Posted:
#26
Also, as much as I've talked about this fight, it will still stay within my normal 2 units. You're making a huge mistake, IMO, if you bet some huge portion of your roll on a fight like this.
Bones vs Cormier
Posted:
#29
Quote Originally Posted by sharpstick:
https://www.mmamania.com/2014/12/29/7460353/video-pros-pick-jon-jones-vs-daniel-cormier-ufc-182-title-fight-mma
Right now, that is the only thing I could possibly link. But a majority of the MMA media on Twitter, and forums, are picking Cormier.
I am not trying to insult anybody by calling it a square bet. I'll make it clear again, I myself have made many square bets, that have both won and lost. I am just stating the obvious. Winning money betting on sports isn't as simple as betting Cormier at +145, when a majority of the MMA world is predicting him to win. I was on the other side of the counter for over five years, and have seen this song and dance end poorly many times for the majority of the public.
I have no side in this fight, I am not betting this fight. I will however be attending live, and can't wait. Right now, I think it is the biggest fight the UFC can put on, and I am extremely excited for it. And, to be honest, I really like Cormier as a person better, so I may slightly be rooting for him.
ya im not a 14 year old girl so i dont follow twitter. but i do analyze sports. keep checking ur twitter feed for jones tweets and you'll be rich in no time
Posted:
#30
Quote Originally Posted by OnTheO:
Also, as much as I've talked about this fight, it will still stay within my normal 2 units. You're making a huge mistake, IMO, if you bet some huge portion of your roll on a fight like this.
Also, as much as I've talked about this fight, it will still stay within my normal 2 units. You're making a huge mistake, IMO, if you bet some huge portion of your roll on a fight like this.
dont you hate it when you bet small like babies? do your homework and bet however you want. im not afraid to tell people i bet large on cormier and under 4.5. it's gambling folks, bet how you like
Posted:
#31
Quote Originally Posted by Hawky:
Quote Originally Posted by OnTheO:
Also, as much as I've talked about this fight, it will still stay within my normal 2 units. You're making a huge mistake, IMO, if you bet some huge portion of your roll on a fight like this.
dont you hate it when you bet small like babies? do your homework and bet however you want. im not afraid to tell people i bet large on cormier and under 4.5. it's gambling folks, bet how you likeAlso, as much as I've talked about this fight, it will still stay within my normal 2 units. You're making a huge mistake, IMO, if you bet some huge portion of your roll on a fight like this.
Good luck to you.
Posted:
#32
Quote Originally Posted by sharpstick:
https://www.mmamania.com/2014/12/29/7460353/video-pros-pick-jon-jones-vs-daniel-cormier-ufc-182-title-fight-mma
Right now, that is the only thing I could possibly link. But a majority of the MMA media on Twitter, and forums, are picking Cormier.
I am not trying to insult anybody by calling it a square bet. I'll make it clear again, I myself have made many square bets, that have both won and lost. I am just stating the obvious. Winning money betting on sports isn't as simple as betting Cormier at +145, when a majority of the MMA world is predicting him to win. I was on the other side of the counter for over five years, and have seen this song and dance end poorly many times for the majority of the public.
I have no side in this fight, I am not betting this fight. I will however be attending live, and can't wait. Right now, I think it is the biggest fight the UFC can put on, and I am extremely excited for it. And, to be honest, I really like Cormier as a person better, so I may slightly be rooting for him.
it's a fight, not a social media contest, even though ur winning. u already said ur on both sides, so i can tell you are the worst person to be around for any sport. be dead now
Posted:
#34
Quote Originally Posted by sharpstick:
The fact that you have to ask why it is square, is a bad sign about your betting habits.
When 85% of the people on this forum, the experts on websites, the fighters themselves are picking a fighter, and that fighter is a +145 underdog, you're making a square bet. Pretty cut and dry.
That doesn't mean squares don't win. If they never won a bet, the sportsbooks wouldn't stay in business. And, that also doesn't mean I have never made a square bet. I've made square bets that have won, and square bets that have lost. But, if I am making a square bet, I can recognize it, something it doesn't appear you can do.
Trust me, betting sports isn't as easy as betting Cormier at +145 when a majority of the people you ask are predicting him. 
There's no question you know mma, but you set up a strawman here. I don't agree with your percentages at all. Lots of people are picking Jones and "sports betting isn't as easy" as betting the dominant "effectively unbeaten" and seldom challenged champion at a short price.
Posted:
#35
Quote Originally Posted by esplanade:
There's no question you know mma, but you set up a strawman here. I don't agree with your percentages at all. Lots of people are picking Jones and "sports betting isn't as easy" as betting the dominant "effectively unbeaten" and seldom challenged champion at a short price.
