 1, CWS 2 - 1, none on, none out: CWS -241 @pinn

 

LIVE hedge BET, bot-8th, none out, none on, 5 - 4: Royals -235 @B365

 
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Posted: #6082

Sunday Fun Day  confused June 28:

 

W Pitts -130 @pinn 1st5
W Wash +1.5 - 115 @pinn
W Tampa -184 @pinn
W Tampa -1 -103 @pinn 1st5
 L  Rockies +130 @pinn "value bet"  ...coin-flipper
pending...Cleveland -104 @pinn
pending...CWS -130 @pinn
pending...LIVE BET, bottom 1, CWS 2 - 1, none on, none out: CWS -241 @pinn
pending...LIVE hedge BET, bot-8th, none out, none on, 5 - 4: Royals -235 @B365
pending...Astros -107 @pinn
delay ...Pitts -130 @pinn

 
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Posted: #6083

Sunday Fun Day  confused June 28:

 

W  Pitts -130 @pinn 1st5
W  Wash +1.5 - 115 @pinn
W  Tampa -184 @pinn
W  Tampa -1 -103 @pinn 1st5
 L  Rockies +130 @pinn "value bet"  ...coin-flipper
W  Cleveland -104 @pinn
 L   CWS -130 @pinn
 L   LIVE BET, bottom 1, CWS 2 - 1, none on, none out: CWS -241 @pinn
W  LIVE hedge BET, bot-8th, none out, none on, 5 - 4: Royals -235 @B365
W  Astros -107 @pinn

pending...Pitts -130 @pinn

 
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Posted: #6084

@fubah2

 an_cheers

 
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Posted: #6085

@fubah2

 Nicely done! an_clap

 
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Posted: #6086

Any info on the Boston Yanks game?

 
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Posted: #6087

Quote Originally Posted by googotts:

Any info on the Boston Yanks game?

Tough to judge this one because of the intense rivalry. No team - and a GOOD ONE! - just tamely submits to being swept  in 4 by a clearly weaker opponent (entering the series, that is)  But timing is everything and the Yankees are in a batting slump while BoSox are getting the hits and runs in past 3 games facing GOOD Yankee starters backed up by their SOLID bullpen!

It's defying logic, which unfortunately has been the norm the past two weeks!  And what's more frustrating is it can turnaround at any moment! angry

an_lightBoSox should have the edge, though.  I have BoSox with a reasonable edge on the mound and - if we are to assume the Yankee batting slump continues, and they don't choose tonight to break out - then BoSox are better at the plate too!... all told my capping is suggesting an edge for Boston of ~ +0.8 runs to +1.1 runs and getting a real cheap line ta boot!

But herein lies the problem.....it's lining up to be "logical" for a BoSox win (ie, too good to be true)fingershake  It relies on assumptions (guesses??) that the NYY slump continues and the BoSox continue batting ABOVE normal expectation for them.  The pens look closely matched and GRAY has the pitching edge for sure IF HE DOESN'T HAVE A BAD DAY - like Dylan Cease did yesterday!!!angry  How do we accurately predict if a starter is going to have a bad day?!? 

Normally I would bet BoSox here.  But my past two weeks would suggest that solid edge would disappear into a coin-flipper and I would likely lose this "logical" bet.  So I am NOT betting it, and NOT suggesting it as a pick for anyone.  I've seen just as many "logical" bets fall as I have seen win the last 2 weeks and PASS is my stance... 

cool BoL fellas whatever you decide . . .  though I'd guess the forum is likely split. 

 
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Posted: #6088

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by googotts: Any info on the Boston Yanks game? Tough to judge this one because of the intense rivalry. No team - and a GOOD ONE! - just tamely submits to being swept  in 4 by a clearly weaker opponent (entering the series, that is)  But timing is everything and the Yankees are in a batting slump while BoSox are getting the hits and runs in past 3 games facing GOOD Yankee starters backed up by their SOLID bullpen! It's defying logic, which unfortunately has been the norm the past two weeks!  And what's more frustrating is it can turnaround at any moment!  BoSox should have the edge, though.  I have BoSox with a reasonable edge on the mound and - if we are to assume the Yankee batting slump continues, and they don't choose tonight to break out - then BoSox are better at the plate too!... all told my capping is suggesting an edge for Boston of ~ +0.8 runs to +1.1 runs and getting a real cheap line ta boot! But herein lies the problem.....it's lining up to be "logical" for a BoSox win (ie, too good to be true)  It relies on assumptions (guesses??) that the NYY slump continues and the BoSox continue batting ABOVE normal expectation for them.  The pens look closely matched and GRAY has the pitching edge for sure IF HE DOESN'T HAVE A BAD DAY - like Dylan Cease did yesterday!!!  How do we accurately predict if a starter is going to have a bad day?!?  Normally I would bet BoSox here.  But my past two weeks would suggest that solid edge would disappear into a coin-flipper and I would likely lose this "logical" bet.  So I am NOT betting it, and NOT suggesting it as a pick for anyone.  I've seen just as many "logical" bets fall as I have seen win the last 2 weeks and PASS is my stance...   BoL fellas whatever you decide . . .  though I'd guess the forum is likely split.

That said, a LIVE BET is always possible ...

