🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵

GL on your plays mah man @fubah2 

. JULY 01

  HOT STREAK WARNING!

                                deGROM,  Texas

           This STARTER is riding a tenuous  13-game  HOT STREAK, 

                    WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!

       ...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!!             

Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again.  It happens to the best of them.  Just CAN NOT be avoided.

When???  We can't know this for certain but my stats over many years indicate the time to start to worry is after they reach SEVEN (7) consecutive outings without a BAD one in that bunch (at any point in the season) Sure some HOT streaks may continue for 2 or 3 more performances. It happens!  But for me, I don't need the stress that his bubble may burst that day.  There's other games to look at.  I can simply skip those "STREAKER" dudes until *AFTER* their inevitable BAD outing, then resume looking at his starts!

CAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" doesn't mean his team loses! It just seriously weakens their chances! But his team's bats could come thru with a lot of runs to save the day..... maybe

Now my METS bet is OFF as well.   

Those 3 bets would have won for sure....Those remaining will likely LOSE 

 Games at Pitt, Boston, Tampa, and Atlanta are on the bubble for rain delays and/or postponement...possible DHs for Humping Day to go along with DH games at Wash, Philly and New York

gl

@fubah2

 GL today!! 

....so they tied it up at 4....

but now they are phuckingitup yet again.... 

Fried (NYY) arguably one of the finest starters in the league, had a "BAD" outing Tuesday afternoon on Canada's version of our Independence Day.

By allowing 4 earned runs (6 ip) he gets the tag.

Now after a grand slam by the Blue Jays, the Yankees will roll over into a fetal position and call it a day...

NOTE: for his part, GAUSMAN (Toronto) also gets a "BAD" outing tag since he allowed an avg of 2 base runners per his 5 ip (regardless ER)  A WHIP stat over 1.5 is weak and if it reaches 2.0 -  that's bad pitching (tempting fate for a bad outcome!!) -  even if he gets lucky and his ERA remains low

Football can’t come soon enough Fubah !

Adding to my probable misery:

        Hou/COLO  under 12 -116 @pinn

NYY -159 is a BIG FAT LOSER ....of course

Det/WASH play a DH on Wednesday

Mil/METS play a DH on Wednesday as well,

and all face off against each other AGAIN on Thursday!

What shape will the bullpens be in?  

My Oakland +145 bet  enters the 9th inning tied...

...which means they'll lose  

Nice Winner! 

...and you got your WINNER!  

[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]

Tuesday, July 01: (overnight lines all @pinnacle)

  L    Yankees -160       *BB loss
        ppd...Phillies -165
W Marlins +123     ....even match, "value" bet
        ppd...Tiggers -155 *BB
W Oakland +145   ...near even match, "value" bet
W Angels +140      ...even match, "value" bet
       ppd...NY Mets -122 *BB  
Cubbies -168 *BB
Astros -167 *BB
Dodgers -309 *BB
W Min/MIA un 8 -117

Seattle -136 *BB ... edge at the plate; ERAs are awful; over is plausible
Giants +118 *BB ...expecting Birdsong to avoid 3 bad outings in a row
Hou/COLO under 12 -116 @pinn

De Grom posted a GOOD performance so his "HOT STREAK" of games without a "BAD outing" now extends to 14 consecutive!

It's fading time! 

@fubah2

 Well done and well deserved…. 

@JJWoods

 Well so far at least.....THANK YOU! 

       someday        for goodness sakes (come nyy wtf up)

@PUSSYGALORE333

[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]

Tuesday, July 01:   (overnight lines all @pinnacle)

  L    Yankees -160       *BB loss
        ppd...Phillies -165
W Marlins +123     ....even match, "value" bet
        ppd...Tiggers -155 *BB
W Oakland +145   ...near even match, "value" bet
W Angels +140      ...even match, "value" bet
       ppd...NY Mets -122 *BB  
W Cubbies -168 *BB
W Astros -167 *BB
W Dodgers -309 *BB
W Min/MIA un 8 -117

 L   Seattle -136 *BB ... edge at the plate; ERAs are awful; over is plausible
 L   Giants +118 *BB ...expecting Birdsong to avoid 3 bad outings in a row
W Hou/COLO under 12 -116

=  8 - 3

YTD:  108 - 87       includes  30 - 15  with O/U bets

@fubah2     how are the units looking with a juice count at 1x  ... making headway?   thanks for sharing i been playing FEWER games .....   glad to see you rolling      

To yoy Sir!

Quote Originally Posted by PUSSYGALORE333:

@fubah2     how are the units looking with a juice count at 1x  ... making headway?   thanks for sharing,  i been playing FEWER games .....   glad to see you rolling 

 Hey PG! 

Yeah, I've been scrambling the past 7 days after falling to -19.02 u

Pleased to say the light at the end of the tunnel doesn't look like an oncoming train .............at least for now. 

YTD: 108 - 87   -7.08 u 
 
O/U bets:  30 - 15