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    All Forums | Investments

    March FOREX IV

    1234 Next Last»
    popinjay
    wallstreetcappers
    rick3117
    sjewell29
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    Search
    Views: 1832
    Posts: 78
    1234 Next Last»
     
    popinjay
    popinjay
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    Posted: Mar. 22, 2009 - 6:39 PM ET #1

    final days of march... lets make it some good ones
     
    trichet speaks at 730 EST.... usually creates movements in EUR/USD
     
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    final days of march... lets make it some good ones
     
    trichet speaks at 730 EST.... usually creates movements in EUR/USD
     
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Mar. 22, 2009 - 6:47 PM ET #2

    Thanks for the heads-up.

    Put a pole in the water on EU.Yen..chart is just a monster and far from any highs..breaking through a big time triple top, worth a stab here at 130.50
    Reply
    Thanks for the heads-up.

    Put a pole in the water on EU.Yen..chart is just a monster and far from any highs..breaking through a big time triple top, worth a stab here at 130.50
     
    rick3117
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    Posted: Mar. 22, 2009 - 7:22 PM ET #3

    got a short on eur/usd  @1.3640
     
    stop @ 1.3700
    limit@ 1.3500
     
    good reports out this week, 
     
    oil could be heading for a longer rally this week and the dollar will surely be tested under the admin's new plans
     
    looking for a volitile week for usd/jpy  as japan is a 100% importer of oil, and crude costs have tremendous affect.
     
    anyway im going to watch the pres on 60 min.
     
    be baack later.
    Reply
    got a short on eur/usd  @1.3640
     
    stop @ 1.3700
    limit@ 1.3500
     
    good reports out this week, 
     
    oil could be heading for a longer rally this week and the dollar will surely be tested under the admin's new plans
     
    looking for a volitile week for usd/jpy  as japan is a 100% importer of oil, and crude costs have tremendous affect.
     
    anyway im going to watch the pres on 60 min.
     
    be baack later.
     
    popinjay
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    Posted: Mar. 22, 2009 - 9:01 PM ET #4

    events considered high importance this week for major currencies:
     
    24th
    -GBP consumer price index 24th 930am GMT
    -Bernanke testify to house financial panel for AIG 1400GMT
     
    25th
    -EUR German IFO expectations march 900AM GMT
    -US Durable goods orders 1230GMT
     
    26th
    -GBP retail sales 930 GMT
    -USA Gross domesticc product 1230GMT
    -USD Geithner Testifies to House Financial Panel on Regulation 1400GMT
    -NZD gross domestic product 2145GMT
     
    27th
    -german consumer price index
    -GBP gross domestic product 930GMT
    -U of Michigan confidence 1400GMT
     
    Reply
    events considered high importance this week for major currencies:
     
    24th
    -GBP consumer price index 24th 930am GMT
    -Bernanke testify to house financial panel for AIG 1400GMT
     
    25th
    -EUR German IFO expectations march 900AM GMT
    -US Durable goods orders 1230GMT
     
    26th
    -GBP retail sales 930 GMT
    -USA Gross domesticc product 1230GMT
    -USD Geithner Testifies to House Financial Panel on Regulation 1400GMT
    -NZD gross domestic product 2145GMT
     
    27th
    -german consumer price index
    -GBP gross domestic product 930GMT
    -U of Michigan confidence 1400GMT
     
     
    rick3117
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    Posted: Mar. 22, 2009 - 9:07 PM ET #5

    I think gbp/usd  is going to be a good cross for wed and thurs with the gdp releases comming out. 
     
    that is usually the big one if im not mistaken. 
     
    I am reading everywhere that this is going to be a very trying week for the doller, which to me says volitility, and possible rally. 
     
    that is just my interpritation. 
     
    any thoughts????
    Reply
    I think gbp/usd  is going to be a good cross for wed and thurs with the gdp releases comming out. 
     
    that is usually the big one if im not mistaken. 
     
