Since I have wasted so much time this week responding to some of the most ridiculous, laughable posts I have ever seen before, I have not had time to personally cap this event.
Instead, I have been in touch with one of my inside informants who happens to work in the one of Fedor's gyms. I recently met him at a charity snow dog racing event that was recently held in the Grand Canyon! He is their official jockstrap cleaner who uses only his tongue to get the job done!
Based on the extreme knowledge of the industry he has acquired in his lifetime based on this esteemed position, I have decided to tail the following plays:
1. Carla Esparza (-156) over Joanna J. Risking 4.7 units to win 3 units.
2. A GigaOuts parlay special of Sergio Pettis over Ryan Benoit, Joseph Duffey over Jake Lindsey, Ross Pearson over Sam Stout and Henry Cejudo over Chris Cariaso. Risking 3 units to win 3.2 units.
3. A 2nd GigsOuts parlay special of Anthony Pettis over RDA, Johny Hendricks over Matt Brown, Elias Theodorou over Roger Narvaez and Jared Rosholt over Josh Copeland. Risking 1 unit to win 1.65 units.
4. Beneil Dariush (+123) over Daron Cruickshank. Risking 0.5 units to win 0.6 units.
5. Roy Nelson (+166) over Alistair Overeem. Risking 0.5 units to win 0.85 units.
6. Germainde De Randamie (+137) over Larissa Pacheco. Risking 0.3 units to win 0.45 units.
In addition, if I have a winning event, I will update my record accordingly. However, in the event that I have a losing week, then there is a strong likelihood that I will fudge my record to make it look like those losing bets never occurred! After all, the sun was in my eyes when I placed them!
I hope everyone has enjoyed following the drama in the MMA forum this week and this silly post! ,
BOL to everyone with your plays!
Since I have wasted so much time this week responding to some of the most ridiculous, laughable posts I have ever seen before, I have not had time to personally cap this event.
Instead, I have been in touch with one of my inside informants who happens to work in the one of Fedor's gyms. I recently met him at a charity snow dog racing event that was recently held in the Grand Canyon! He is their official jockstrap cleaner who uses only his tongue to get the job done!
Based on the extreme knowledge of the industry he has acquired in his lifetime based on this esteemed position, I have decided to tail the following plays:
1. Carla Esparza (-156) over Joanna J. Risking 4.7 units to win 3 units.
2. A GigaOuts parlay special of Sergio Pettis over Ryan Benoit, Joseph Duffey over Jake Lindsey, Ross Pearson over Sam Stout and Henry Cejudo over Chris Cariaso. Risking 3 units to win 3.2 units.
3. A 2nd GigsOuts parlay special of Anthony Pettis over RDA, Johny Hendricks over Matt Brown, Elias Theodorou over Roger Narvaez and Jared Rosholt over Josh Copeland. Risking 1 unit to win 1.65 units.
4. Beneil Dariush (+123) over Daron Cruickshank. Risking 0.5 units to win 0.6 units.
5. Roy Nelson (+166) over Alistair Overeem. Risking 0.5 units to win 0.85 units.
6. Germainde De Randamie (+137) over Larissa Pacheco. Risking 0.3 units to win 0.45 units.
In addition, if I have a winning event, I will update my record accordingly. However, in the event that I have a losing week, then there is a strong likelihood that I will fudge my record to make it look like those losing bets never occurred! After all, the sun was in my eyes when I placed them!
I hope everyone has enjoyed following the drama in the MMA forum this week and this silly post! ,
Can't believe you didn't go all Turkish bathhouse towel boy routine!!! That shyt works everytime. Well oh well, good luck Mister!!!
My Turkish inside informant friend recently got a second part-time job working customer service at 5Dames sportsbook.
Unfortunately, he was way too busy. He says he has been bombarded with people who are upset that out of nowhere, their bets on a certain prop were being voided and their betting limits reduced. Therefore, he did not have time to cap or give me any inside info for this event. Maybe next time.
Quote Originally Posted by Ferrari29:
Can't believe you didn't go all Turkish bathhouse towel boy routine!!! That shyt works everytime. Well oh well, good luck Mister!!!
My Turkish inside informant friend recently got a second part-time job working customer service at 5Dames sportsbook.
Unfortunately, he was way too busy. He says he has been bombarded with people who are upset that out of nowhere, their bets on a certain prop were being voided and their betting limits reduced. Therefore, he did not have time to cap or give me any inside info for this event. Maybe next time.
Weird that our top plays are opposite, I don't recall seeing that before. Good luck on the rest!
Yeah, that doesn't happen too often. I'm very interested to hear your take on this fight.
As for me, I think this is a horrible match up for double J and can't really understand why anyone is backing her here.
