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    All Forums | Investments

    ***DRYS Thread***

    «First Previous 123456 Next Last»
    wallstreetcappers
    VirginiaHoldem2
    Makeumuck
    accventures
    WinLoseorDraw
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    Search
    Views: 4794
    Posts: 145
    «First Previous 123456 Next Last»
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2009 - 8:32 PM ET #51

    Well at the time the deals were done, the market was still declining and I bet that the "behind the scenes" part of these deals were still when the shipping market was hot.

    Too much is made regarding George and his related transactions, its part of the Greek way of doing business.
    Reply
    Well at the time the deals were done, the market was still declining and I bet that the "behind the scenes" part of these deals were still when the shipping market was hot.

    Too much is made regarding George and his related transactions, its part of the Greek way of doing business.
     
    VirginiaHoldem2
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    Posted: Jan. 25, 2009 - 4:10 PM ET #52

    Realistically what does the BDI need to be at for these shipping companies to remain profitable?

    I see it is nearing 1,000 and has the potential to break through this week.

    I've attached a historical chart . . . I'm thinking 2,000 to make an okay profit . . . 5,000 to operate at a nice margin. 

    https://www.bloomberg.com/apps/cbuilder?ticker1=BDIY%3AIND
    Reply
    Realistically what does the BDI need to be at for these shipping companies to remain profitable?

    I see it is nearing 1,000 and has the potential to break through this week.

    I've attached a historical chart . . . I'm thinking 2,000 to make an okay profit . . . 5,000 to operate at a nice margin. 

    https://www.bloomberg.com/apps/cbuilder?ticker1=BDIY%3AIND
     
    VirginiaHoldem2
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    Posted: Jan. 25, 2009 - 4:11 PM ET #53

    Obviously this disregards long term charter arrangments . . . strictly from a spot perspective.
    Reply
    Obviously this disregards long term charter arrangments . . . strictly from a spot perspective.
     
    VirginiaHoldem2
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    Posted: Jan. 28, 2009 - 6:14 PM ET #54

    Anyone know why DRYS is selling off in after hours big time?
    Reply
    Anyone know why DRYS is selling off in after hours big time?
     
    Makeumuck
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    Posted: Jan. 28, 2009 - 6:36 PM ET #55

    I see the selloff as well...wondering the same

    Who can offer help?
    Reply
    I see the selloff as well...wondering the same

    Who can offer help?
     
    VirginiaHoldem2
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    Posted: Jan. 28, 2009 - 7:51 PM ET #56

    I just read . . . heavy dilution.  Up to 40 million more shares could hit the market. 

    Man this stock keeps kicking me in the nuts over and over again.  Painful.

    If you go out to DRYS website and click on SEC filings you can read all about it.  Painful.


    Reply
    I just read . . . heavy dilution.  Up to 40 million more shares could hit the market. 

    Man this stock keeps kicking me in the nuts over and over again.  Painful.

    If you go out to DRYS website and click on SEC filings you can read all about it.  Painful.


     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Jan. 28, 2009 - 9:59 PM ET #57

    VH2,

    I didnt read the dilution portion, rather the issue was loan convenants, which is an issue with MOST of these bulkers, LTV since the resale value on bulkers has crashed with rates.

    I read the filings today and I dont see anything new at all that I didnt know..meaning the release on the Capes deal which we gave shares in lieu of payment, AND warrants..but the warrants have a 5 year vesting period and are priced between 30 and 40 each..which is just fine.

    I also read that if the drill ships spin does not occur, then DRYS will not take the two other drillships from Cardiff, and if the spin DOES occur, they get 25% interest..which is fine, since they are giving 2 of 6 drillships.

    So unless you are seeing something I am not, the loan covenants are the only new issue, but when we think about it, that isnt new..and DRYS isnt the first to come and say this either.
    Reply
    VH2,

    I didnt read the dilution portion, rather the issue was loan convenants, which is an issue with MOST of these bulkers, LTV since the resale value on bulkers has crashed with rates.

    I read the filings today and I dont see anything new at all that I didnt know..meaning the release on the Capes deal which we gave shares in lieu of payment, AND warrants..but the warrants have a 5 year vesting period and are priced between 30 and 40 each..which is just fine.

    I also read that if the drill ships spin does not occur, then DRYS will not take the two other drillships from Cardiff, and if the spin DOES occur, they get 25% interest..which is fine, since they are giving 2 of 6 drillships.

    So unless you are seeing something I am not, the loan covenants are the only new issue, but when we think about it, that isnt new..and DRYS isnt the first to come and say this either.
     
