11/6........Jumping right in

Are you factoring in the swings in the market the last 5-6 months?

I wonder historically if the currency markets fly all over the place like this. The USD got chopped for nearly 8 years, straight down and now that it seems to have bottomed and is improving, that makes for seemingly EASY trades.

I said a few months ago, or less that if I were trading currency I would go long the USD vs the Euro/$$$ and YEN and allow for a wide swing and be willing to sit it out a while. I think our economic problems are on the  bottom and will improve, I think the FED is slowing the print press and the other currencies/economies are open to weakness as they usually do, AFTER ours is done and we are seeing reversals.

I dont want to go back and find the post but I have to think there is a HUGE trade there long the USD over the next 2 years or so.

That's a good question. Like there's a guy on babypips whose system got him 11000 pips for October, but this month has been nothing but losses. But as you say, if you looked back through the historical info and your method still holds up, then it sounds promising. And if it starts going sour, you can always just switch to demo trading for a few days to keep from getting too much drawdown. Maybe eventually have a couple different systems for different kinds of trading conditions, with the signal to switch being 3 consecutive losses or something like that.