I thought she was very underwhelming in her UFC debut and I think she got a gift decision in her last fight. Most of the MMA media did not think she won either. She also seemed to fade in both of those fights.
Esparza has fought a much more difficult strength of schedule in her career. She has never been knocked out. Double J may be undefeated but her strength of schedule shows that she has beaten up nothing but cupcakes. She only has one legitimate knock out on her record. She is more of a technique fighter rather than a power fighter.
I like how Esparza can mix things up and I think this will keep double J off balance. I really cant see Double J being able to finish Esparza, as she simply does not have KO power.
I can see Double J coming out strong and even winning rounds 1 & 2, especially if Esparza has difficulty land takedowns early. But based on all the video I have seen of Double J, she tends to fade and I can see Esparza start having more success with takedowns as the fight progresses. I simply cannot imagine a scenario where Esparza would lose rounds 3-5.
This fight is taking place in Texas which is notoriously known for poor MMA judging. However, they always seem to favor the local fighters in these situations. So even if it is close, I don't see double J getting a friendly nod from the judges like she did last time.
Quote Originally Posted by ctm1985:
lol.
Weird that our top plays are opposite, I don't recall seeing that before. Good luck on the rest!
Yeah, that doesn't happen too often. I'm very interested to hear your take on this fight.
As for me, I think this is a horrible match up for double J and can't really understand why anyone is backing her here.
I thought she was very underwhelming in her UFC debut and I think she got a gift decision in her last fight. Most of the MMA media did not think she won either. She also seemed to fade in both of those fights.
Esparza has fought a much more difficult strength of schedule in her career. She has never been knocked out. Double J may be undefeated but her strength of schedule shows that she has beaten up nothing but cupcakes. She only has one legitimate knock out on her record. She is more of a technique fighter rather than a power fighter.
I like how Esparza can mix things up and I think this will keep double J off balance. I really cant see Double J being able to finish Esparza, as she simply does not have KO power.
I can see Double J coming out strong and even winning rounds 1 & 2, especially if Esparza has difficulty land takedowns early. But based on all the video I have seen of Double J, she tends to fade and I can see Esparza start having more success with takedowns as the fight progresses. I simply cannot imagine a scenario where Esparza would lose rounds 3-5.
This fight is taking place in Texas which is notoriously known for poor MMA judging. However, they always seem to favor the local fighters in these situations. So even if it is close, I don't see double J getting a friendly nod from the judges like she did last time.
For me, it comes down to the large gap in striking, the medium gap in wrestling, and their perceived cardio. I've noticed a lot of people out there with a similar opinion to yours, that JJ slows down, but I thought the complete opposite and I think this is important. In her 2 UFC fights so far she was still throwing serious heat in the third rounds, showed no sign of giving up or breaking, and by the time the rounds had ended it looked to me like she could have gone a couple more at the same pace. Not that they were dominating rounds for her or anything, but she still looked fresh.
JJ's striking is far better, the best in the division afaik. And while I agree with you that it's more about technique with her, I do think she has KO power. Her strikes are so sharp, and for 115 lbs they look quite hard. Another thing I noticed is that JJ lands more and more damaging strikes as her fights progress and she figures her opponent out, while Esparza can look pretty lost on the feet and gets noticeably sloppier and more hittable as she goes.
Wrestling is obviously how Esparza can win this, she does change levels extremely well and I think she'll probably hit a few td's and have her moments, but JJ is deceptively strong, defends well, and I think JJ can get back to her feet when needed. If she does this I see Esparza wearing down much faster. And Joanna just has that insane confidence, reminds me of how Weidman talked about Silva.
I also think Gadelha is the best win of either career...close fight, I can't really defend the questionable decision, but still impressive to me.
Anyways I can't wait to see how this one plays out!
For me, it comes down to the large gap in striking, the medium gap in wrestling, and their perceived cardio. I've noticed a lot of people out there with a similar opinion to yours, that JJ slows down, but I thought the complete opposite and I think this is important. In her 2 UFC fights so far she was still throwing serious heat in the third rounds, showed no sign of giving up or breaking, and by the time the rounds had ended it looked to me like she could have gone a couple more at the same pace. Not that they were dominating rounds for her or anything, but she still looked fresh.
JJ's striking is far better, the best in the division afaik. And while I agree with you that it's more about technique with her, I do think she has KO power. Her strikes are so sharp, and for 115 lbs they look quite hard. Another thing I noticed is that JJ lands more and more damaging strikes as her fights progress and she figures her opponent out, while Esparza can look pretty lost on the feet and gets noticeably sloppier and more hittable as she goes.
