Posted:
#2626
GL 
on your plays mah man @fubah2 
What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!
🤢🥴💩_ Fubah's risky baseball bets _🥶😲🥵
Posted:
#2627
. JULY 01
HOT STREAK WARNING!
deGROM, Texas
This STARTER is riding a tenuous 13-game HOT STREAK, 
WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!
...but this should be anticipated to end at anytime!!! 
Make no mistake, this dude and others I will identify in the future are GOOD starters - some of them exceptional! HOWEVER, probability says "consecutive streaks won't last long"...All GOOD pitchers will have an "off" day and get roughed up - sometimes mauled - before they resume their stellar pitching performances again. It happens to the best of them. Just CAN NOT be avoided.
When??? We can't know this for certain but my stats over many years indicate the time to start to worry is after they reach SEVEN (7) consecutive outings without a BAD one in that bunch (at any point in the season) Sure some HOT streaks may continue for 2 or 3 more performances. It happens! But for me, I don't need the stress that his bubble may burst that day. There's other games to look at. I can simply skip those "STREAKER" dudes until *AFTER* their inevitable BAD outing, then resume looking at his starts! 
CAVEAT: even if the starter has a "bad outing" doesn't mean his team loses! It just seriously weakens their chances! But his team's bats could come thru with a lot of runs to save the day..... maybe
Posted:
#2628
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Both my Tiggers bet and Phillies bet are OFF as the games are rained out today. May consider re-betting each for Wednesday's DH... but caution with lineup changes.
Both my Tiggers bet and Phillies bet are OFF as the games are rained out today. May consider re-betting each for Wednesday's DH... but caution with lineup changes.
Now my METS bet is OFF as well.
Those 3 bets would have won for sure....Those remaining will likely LOSE 
Posted:
#2629
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Up to 8 east coast games may get rain/drizzle and game delays on Tuesday ....expecting slick fields and balls less likely to carry
Games at Pitt, Boston, Tampa, and Atlanta are on the bubble for rain delays and/or postponement...possible DHs for Humping Day to go along with DH games at Wash, Philly and New York
Posted:
#2632
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by RayRayK: I’m on the Yankees - Ace is pitching Hey Ray! I'll be pulling for ya to win that one! UGH......Yankees in trouble ONCE AGAIN!
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by RayRayK: I’m on the Yankees - Ace is pitching Hey Ray! I'll be pulling for ya to win that one! UGH......Yankees in trouble ONCE AGAIN!
....so they tied it up at 4....
but now they are phuckingitup yet again.... 
Posted:
#2633
Fried (NYY) arguably one of the finest starters in the league, had a "BAD" outing Tuesday afternoon on Canada's version of our Independence Day.
By allowing 4 earned runs (6 ip) he gets the tag.
Now after a grand slam by the Blue Jays, the Yankees will roll over into a fetal position and call it a day...
NOTE: for his part, GAUSMAN (Toronto) also gets a "BAD" outing tag since he allowed an avg of 2 base runners per his 5 ip (regardless ER) A WHIP stat over 1.5 is weak and if it reaches 2.0 - that's bad pitching (tempting fate for a bad outcome!!) - even if he gets lucky and his ERA remains low
Posted:
#2636
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Fried (NYY) arguably one of the finest starters in the league, had a "BAD" outing Tuesday afternoon on Canada's version of our Independence Day. By allowing 4 earned runs (6 ip) he gets the tag. Now after a grand slam by the Blue Jays, the Yankees will roll over into a fetal position and call it a day... NOTE: for his part, GAUSMAN (Toronto) also gets a "BAD" outing tag since he allowed an avg of 2 base runners per his 5 ip (regardless ER) A WHIP stat over 1.5 is weak and if it reaches 2.0 - that's bad pitching (tempting fate for a bad outcome!!) - even if he gets lucky and his ERA remains low
Fried (NYY) arguably one of the finest starters in the league, had a "BAD" outing Tuesday afternoon on Canada's version of our Independence Day. By allowing 4 earned runs (6 ip) he gets the tag. Now after a grand slam by the Blue Jays, the Yankees will roll over into a fetal position and call it a day... NOTE: for his part, GAUSMAN (Toronto) also gets a "BAD" outing tag since he allowed an avg of 2 base runners per his 5 ip (regardless ER) A WHIP stat over 1.5 is weak and if it reaches 2.0 - that's bad pitching (tempting fate for a bad outcome!!) - even if he gets lucky and his ERA remains low
NYY -159 is a BIG FAT LOSER ....of course
Posted:
#2641
[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]
Tuesday, July 01: (overnight lines all @pinnacle)
L Yankees -160 *BB loss
ppd...Phillies -165
W Marlins +123 ....even match, "value" bet
ppd...Tiggers -155 *BB
W Oakland +145 ...near even match, "value" bet
W Angels +140 ...even match, "value" bet
ppd...NY Mets -122 *BB
Cubbies -168 *BB
Astros -167 *BB
Dodgers -309 *BB
W Min/MIA un 8 -117
Seattle -136 *BB ... edge at the plate; ERAs are awful; over is plausible
Giants +118 *BB ...expecting Birdsong to avoid 3 bad outings in a row
Hou/COLO under 12 -116 @pinn
Posted:
#2642
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
. JULY 01
HOT STREAK WARNING!
deGROM, Texas
This STARTER is riding a tenuous 13-game HOT STREAK,
WITHOUT a BAD outing in that streak .....YET!
De Grom posted a GOOD performance so his "HOT STREAK" of games without a "BAD outing" now extends to 14 consecutive!
It's fading time!
for goodness sakes (come nyy wtf up)
Posted:
#2647
[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]
Tuesday, July 01: (overnight lines all @pinnacle)
L Yankees -160 *BB loss
ppd...Phillies -165
W Marlins +123 ....even match, "value" bet
ppd...Tiggers -155 *BB
W Oakland +145 ...near even match, "value" bet
W Angels +140 ...even match, "value" bet
ppd...NY Mets -122 *BB
W Cubbies -168 *BB
W Astros -167 *BB
W Dodgers -309 *BB
W Min/MIA un 8 -117
L Seattle -136 *BB ... edge at the plate; ERAs are awful; over is plausible
L Giants +118 *BB ...expecting Birdsong to avoid 3 bad outings in a row
W Hou/COLO under 12 -116
= 8 - 3
YTD: 108 - 87 includes 30 - 15 with O/U bets
Posted:
#2650
Quote Originally Posted by PUSSYGALORE333:
@fubah2 how are the units looking with a juice count at 1x ... making headway? thanks for sharing, i been playing FEWER games ..... glad to see you rolling
@fubah2 how are the units looking with a juice count at 1x ... making headway? thanks for sharing, i been playing FEWER games ..... glad to see you rolling
Hey PG!
Yeah, I've been scrambling the past 7 days after falling to -19.02 u
Pleased to say the light at the end of the tunnel doesn't look like an oncoming train .............at least for now. 
YTD: 108 - 87 -7.08 u
O/U bets: 30 - 15
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