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    All Forums | Investments

    July/August earnings season

    123456 Next Last»
    wallstreetcappers
    frumundercheeze
    Gunners
    TheBest
    AZGrinder
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    123456 Next Last»
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Jul. 17, 2007 - 11:50 PM ET #1

    Post thoughts on trades for companies with earnings in the next month..

    Include any price targets, options views, earnings thoughts...anything relating to making some coin with earnings.

    I see that INTC got hit, not enough juice there to make any scratch.

    In my view the way to play earnings is on higher beta stocks who have prices high enough that they will move one way or the other with the earnings hit or miss..
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Post thoughts on trades for companies with earnings in the next month..

    Include any price targets, options views, earnings thoughts...anything relating to making some coin with earnings.

    I see that INTC got hit, not enough juice there to make any scratch.

    In my view the way to play earnings is on higher beta stocks who have prices high enough that they will move one way or the other with the earnings hit or miss..
     
    frumundercheeze
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    Posted: Jul. 18, 2007 - 11:43 AM ET #2

    I don't what the earnings will be on the 25th but CKSW which I found out about on this forum is on a tear got in end of last week at at 5.20 hitting 6.50 now
    Reply
    I don't what the earnings will be on the 25th but CKSW which I found out about on this forum is on a tear got in end of last week at at 5.20 hitting 6.50 now
     
    Gunners
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    Posted: Jul. 18, 2007 - 11:49 AM ET #3

    Cheeze... we have TheBest to thank for that one.  i got in at $4.60.  and TheBest believes that it will hit 10 after earnings.  here's thanking him
     
    CSKW  to the moon
    Reply
    Cheeze... we have TheBest to thank for that one.  i got in at $4.60.  and TheBest believes that it will hit 10 after earnings.  here's thanking him
     
    CSKW  to the moon
     
    TheBest
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    Posted: Jul. 18, 2007 - 2:02 PM ET #4

    i'm on google tonight also. i bought shares not calls.
    Reply
    i'm on google tonight also. i bought shares not calls.
     
    frumundercheeze
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    Posted: Jul. 18, 2007 - 2:28 PM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by TheBest:

    i'm on google tonight also. i bought shares not calls.
     
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by TheBest:

    i'm on google tonight also. i bought shares not calls.
     
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Jul. 18, 2007 - 2:29 PM ET #6

    GOOG is tomorrow fellas...thursday night


    Reply
    GOOG is tomorrow fellas...thursday night


     
    AZGrinder
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    Posted: Jul. 18, 2007 - 6:16 PM ET #7

    Here are a few..
     

    MTSN   $11.29     7/25   4.76

    ASTSF  $14.37     7/25   3.79

    AEIS     $24.12     7/25   3.68

    WFR     $59.94     7/25   3.33

    LRCX   $59.98     7/24    3.24

    MKSI   $27.30      7/26   3.02

     

    Like aeis but not much volume on the contracts.

    Reply
    Here are a few..
     

    MTSN   $11.29     7/25   4.76

    ASTSF  $14.37     7/25   3.79

    AEIS     $24.12     7/25   3.68

    WFR     $59.94     7/25   3.33

    LRCX   $59.98     7/24    3.24

    MKSI   $27.30      7/26   3.02

     

    Like aeis but not much volume on the contracts.

     
    AZGrinder
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    Posted: Jul. 18, 2007 - 6:23 PM ET #8

    The above were screened by semi equipments, here are some semi by beta, volume, price and announcements.
     
    ATHR, 4.74  7/23
    NVDA, 4.03  7/26
     
    these ones are 7/19
    CY 3.10
    IRF 2.75
    FCS 2.60
    XLNX 2.36
    BRCM 3.19
     
    Too many others and my copy paste wont work.
     
    NETL 7/24  I kind of like this one AUG 30. 
    Reply
    The above were screened by semi equipments, here are some semi by beta, volume, price and announcements.
     
    ATHR, 4.74  7/23
    NVDA, 4.03  7/26
     
    these ones are 7/19
    CY 3.10
    IRF 2.75
    FCS 2.60
    XLNX 2.36
    BRCM 3.19
     
    Too many others and my copy paste wont work.
     