Wrestling is obviously how Esparza can win this, she does change levels extremely well and I think she'll probably hit a few td's and have her moments, but JJ is deceptively strong, defends well, and I think JJ can get back to her feet when needed. If she does this I see Esparza wearing down much faster. And Joanna just has that insane confidence, reminds me of how Weidman talked about Silva.
I also think Gadelha is the best win of either career...close fight, I can't really defend the questionable decision, but still impressive to me.
Anyways I can't wait to see how this one plays out!
For me, it comes down to the large gap in striking, the medium gap in wrestling, and their perceived cardio. I've noticed a lot of people out there with a similar opinion to yours, that JJ slows down, but I thought the complete opposite and I think this is important. In her 2 UFC fights so far she was still throwing serious heat in the third rounds, showed no sign of giving up or breaking, and by the time the rounds had ended it looked to me like she could have gone a couple more at the same pace. Not that they were dominating rounds for her or anything, but she still looked fresh.
JJ's striking is far better, the best in the division afaik. And while I agree with you that it's more about technique with her, I do think she has KO power. Her strikes are so sharp, and for 115 lbs they look quite hard. Another thing I noticed is that JJ lands more and more damaging strikes as her fights progress and she figures her opponent out, while Esparza can look pretty lost on the feet and gets noticeably sloppier and more hittable as she goes.
Wrestling is obviously how Esparza can win this, she does change levels extremely well and I think she'll probably hit a few td's and have her moments, but JJ is deceptively strong, defends well, and I think JJ can get back to her feet when needed. If she does this I see Esparza wearing down much faster. And Joanna just has that insane confidence, reminds me of how Weidman talked about Silva.
I also think Gadelha is the best win of either career...close fight, I can't really defend the questionable decision, but still impressive to me.
Anyways I can't wait to see how this one plays out!
Quote Originally Posted by ctm1985:
For me, it comes down to the large gap in striking, the medium gap in wrestling, and their perceived cardio. I've noticed a lot of people out there with a similar opinion to yours, that JJ slows down, but I thought the complete opposite and I think this is important. In her 2 UFC fights so far she was still throwing serious heat in the third rounds, showed no sign of giving up or breaking, and by the time the rounds had ended it looked to me like she could have gone a couple more at the same pace. Not that they were dominating rounds for her or anything, but she still looked fresh.
JJ's striking is far better, the best in the division afaik. And while I agree with you that it's more about technique with her, I do think she has KO power. Her strikes are so sharp, and for 115 lbs they look quite hard. Another thing I noticed is that JJ lands more and more damaging strikes as her fights progress and she figures her opponent out, while Esparza can look pretty lost on the feet and gets noticeably sloppier and more hittable as she goes.
Wrestling is obviously how Esparza can win this, she does change levels extremely well and I think she'll probably hit a few td's and have her moments, but JJ is deceptively strong, defends well, and I think JJ can get back to her feet when needed. If she does this I see Esparza wearing down much faster. And Joanna just has that insane confidence, reminds me of how Weidman talked about Silva.
I also think Gadelha is the best win of either career...close fight, I can't really defend the questionable decision, but still impressive to me.
Anyways I can't wait to see how this one plays out!
I didn't get the best number, but I think it's still bettable at -105.
I know sometimes it is hard to bet something you like, after the good number is gone. But in this case, I had no issue.
I had placed a very small, degenerate action bet on Dariush earlier this week at plus money. Now that this fight is a pick'em, I don't think there's any value left.
I do think Dariush will submit Cruickshank. However, if he can't get the fight to the ground and has to stand and bang, he's likely to lose. If this is a close fight and goes to the scorecards, the Texas judges have historically favored the local boys versus foreign fighters so the chances of Dariush winning in a close fight that goes to the judges are slim.
Quote Originally Posted by sharpstick:
I didn't get the best number, but I think it's still bettable at -105.
I know sometimes it is hard to bet something you like, after the good number is gone. But in this case, I had no issue.
I had placed a very small, degenerate action bet on Dariush earlier this week at plus money. Now that this fight is a pick'em, I don't think there's any value left.
I do think Dariush will submit Cruickshank. However, if he can't get the fight to the ground and has to stand and bang, he's likely to lose. If this is a close fight and goes to the scorecards, the Texas judges have historically favored the local boys versus foreign fighters so the chances of Dariush winning in a close fight that goes to the judges are slim.
Those who bet the "No" on the "Will GigaOuts start a thread and share his bets prior to the start of the event" prop has cashed, as predicted. Game, Set, Match...
Winner winner, chicken dinner. Want that in American penny Mister!!!
Quote Originally Posted by MR219:
Those who bet the "No" on the "Will GigaOuts start a thread and share his bets prior to the start of the event" prop has cashed, as predicted. Game, Set, Match...
Winner winner, chicken dinner. Want that in American penny Mister!!!
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