🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵

67 - 33         67%  last 16 days

crazy tb game.. had live boost.. tb +123  .... det +112  very early 1st inning..........det up 5 6outs to go SALE TB SURE WHY NOT..lol .. sob then had to sale freaking mets for little profit... SMASH TB +1- (-550)  to make a profit... i can do without crazy...   9-10 final and i am tb fan...  look what they make you give...  

@fubah2

 Good Work.

@fubah2

 Super, well done over the course..!! 

Winning w/out a bad day or two, wouldn't be "Winning," it would be "witchcraft" and would cost a person way, way more in the End~>

We could say       I had a "bad outing"     

The number 1 team in MLB (Atlanta, in terms of W/L) has scored a grand total of only 28 runs AT HOME in May (9 home games vs Cubs, Bos, Wash) for a mean HOME avg rpg of just 3.1 

Today at home they face a Toronto team which has scored an average of 4.0 rpg their most recent 8 ROAD games (@NYY, @Balt)

@fubah2

 Actually Toronto BJ's +103 (@BetUS), sounds good this afternoon..

June 02:

    HOT STREAK WARNING! 

                                    SCHLITTLER,  NYY

           This STARTER is riding a tenuous  12-game  HOT STREAK, 

                       WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!

           ...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!!             

Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long" especially AFTER 7 straight w/o a "bad outing"....All GOOD pitchers will, from time to time, have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again.  CAN NOT be avoided.  Best to avoid!

CAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" doesn't mean his team will lose! It just seriously weakens their chances! But his team's bats could come thru with a lot of runs to save the day.....maybe!  You decide.

Also, Aaron Judge is OUT of NYY lineup 

Who you got tonight fubah 

TACO Tuesday:

Tampa TT ov 2.5 -325 @SIA  *BB       15 - 1 in MAY to score at least 3 AT HOME

Tampa -135 @pinn *BB

Padres +133 @pinn   "value bet"  ... a very tiny +0.1 run edge but this is a 50/50 coin flip

Im on both already!

BOL to us!!

BoSox -127 @pinn  *BB        ...I show a solid +1.4 run edge

Hoping YOU win both!! 

@fubah2

 Thoughts on Cubs tonight?

Still capping the 7:10 pm ET starts!

@fubah2

@fubah2

 GL today!!  I leaned pads as well for 1st 5, but decided against it..

REDS -119 @pinn                 ...I show a full +1.0 run edge

@googotts

Still missing top batter but after adjusting they should still have +0.8 run edge

BRAVES -109  @pinn  *BB           ...or....I could be wrong 

Well, with the strong caveat that I may well be seeing things poorly again and back into another regression, my capping tentatively gives A's 3.9 runs and CUBS 4.5.  That +0.6 run edge is not enough to justify the current odds on either team.

PASS

WhiteSox -118 @pinn       ...in no way is this a *BB 

 Sooooo how's my REGRESSION going thus far tonight?

RAYS losing *BADLY* once again...

Boston LOSING 1 - 3 early

Braves just gave up the lead and it's tied

Reds DO NOT lead vs the weakass Royals in what should be a rebound game...

...and PADRES just gave up their shaky lead to Philly who are threatening more...