    VirginiaHoldem2
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    Posted: Jan. 28, 2009 - 10:13 PM ET #58

    Wallstreet this is what I am referring to:

    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1308858/000091957409001220/d953175_424b-2.htm
    Reply
    Wallstreet this is what I am referring to:

    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1308858/000091957409001220/d953175_424b-2.htm
     
    VirginiaHoldem2
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    Posted: Jan. 28, 2009 - 10:22 PM ET #59

    Is this not new?
    Reply
    Is this not new?
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Jan. 28, 2009 - 10:25 PM ET #60

    I just read that and I didnt see anything I didnt know already, here is what I read-

    Prospectus in October is old news..we knew this..the 25M shares we know about, it was done last year.

    Page S-16 is confusing and I had to read it again, but here is how it breaks down..

    The assumptions for all and any shares to be issued would be 6.5M for the cancellation of the 9 Capes, which was announced and we know..the 5.2M shares which COULD be issued if the 3 Capes which were agreed upon but not taken were paid in SHARES, which was laid out in the earlier pages..that is a COULD, not assumed (page S-7)

    Also I think the part of the unknown is the drillship spin..that would be 25% of shares which would be issued if we took the two other drillships.

    Look at the actual on page S-16..43.5 which we know.

    In total DRYS scrapped 12 Cape purchases and with that came a loss of deposits, which is the case in any contract that is broken, but we knew that already.

    I dont see 40M more issued..am I missing something?




    Reply
    I just read that and I didnt see anything I didnt know already, here is what I read-

    Prospectus in October is old news..we knew this..the 25M shares we know about, it was done last year.

    Page S-16 is confusing and I had to read it again, but here is how it breaks down..

    The assumptions for all and any shares to be issued would be 6.5M for the cancellation of the 9 Capes, which was announced and we know..the 5.2M shares which COULD be issued if the 3 Capes which were agreed upon but not taken were paid in SHARES, which was laid out in the earlier pages..that is a COULD, not assumed (page S-7)

    Also I think the part of the unknown is the drillship spin..that would be 25% of shares which would be issued if we took the two other drillships.

    Look at the actual on page S-16..43.5 which we know.

    In total DRYS scrapped 12 Cape purchases and with that came a loss of deposits, which is the case in any contract that is broken, but we knew that already.

    I dont see 40M more issued..am I missing something?




     
    VirginiaHoldem2
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    Posted: Jan. 28, 2009 - 10:29 PM ET #61

    Very first page:
     

    We have entered into an ATM Equity OfferingSM Sales Agreement with Merrill Lynch, Pierce Fenner & Smith Incorporated, or Merrill Lynch, for the offer and sale of up to $500,000,000 of our common shares, par value $0.01 per share, offered by this prospectus supplement and the accompanying prospectus dated October 17, 2008.  The Company previously filed a prospectus supplement pursuant to Rule 424(b), dated November 5, 2008, or the November 5, 2008 Prospectus Supplement, relating to the offer and sale of up to 25,000,000 common shares.  The Company issued and sold a total of 24,980,300 common shares pursuant to the November 5, 2008 Prospectus Supplement, the net proceeds of which were $167.1 million after deducting expenses of the offering.  The Company does not intend to offer any remaining shares under the November 5, 2008 Prospectus Supplement.


    Reply
    Very first page:
     

    We have entered into an ATM Equity OfferingSM Sales Agreement with Merrill Lynch, Pierce Fenner & Smith Incorporated, or Merrill Lynch, for the offer and sale of up to $500,000,000 of our common shares, par value $0.01 per share, offered by this prospectus supplement and the accompanying prospectus dated October 17, 2008.  The Company previously filed a prospectus supplement pursuant to Rule 424(b), dated November 5, 2008, or the November 5, 2008 Prospectus Supplement, relating to the offer and sale of up to 25,000,000 common shares.  The Company issued and sold a total of 24,980,300 common shares pursuant to the November 5, 2008 Prospectus Supplement, the net proceeds of which were $167.1 million after deducting expenses of the offering.  The Company does not intend to offer any remaining shares under the November 5, 2008 Prospectus Supplement.


     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Jan. 28, 2009 - 10:29 PM ET #62

    Also, I think that the "new" offering isnt really new..page one.

    It is "refreshing" the previous prospectus, I think more than anything it is a move to appease the banks, that IF the need was there he could versus default, but I dont see it happening.
    Reply
    Also, I think that the "new" offering isnt really new..page one.

    It is "refreshing" the previous prospectus, I think more than anything it is a move to appease the banks, that IF the need was there he could versus default, but I dont see it happening.
     
    VirginiaHoldem2
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    Posted: Jan. 28, 2009 - 10:32 PM ET #63

    Ah . . . well lets hope. 
    Reply
    Ah . . . well lets hope. 
     