There's no question you know mma, but you set up a strawman here. I don't agree with your percentages at all. Lots of people are picking Jones and "sports betting isn't as easy" as betting the dominant "effectively unbeaten" and seldom challenged champion at a short price.
I am not suggesting anyone go out and lay -165 on Jones. However, I can assure you that laying -165 is much more difficult than walking into a book and taking +135. And, if you're here to convince yourself otherwise, anything I could type here probably wouldn't be of help to you.
No strawman here. This is effectively the same situation as the unranked team being favored in college sports. Some bets are more square than others. The ranked underdog, and Daniel Cormier in this fight both happen to be at the top of that totem pole.
There is nothing wrong with making a square bet......
Posted:
#36
Quote Originally Posted by Hawky:
it's a fight, not a social media contest, even though ur winning. u already said ur on both sides, so i can tell you are the worst person to be around for any sport. be dead now
Not on both sides. My only opinion on this fight is to NOT bet Daniel Cormier.
But it doesn't matter, according to you this fight won't happen..... And since you would be rich off predicting fights that get canceled, we can all stop discussing this fight now.
Show is over fellas. Hawky predicted this fight as not happening. That is as good as gold....
Posted:
#37
I just think your analogies are badly flawed. I don't see a correlation between an unranked team being favored over a ranked team and Jones @ -170 vs Cormier.
For the record, I don't have a play on the fight either, but I just don't see your "square" label as fitting. I also don't think taking the challenger without a signature win in the weight class is easier at a + price than going with the dominant champ as a slight to moderate favorite.
What do you think the price should be??
For the record, I don't have a play on the fight either, but I just don't see your "square" label as fitting. I also don't think taking the challenger without a signature win in the weight class is easier at a + price than going with the dominant champ as a slight to moderate favorite.
What do you think the price should be??
Posted:
#38
Quote Originally Posted by sharpstick:
Not on both sides. My only opinion on this fight is to NOT bet Daniel Cormier.
But it doesn't matter, according to you this fight won't happen..... And since you would be rich off predicting fights that get canceled, we can all stop discussing this fight now.
Show is over fellas. Hawky predicted this fight as not happening. That is as good as gold....
i said 'i wouldnt be surprised if he backed out, even after weigh ins'. good try though! punk bit ch
Posted:
#40
they found a replacement for dillishaw title rematch IN HIS HOMETOWN the day before fight from undercard. i wouldnt be surprised if bones made it SOO late that there can be no chance of the fight happening to be that big of a di ck. the wait it is on. come fight time let's start a live forum and argue/live bet
Posted:
#41
Quote Originally Posted by sharpstick:
...U are going to fight ,like DC and not betting on it?https://www.mmamania.com/2014/12/29/7460353/video-pros-pick-jon-jones-vs-daniel-cormier-ufc-182-title-fight-mma
Right now, that is the only thing I could possibly link. But a majority of the MMA media on Twitter, and forums, are picking Cormier.
I am not trying to insult anybody by calling it a square bet. I'll make it clear again, I myself have made many square bets, that have both won and lost. I am just stating the obvious. Winning money betting on sports isn't as simple as betting Cormier at +145, when a majority of the MMA world is predicting him to win. I was on the other side of the counter for over five years, and have seen this song and dance end poorly many times for the majority of the public.
I have no side in this fight, I am not betting this fight. I will however be attending live, and can't wait. Right now, I think it is the biggest fight the UFC can put on, and I am extremely excited for it. And, to be honest, I really like Cormier as a person better, so I may slightly be rooting for him.
Posted:
#42
Quote Originally Posted by IceBelly:
Quote Originally Posted by sharpstick:
I like Jones to win this fight. Let the squares eat up DC, and lay a low number close to fight time. Although, I won't be betting it, I think anyone betting Jones should wait. As the squares arrive in Vegas, that number should shrink.
Please tell me how betting on Cormier is a square play?This guy has been fighting legit huge heavyweights his entire career and is undefeated and not even lost a single round.Jones has never faced a guy this good thats this strong and purely in his prime.I think this fight will really show the difference in power and strength between light heavies and heavyweights.I actually could see this fight ended up very much like the Cain vs JDS fights.I'm actually predicting Jones to get knocked out.I like Jones to win this fight. Let the squares eat up DC, and lay a low number close to fight time. Although, I won't be betting it, I think anyone betting Jones should wait. As the squares arrive in Vegas, that number should shrink.
That's a bold prediction. I dint think he gets KOd
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