    I am reading everywhere that this is going to be a very trying week for the doller, which to me says volitility, and possible rally. 
     
    that is just my interpritation. 
     
    any thoughts????
     
    popinjay
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    Posted: Mar. 22, 2009 - 9:18 PM ET #6

    GDP is usually a pretty big one for the month, but a lot of time it is already priced in.  big moves will happen if unexpected numbers come out.  also, big moves occur when speeches are given afterwards and when speeches are given by ppl like Bernanke and Trichet
    Reply
    GDP is usually a pretty big one for the month, but a lot of time it is already priced in.  big moves will happen if unexpected numbers come out.  also, big moves occur when speeches are given afterwards and when speeches are given by ppl like Bernanke and Trichet
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Mar. 22, 2009 - 9:20 PM ET #7

    This might be a contrary view but I think this idea of buying the toxic assets is a HUGE benefit to the USD, in the short term it might be seen as dilutive or a negative but I see this as a longer term positive and if they sell off the USD on monday with an announcement of the government buying those nasty assets, I will be a buyer..slowwwly of course.
    Reply
    This might be a contrary view but I think this idea of buying the toxic assets is a HUGE benefit to the USD, in the short term it might be seen as dilutive or a negative but I see this as a longer term positive and if they sell off the USD on monday with an announcement of the government buying those nasty assets, I will be a buyer..slowwwly of course.
     
    popinjay
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    Posted: Mar. 22, 2009 - 9:25 PM ET #8

    looks like a DMI cross might come in for GBP/EUR soon.  looked like it was about to happen 30min ago, but this recent push denied the cross.
     
    will be watching fo this cross to possibly short.  might be a good entry if it gets close to resistance at 1.4580
    Reply
    looks like a DMI cross might come in for GBP/EUR soon.  looked like it was about to happen 30min ago, but this recent push denied the cross.
     
    will be watching fo this cross to possibly short.  might be a good entry if it gets close to resistance at 1.4580
     
    popinjay
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    Posted: Mar. 22, 2009 - 9:25 PM ET #9

    sorry thats GBP/USD not GBP/EUR
    Reply
    sorry thats GBP/USD not GBP/EUR
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Mar. 22, 2009 - 9:30 PM ET #10

    pop,

    This is what I see on the 4 hr chart..

    RSI at 64
    ADX at 27
    DI at 25
    DI- at 9

    I dont see the DMI moving DOWN through the ADX here, both are sloping UP, what are you seeing?
    Reply
    pop,

    This is what I see on the 4 hr chart..

    RSI at 64
    ADX at 27
    DI at 25
    DI- at 9

    I dont see the DMI moving DOWN through the ADX here, both are sloping UP, what are you seeing?
     
    popinjay
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    Posted: Mar. 22, 2009 - 9:46 PM ET #11

    i have right now
     
    RSI 62.7
    DMI+ 30.9
    ADX 29.5
     
    the dmi+ is rising at the same low slope as adx right now, but about 60min ago it was slightly sloping down and about ready to cross down through the adx.  if the price starts coming down it should cross through
    Reply
    i have right now
     
    RSI 62.7
    DMI+ 30.9
    ADX 29.5
     
    the dmi+ is rising at the same low slope as adx right now, but about 60min ago it was slightly sloping down and about ready to cross down through the adx.  if the price starts coming down it should cross through
     
    sjewell29
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    Posted: Mar. 22, 2009 - 10:03 PM ET #12

    Hey guys, how's it going? Anybody been watching EUR/JPY? It been going up and down pretty steady. Not making a lot at a time, but been goin' back and forth with it for a little profit.
    Reply
    Hey guys, how's it going? Anybody been watching EUR/JPY? It been going up and down pretty steady. Not making a lot at a time, but been goin' back and forth with it for a little profit.
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Mar. 22, 2009 - 10:05 PM ET #13

    Quote Originally Posted by sjewell29:

    Hey guys, how's it going? Anybody been watching EUR/JPY? It been going up and down pretty steady. Not making a lot at a time, but been goin' back and forth with it for a little profit.


    Check the EU.AUD, outside one move it has been range bound for 3 months.


    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by sjewell29:

    Hey guys, how's it going? Anybody been watching EUR/JPY? It been going up and down pretty steady. Not making a lot at a time, but been goin' back and forth with it for a little profit.


    Check the EU.AUD, outside one move it has been range bound for 3 months.


     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Mar. 22, 2009 - 10:11 PM ET #14

    Missed that Eu.Yen by I think 7 pips earlier, now it is up 100 from that point.