    VirginiaHoldem2
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    Posted: Jan. 28, 2009 - 10:32 PM ET #64

    cause $500 million is a whole lotta shares. 
    Reply
    cause $500 million is a whole lotta shares. 
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Jan. 28, 2009 - 10:34 PM ET #65

    See the previous prospectus was pretty much finished, that was last year at MUCH higher prices of course, the new prospectus gives him the opportunity if the need comes.

    It might be a way to work out the balance due on the drillships IF the spin does not occur, so we could keep the business in house AND be able to pay for the balance...430M already paid, 500M ballpark due for the two drillships.

    Just thinking out loud here, if the market does not improve and the drill spin does not occur, then in 2010 there are payments due and this could make it happen without making the banks angry, IF loan covenant restrictions happen.

    That seems more likely to me.
    Reply
    See the previous prospectus was pretty much finished, that was last year at MUCH higher prices of course, the new prospectus gives him the opportunity if the need comes.

    It might be a way to work out the balance due on the drillships IF the spin does not occur, so we could keep the business in house AND be able to pay for the balance...430M already paid, 500M ballpark due for the two drillships.

    Just thinking out loud here, if the market does not improve and the drill spin does not occur, then in 2010 there are payments due and this could make it happen without making the banks angry, IF loan covenant restrictions happen.

    That seems more likely to me.
     
    accventures
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    Posted: Jan. 29, 2009 - 8:38 PM ET #66

    So Wall......buy here or not?
     
    I have toyed with this stock off and on but am ready to make a bigger bet if it's time.
    Reply
    So Wall......buy here or not?
     
    I have toyed with this stock off and on but am ready to make a bigger bet if it's time.
     
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posted: Jan. 29, 2009 - 9:11 PM ET #67

    accventures,

    Good move on POZN for you today, that data looks good and I hope you make money on it.

    I think the shippers are going to be stalling here, if you want to nibble do so in pieces..there is no rush at all.

    DRYS has the cash flow to cover its obligations and if we think that the BDI goes up, DRYS has a big upside to it.


    Reply
    accventures,

    Good move on POZN for you today, that data looks good and I hope you make money on it.

    I think the shippers are going to be stalling here, if you want to nibble do so in pieces..there is no rush at all.

    DRYS has the cash flow to cover its obligations and if we think that the BDI goes up, DRYS has a big upside to it.


     
    VirginiaHoldem2
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    Posted: Jan. 29, 2009 - 10:37 PM ET #68

    Quote Originally Posted by accventures:

    So Wall......buy here or not?
     
    I have toyed with this stock off and on but am ready to make a bigger bet if it's time.


    I think the markets will look to beat this down the next few days.  Probably see it possibly even dip into the $6 range . . . where it definitely would be a good buy.

    I'm just interested to see what they are going to do with the excess cash they will have from the offering.  Could it be:

    Paydown some existing debt?
    Further downpayments on future rigs?

    I'm just not sure.  That being said I think it is a good opportunity in the 6 range . . . if you have a long term horizon.  At least the BDI is back above 1,000 again.  Hopefully it continues its uptrend. 






    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by accventures:

    So Wall......buy here or not?
     
    I have toyed with this stock off and on but am ready to make a bigger bet if it's time.


    I think the markets will look to beat this down the next few days.  Probably see it possibly even dip into the $6 range . . . where it definitely would be a good buy.

    I'm just interested to see what they are going to do with the excess cash they will have from the offering.  Could it be:

    Paydown some existing debt?
    Further downpayments on future rigs?

    I'm just not sure.  That being said I think it is a good opportunity in the 6 range . . . if you have a long term horizon.  At least the BDI is back above 1,000 again.  Hopefully it continues its uptrend. 






     
    VirginiaHoldem2
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    Posted: Jan. 31, 2009 - 9:02 AM ET #69

    Quote Originally Posted by VirginiaHoldem2:



    I think the markets will look to beat this down the next few days.  Probably see it possibly even dip into the $6 range . . . where it definitely would be a good buy.

    I'm just interested to see what they are going to do with the excess cash they will have from the offering.  Could it be:

    Paydown some existing debt?
    Further downpayments on future rigs?

    I'm just not sure.  That being said I think it is a good opportunity in the 6 range . . . if you have a long term horizon.  At least the BDI is back above 1,000 again.  Hopefully it continues its uptrend. 








    Depending upon the action of the general market this week you might be able to get some at $4 or $5.  Which I think is a great deal for the long run. 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by VirginiaHoldem2:



    I think the markets will look to beat this down the next few days.  Probably see it possibly even dip into the $6 range . . . where it definitely would be a good buy.

    I'm just interested to see what they are going to do with the excess cash they will have from the offering.  Could it be:

    Paydown some existing debt?
    Further downpayments on future rigs?