    NETL 7/24  I kind of like this one AUG 30. 
     
    TheBest
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    Posted: Jul. 18, 2007 - 7:33 PM ET #9

    jeez i heard ibm all day and i liked it but didn't pull the trigger its now up 4 dollars after hours.
    hopefully goog will be strong
    Reply
    jeez i heard ibm all day and i liked it but didn't pull the trigger its now up 4 dollars after hours.
    hopefully goog will be strong
     
    AZGrinder
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    Posted: Jul. 18, 2007 - 7:53 PM ET #10

    Can't wait to see what goog does......should be exciting as usual.
    Reply
    Can't wait to see what goog does......should be exciting as usual.
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Jul. 18, 2007 - 8:45 PM ET #11

    Grinder,

    You gonna straddle GOOG tomorrow?
    Reply
    Grinder,

    You gonna straddle GOOG tomorrow?
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Jul. 18, 2007 - 10:23 PM ET #12

    GOOG straddle is wayyy to expensive.

    The smartest play might be to go long the calls or puts for August if we think the move is muted for expiry..or go deep in the money on both sides and look for a reasonable but smaller return.

    Sorry about IBM, I will never play that stock..my hatred for IBM goes back 10 yrs in the market..
    Reply
    GOOG straddle is wayyy to expensive.

    The smartest play might be to go long the calls or puts for August if we think the move is muted for expiry..or go deep in the money on both sides and look for a reasonable but smaller return.

    Sorry about IBM, I will never play that stock..my hatred for IBM goes back 10 yrs in the market..
     
    AZGrinder
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    Posted: Jul. 18, 2007 - 10:28 PM ET #13

    ws,
     
    Was looking at doing this:
     
    550 put w/ 560 call but debit of $2400 seems kind of steep. 
     
    I would rather do this but can't:
     
    Sell goog short and buy the 550 calls, seems like it would work better.
     
    I'm gonna sit this one out, I just cant beleive the price of these premiums.  Even something as ridiculous as even seeing volume on the 630's 640's 650's 100 points out of the money and expire in 2 days is mind boggleing.!!
    Reply
    ws,
     
    Was looking at doing this:
     
    550 put w/ 560 call but debit of $2400 seems kind of steep. 
     
    I would rather do this but can't:
     
    Sell goog short and buy the 550 calls, seems like it would work better.
     
    I'm gonna sit this one out, I just cant beleive the price of these premiums.  Even something as ridiculous as even seeing volume on the 630's 640's 650's 100 points out of the money and expire in 2 days is mind boggleing.!!
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Jul. 18, 2007 - 10:40 PM ET #14

    Grinder,

    I might toss in a small straddle for action later tomorrow if the stock is flat or near a strike and the premium starts getting sucked out.

    You do any others this earnings cycle? I think next week will be bigger and we will have more candidates.

    I wanted to comment on your list..we need stocks over 30 bucks, preferably over 50 with high betas..these stocks like INTC and JNPR etc make lousy straddles because you need 15% moves to even break a profit..not worth it.


    Reply
    Grinder,

    I might toss in a small straddle for action later tomorrow if the stock is flat or near a strike and the premium starts getting sucked out.

    You do any others this earnings cycle? I think next week will be bigger and we will have more candidates.

    I wanted to comment on your list..we need stocks over 30 bucks, preferably over 50 with high betas..these stocks like INTC and JNPR etc make lousy straddles because you need 15% moves to even break a profit..not worth it.


     
    AZGrinder
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    Posted: Jul. 18, 2007 - 11:03 PM ET #15

    FFIV and ATI reports on 7/25
     
    I think we talked about ffiv last time and missed it. 
     
    By the way, check out TINY.  Pretty interesting along the lines of the Nanos you were talking about yesterday.  This company buys them up and has a "portfolio" of them.  Pretty cool. 
     
    Also, regarding this company I think you mentioned here is a good read.  https://biz.yahoo.com/e/070716/octl.pk10qsb.html
    Reply
    FFIV and ATI reports on 7/25
     
    I think we talked about ffiv last time and missed it. 
     