    Reply
    Missed that Eu.Yen by I think 7 pips earlier, now it is up 100 from that point.


     
    sjewell29
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    Posted: Mar. 22, 2009 - 10:16 PM ET #15

    Thanks wallstreet. I'll take a look at it.
    Reply
    Thanks wallstreet. I'll take a look at it.
     
    rick3117
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    Posted: Mar. 22, 2009 - 11:18 PM ET #16

    out of that eur/usd  a while ago,  too much switching betwee 30 min 1 hour and 4 hr charts, 
     
    looked like it was dropping on the 30 min,  around 6 but it was just a short term dip,  
     
     
    looked at the eur/gbp and it looks good, im tailing. 
     
     
    just getting round to reading that steve nison candle stick chart book ,  it is really good so far,  
     
    i cant remember if that is one of the ones you recommended pop, but it is pretty solid.   
    Reply
    out of that eur/usd  a while ago,  too much switching betwee 30 min 1 hour and 4 hr charts, 
     
    looked like it was dropping on the 30 min,  around 6 but it was just a short term dip,  
     
     
    looked at the eur/gbp and it looks good, im tailing. 
     
     
    just getting round to reading that steve nison candle stick chart book ,  it is really good so far,  
     
    i cant remember if that is one of the ones you recommended pop, but it is pretty solid.   
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Mar. 22, 2009 - 11:28 PM ET #17

    EU.Yen right at some serious resistance..quad top breakout could be a monster move higher.
    Reply
    EU.Yen right at some serious resistance..quad top breakout could be a monster move higher.
     
    popinjay
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    Posted: Mar. 23, 2009 - 12:09 AM ET #18

    i see that wall... is that quad top on the upward sloping trendline?  looks like its having trouble breaking through... maybe it will come back down to the lower end of the channel
    Reply
    i see that wall... is that quad top on the upward sloping trendline?  looks like its having trouble breaking through... maybe it will come back down to the lower end of the channel
     
    popinjay
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    Posted: Mar. 23, 2009 - 12:16 AM ET #19

    same sort of quad top in CHF/JPY
    Reply
    same sort of quad top in CHF/JPY
     
    popinjay
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    Posted: Mar. 23, 2009 - 12:26 AM ET #20

    also a nice double top on the dailys for CHF/JPY with a possible dmi cross coming. 
    Reply
    also a nice double top on the dailys for CHF/JPY with a possible dmi cross coming. 
     
    popinjay
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    Posted: Mar. 23, 2009 - 12:40 AM ET #21

    going for a short CHF/JPY... in at 85.70
     
    hitting the sheet so putting in a stop loss just above daily double top and trendline resistance 86.10
    Reply
    going for a short CHF/JPY... in at 85.70
     
    hitting the sheet so putting in a stop loss just above daily double top and trendline resistance 86.10
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Mar. 23, 2009 - 12:49 AM ET #22

    pop,

    It actually broke through that 4X top, the high on the 18th and the resistance is right at the gap down on October 21st.

    The new trend started as the bottom went in late December, but on a daily chart, this trend is new and has a long ways to go.

    Next consolidation is 138, thats a long ways away.

    I have to think it is buy on a dip after this move up and it could be a huge move if you have a longer time horizon.
    Reply
    pop,

    It actually broke through that 4X top, the high on the 18th and the resistance is right at the gap down on October 21st.

    The new trend started as the bottom went in late December, but on a daily chart, this trend is new and has a long ways to go.

    Next consolidation is 138, thats a long ways away.

    I have to think it is buy on a dip after this move up and it could be a huge move if you have a longer time horizon.
     
    popinjay
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    Posted: Mar. 23, 2009 - 9:35 AM ET #23

    ugggh, how annoying... i wake up to find i missed my CHF/JPY limit by a couple pips, then it came back to barely stop me out at 86.00 just before i woke up and now it went back down after i was thinking of getting back in but didn't. 
     
    that was frustrating
     
     
    Reply
    ugggh, how annoying... i wake up to find i missed my CHF/JPY limit by a couple pips, then it came back to barely stop me out at 86.00 just before i woke up and now it went back down after i was thinking of getting back in but didn't. 
     
    that was frustrating
     
     
     
    popinjay
    popinjay
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2007
    Posts: 1162
    Posted: Mar. 23, 2009 - 10:02 AM ET #24

    going for a buy of EUR/USD on this dip
    Reply
    going for a buy of EUR/USD on this dip
     
     
    popinjay
    popinjay
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2007
    Posts: 1162
    Posted: Mar. 23, 2009 - 1:51 PM ET #25

    sold that EUR buy, 2 lots for 200pips total
    Reply
    sold that EUR buy, 2 lots for 200pips total
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