    I'm just not sure.  That being said I think it is a good opportunity in the 6 range . . . if you have a long term horizon.  At least the BDI is back above 1,000 again.  Hopefully it continues its uptrend. 








    Depending upon the action of the general market this week you might be able to get some at $4 or $5.  Which I think is a great deal for the long run. 
     
    accventures
    accventures
    Legend
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    Joined: Jan, 2005
    Posts: 33235
    Posted: Feb. 1, 2009 - 9:08 PM ET #70

    Biggest question for me before I jump in bigger is this:
     
    Chances they file BK? 
    Reply
    Biggest question for me before I jump in bigger is this:
     
    Chances they file BK? 
     
    WinLoseorDraw
    WinLoseorDraw
    Prospect
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    Joined: Sep, 2008
    Posts: 306
    Posted: Feb. 2, 2009 - 3:26 PM ET #71

    why buy now its going lower and i mean new 52 week lows.

    GE is selling $500,000,000 worth of new share out into the market to pay debt down on drill rigs.

    drys might see $1 per share this week.

    dilution to the fullest extreme going on here. he will atleast double the O/S maybe triple or more at these prices they're being sold out at.

    do some calculating on the volume and prices of the recent days since the shelf registration and you can kinda have an idea of how much more selling will go on.  or just wait for the day when drys does not have 25 million or more shares traded. that should mark the end.
    Reply
    why buy now its going lower and i mean new 52 week lows.

    GE is selling $500,000,000 worth of new share out into the market to pay debt down on drill rigs.

    drys might see $1 per share this week.

    dilution to the fullest extreme going on here. he will atleast double the O/S maybe triple or more at these prices they're being sold out at.

    do some calculating on the volume and prices of the recent days since the shelf registration and you can kinda have an idea of how much more selling will go on.  or just wait for the day when drys does not have 25 million or more shares traded. that should mark the end.
     
    WinLoseorDraw
    WinLoseorDraw
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    Posts: 306
    Posted: Feb. 2, 2009 - 3:29 PM ET #72

    a good deal on DRYS is around $3 or less. thats all depending on how many shares have already been sold out into the market. hell a good price might even be $1 a share or less.
    Reply
    a good deal on DRYS is around $3 or less. thats all depending on how many shares have already been sold out into the market. hell a good price might even be $1 a share or less.
     
    wallstreetcappers
    wallstreetcappers
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    Joined: Feb, 2003
    Posts: 58464
    Posted: Feb. 2, 2009 - 3:44 PM ET #73

    I dont think any shares have hit the market.

    The MARKET thinks so, I dont.

    I think George either made it available so the banks would feel better, but I doubt they are pushing him to sell now.
    Reply
    I dont think any shares have hit the market.

    The MARKET thinks so, I dont.

    I think George either made it available so the banks would feel better, but I doubt they are pushing him to sell now.
     
    WinLoseorDraw
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    Posts: 306
    Posted: Feb. 2, 2009 - 3:54 PM ET #74

    walls

    you know GE only cares about the company not the share holders. do you think the 25 million a day volume has been shorts ???

    its obvious whats going on here. hes already started selling the shares out. look at the last time he did a shelf registration with cantor fitzgerald. those shares hit the market with the next few days (25million)

    as for the bank not pushing for it. i read on yahoo that 1 of their creditors is in bad shape itself. so i would not be surprised if they were pushing it. Dexia Credit Local NY Branch

    thread below.

    https://messages.finance.yahoo.com/Stocks_%28A_to_Z%29/Stocks_D/threadview?m=tm&bn=24683&tid=259898&mid=259898&tof=11&frt=1


    Drys will survive but at a huge price to shareholders.
    Reply
    walls

    you know GE only cares about the company not the share holders. do you think the 25 million a day volume has been shorts ???

    its obvious whats going on here. hes already started selling the shares out. look at the last time he did a shelf registration with cantor fitzgerald. those shares hit the market with the next few days (25million)

    as for the bank not pushing for it. i read on yahoo that 1 of their creditors is in bad shape itself. so i would not be surprised if they were pushing it. Dexia Credit Local NY Branch

    thread below.

    https://messages.finance.yahoo.com/Stocks_%28A_to_Z%29/Stocks_D/threadview?m=tm&bn=24683&tid=259898&mid=259898&tof=11&frt=1


    Drys will survive but at a huge price to shareholders.
     
     
    wallstreetcappers
    wallstreetcappers
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    Posts: 58464
    Posted: Feb. 2, 2009 - 4:02 PM ET #75

    Dilution theory was what drug the stock to 3 in the first place..

    Its short momentum nothing else to me.
    Reply
    Dilution theory was what drug the stock to 3 in the first place..

    Its short momentum nothing else to me.
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