    By the way, check out TINY.  Pretty interesting along the lines of the Nanos you were talking about yesterday.  This company buys them up and has a "portfolio" of them.  Pretty cool. 
     
    Also, regarding this company I think you mentioned here is a good read.  https://biz.yahoo.com/e/070716/octl.pk10qsb.html
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Jul. 18, 2007 - 11:20 PM ET #16

    Grinder,

    TINY is my favorite NANO pure play..I watch it from time to time and in fact I am positive I have said more than once that TINY is my top nano play compared to others like NGEN or ALTI etc..

    I think our discussion earlier is about solar nanos which are very rare and I tried searching last week with very little luck, but I have been busy this week and havent had the chance to get around to it.

    FFIV is a definate play, as AMZN at this price level..as is RIMM at this price level..we need to get cracking, next week is when things start to take off..

    Tough thing with TINY is they arent making money and at 500k they will need to float in the future..stock really sucking wind lately, but at 2X book it is probably safe to dip your toe in the water.


    Reply
    Grinder,

    TINY is my favorite NANO pure play..I watch it from time to time and in fact I am positive I have said more than once that TINY is my top nano play compared to others like NGEN or ALTI etc..

    I think our discussion earlier is about solar nanos which are very rare and I tried searching last week with very little luck, but I have been busy this week and havent had the chance to get around to it.

    FFIV is a definate play, as AMZN at this price level..as is RIMM at this price level..we need to get cracking, next week is when things start to take off..

    Tough thing with TINY is they arent making money and at 500k they will need to float in the future..stock really sucking wind lately, but at 2X book it is probably safe to dip your toe in the water.


     
    AZGrinder
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    Posted: Jul. 19, 2007 - 12:55 AM ET #17

    akam reports too im bearish on that one.  report 7/25..if I can get 50 august puts a little cheaper I may pull the trigger. 
    Reply
    akam reports too im bearish on that one.  report 7/25..if I can get 50 august puts a little cheaper I may pull the trigger. 
     
    TheBest
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    Posted: Jul. 19, 2007 - 9:52 AM ET #18

    grinder why are u bearish on akami please explain i have alot of money there and made alot so want to know your reasoning
    Reply
    grinder why are u bearish on akami please explain i have alot of money there and made alot so want to know your reasoning
     
    TheBest
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    Posted: Jul. 19, 2007 - 11:55 AM ET #19

    lrw cash money
    Reply
    lrw cash money
     
    JEFFMARKETCAP
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    Posted: Jul. 19, 2007 - 12:15 PM ET #20

    Quote Originally Posted by Gunners:

    Cheeze... we have TheBest to thank for that one.  i got in at $4.60.  and TheBest believes that it will hit 10 after earnings.  here's thanking him
     
    CSKW  to the moon
     
    symbol not found????
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Gunners:

    Cheeze... we have TheBest to thank for that one.  i got in at $4.60.  and TheBest believes that it will hit 10 after earnings.  here's thanking him
     
    CSKW  to the moon
     
    symbol not found????
     
    TheBest
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    Posted: Jul. 19, 2007 - 12:45 PM ET #21

    its cksw clicksoftware.
    Reply
    its cksw clicksoftware.
     
    JEFFMARKETCAP
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    Posted: Jul. 19, 2007 - 12:46 PM ET #22

    THanks
    You like it??
    Reply
    THanks
    You like it??
     
    JEFFMARKETCAP
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    Posted: Jul. 19, 2007 - 12:52 PM ET #23

    The stock has had a huge run up last month. 
    Reply
    The stock has had a huge run up last month. 
     
    TheBest
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    Posted: Jul. 19, 2007 - 3:34 PM ET #24

    target is 10 if bought out maybe 15
    Reply
    target is 10 if bought out maybe 15
     
     
    TheBest
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    Posted: Jul. 19, 2007 - 3:35 PM ET #25

    also i have made a ton in nm and exm
    recommend these on a bullback and i stress pullback.
    Reply
    also i have made a ton in nm and exm
    recommend these on a bullback and i stress pullback.
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