 
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Posted: #6089

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by googotts: Any info on the Boston Yanks game? Tough to judge this one because of the intense rivalry. No team - and a GOOD ONE! - just tamely submits to being swept  in 4 by a clearly weaker opponent (entering the series, that is)  But timing is everything and the Yankees are in a batting slump while BoSox are getting the hits and runs in past 3 games facing GOOD Yankee starters backed up by their SOLID bullpen! It's defying logic, which unfortunately has been the norm the past two weeks!  And what's more frustrating is it can turnaround at any moment!  BoSox should have the edge, though.  I have BoSox with a reasonable edge on the mound and - if we are to assume the Yankee batting slump continues, and they don't choose tonight to break out - then BoSox are better at the plate too!... all told my capping is suggesting an edge for Boston of ~ +0.8 runs to +1.1 runs and getting a real cheap line ta boot! But herein lies the problem.....it's lining up to be "logical" for a BoSox win (ie, too good to be true)  It relies on assumptions (guesses??) that the NYY slump continues and the BoSox continue batting ABOVE normal expectation for them.  The pens look closely matched and GRAY has the pitching edge for sure IF HE DOESN'T HAVE A BAD DAY - like Dylan Cease did yesterday!!!  How do we accurately predict if a starter is going to have a bad day?!?  Normally I would bet BoSox here.  But my past two weeks would suggest that solid edge would disappear into a coin-flipper and I would likely lose this "logical" bet.  So I am NOT betting it, and NOT suggesting it as a pick for anyone.  I've seen just as many "logical" bets fall as I have seen win the last 2 weeks and PASS is my stance...   BoL fellas whatever you decide . . .  though I'd guess the forum is likely split.

 

That said, a LIVE BET is always possible ...

Gun to my head though it would be BoSox  (but this is not a pick!!)

 
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Posted: #6090

GRAY having a good start so far ... 3 up, 3 down, twice...

 
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Posted: #6091

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

GRAY having a good start so far ... 3 up, 3 down, twice...

He's retired all 12 so far...

 
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Posted: #6092

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: GRAY having a good start so far ... 3 up, 3 down, twice... He's retired all 12 so far...

 

2 - 0 my BoSox late!  an_2drinks

 
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Posted: #6093

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: GRAY having a good start so far ... 3 up, 3 down, twice... He's retired all 12 so far...   2 - 0 my BoSox late!

Now my Yankees have tied it up! an_boggienight

 
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Posted: #6094

an_speechless .......   thanks for sharing all your work...   thumbs_up

goldfinger 1964
 
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Posted: #6095

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: GRAY having a good start so far ... 3 up, 3 down, twice... He's retired all 12 so far...   2 - 0 my BoSox late! Now my Yankees have tied it up!
Now my YankSox have taken a 4 - 2 lead over my RedKees

 
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Posted: #6096

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by googotts: Any info on the Boston Yanks game?

 

 

Tough to judge this one because of the intense rivalry. No team - and a GOOD ONE! - just tamely submits to being swept  in 4 by a clearly weaker opponent (entering the series, that is)  But timing is everything and the Yankees are in a batting slump while BoSox are getting the hits and runs in past 3 games facing GOOD Yankee starters backed up by their SOLID bullpen!

It's defying logic, which unfortunately has been the norm the past two weeks!  And what's more frustrating is it can turnaround at any moment! angry

an_lightBoSox should have the edge, though.  I have BoSox with a reasonable edge on the mound and - if we are to assume the Yankee batting slump continues, and they don't choose tonight to break out - then BoSox are better at the plate too!... all told my capping is suggesting an edge for Boston of ~ +0.8 runs to +1.1 runs and getting a real cheap line ta boot!

But herein lies the problem.....it's lining up to be "logical" for a BoSox win (ie, too good to be true)fingershake  It relies on assumptions (guesses??) that the NYY slump continues and the BoSox continue batting ABOVE normal expectation for them.  The pens look closely matched and GRAY has the pitching edge for sure IF HE DOESN'T HAVE A BAD DAY - like Dylan Cease did yesterday!!!angry  How do we accurately predict if a starter is going to have a bad day?!? 

an_blowhorn Normally I would bet BoSox here.  But my past two weeks would suggest that solid edge would disappear into a coin-flipper and I would likely lose this "logical" bet.  So I am NOT betting it, and NOT suggesting it as a pick for anyone.  I've seen just as many "logical" bets fall as I have seen win the last 2 weeks and PASS is my stance... 

cool BoL fellas whatever you decide . . .  though I'd guess the forum is likely split. 

BoSox rule!

 
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Posted: #6097

Sunday Fun Day  confused June 28:

 

W  Pitts -130 @pinn 1st5
W  Wash +1.5 - 115 @pinn
W  Tampa -184 @pinn
W  Tampa -1 -103 @pinn 1st5
 L  Rockies +130 @pinn "value bet"  ...coin-flipper
W  Cleveland -104 @pinn
 L   CWS -130 @pinn
 L   LIVE BET, bottom 1, CWS 2 - 1, none on, none out: CWS -241 @pinn
W  LIVE hedge BET, bot-8th, none out, none on, 5 - 4: Royals -235 @B365
W  Astros -107 @pinn

W  Pitts -130 @pinn

 

8 - 3

 
Legend
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Posted: #6098

Recapping this past week:

 

3 - 5  Monday
5 - 7  Tuesday
4 - 2  Humping Day
2 - 1  Thursday
4 - 3  Friday
2 - 2  Saturday
8 - 3  Sunday

 
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Posted: #6099

@fubah2

 very nicely done   today    fubs !  thumbs_up    an_clap

 

 

"I'm the MOST HONEST human being that GOD EVER created!" - Donald "the felon" Trump
 
 
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Posted: #6100

Interesting stats entering this coming series . . .

TOP  OBP stat the past 15 days  specifically vs RIGHTIES: 

 

.378  Twinkies?!! surprised 

.371  Pitty

.361  Dodgers

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