Mohawk Harness Thread 2.0 - Last2Thirst

Will be watching Jays and these races....was out for dinner with friends last weekend seeing all the qualifiers....awesome table just past the wire 

@Last2thirst

 Thanks Buddy

Race 3 ....they scratched TWIN B JOE FRESH ....late

I would bet  Sylvia or the #7 Always Be Naughty ....hit the #7 strongly and do an exactor the other way.....and also a ALL /57 exactor

I like #2 here.... $20 BOX > 2/5

$2 exacter 7, 10 with 2, 5

I am pissed off about the PICK5....I got ripped off not knowing Twin B Fresh was sick....otherwise, I would have taken the 7 ....I think a lot of people did

Yeah that sucks. 

That's enough for me....have a good night 

@Last2thirst

 You too buddy

Its been a while....perfect PICK5 conditions in the winter to spring so long as it doesn't rain or is foggy....won't really bet in those conditions

Got a nice PICK5 in a tough capping group race 2 - 5 ....Race 1 I think there is really only one horse but will play a back up play

Strong NW wind...you want horses that can leave and only an outside #8-10 position if they can get to the front before the HALF 

Race 1 - #6 KEY

backup one ticket 1345

Race 2 - 2467

Race 3 - only 123 have a shot in a 6 horse race under these conditions ....upset by #6 if he can hold 2-hole after he tries for the front again out of the 6 slot with McNair

Race 4 - KEY #2 on on ticket

Backup ticket with 34578

Race 5 - really only need #3 and #9 << this horse will get to the front with a push from the NW wind on the turn if Luc Roy pushes him to the lead and Luc won't mind the 2 hole with this wind down the home stretch 

40c ticket > 6 / 2467 / 123 / 2 / 12568 = $24

$2 ticket > 6 /2467 / 123 / 2 / 39 = $48

20 cent    6/ 2467/ 56 / 123 / 2 / 39 = (48) = $9.60

20 cent  6 / 2467/ 123 / 34578/ 39 = (120) = $24

20 cent  1345 / 2467 / 123 / 2 / 39 = (96) = $19.20

Really like the Pick5 tonight at Mohawk - brutal cold though but track should be fast : - mix of tickets 

Main Ticket:

20 cent

12345 / 16 / 3 / 356/ 12345789  = $48

12345 / 2 / 3 / 356 / 34789 = $15

1234 / 16 / 2345 / 36 / 349 = $39.20

20c Pick3 Race 1 > 79 / 126 / 2345 = $4.80

                      60c> 79 / 16 / 34 = $4.80

12345 / 357 / 356 = $9

GL 

Ok > I hit this ticket > 1234 / 16 / 2345 / 36 / 349 = $39.20

 paid out > $0.20 Pick 5 3 / 6 / 5 / 6,8 / 9 (5 of 5) $130.83  .... I made $10 ...big whoop haha

Took a break for a bit as I was busy with a project but I am going to cap tonight since, the weather conditions and track might present some interesting opportunities based on the weather conditions:

WEATHER SATURDAY:

-high winds blowing in from SW - this tends to make outside horses have trouble getting to the front unless they have a lot of speed to get there and they may try to....if #3-7 also have blazing speed off the gate, you want to take them since they can make the situation more difficult and probably won't mind the #2 or #3 hole once settled in order to come back out later to take the lead 

-SW is great for drivers that can rate a horse well for position and speed ...JMAC is the best at this

-some rainfall but its questionable whether it will be hard ....still, the track will be soft from frozen ground thawing and wet likely/sticky which can be tricky for some horses who like the dry surface feel of the track....I like closers or drivers that can have pace down the stretch if there was a speed battle due to the winds....

Just starting to cap and will post some ideas before 530 pm likely

Did not play P5 > got sidetracked by a phone call and then some other things I then had to do. Sorry

I am going to be playing some Doubles and FLAT bets win or win/place or across and perhaps a super if I can find a great longshot key and think I might have one in RACE 4 >> 2 of them which I will start a PICK3 using next race

Mohawk:

Race 3  Pick3 40 cent > 1256 / 145710/ 347 = $24

$1 play 8/ 14570 /347 = $15

$1 play 8 / 45710 /37 = $8

DBL $12 > 8 / 5  = $12

         $8 > 5 / 5 = $6

         $2 > 5 / 4710  = $6

           $5 > 8 / 7 = $5

        $2 > 8 / 410 = $4

       DBL $3 > 256 / 5 = $9 

$89  laid this race 

Have some supers for Race 4

Alive into Race #4:

$1 play 8/ 14570 /347 = $15 

$1 play 8 / 45710 /37 = $8

DBL $12 > 8 / 5  = $12 > pays $100 if winner

           $5 > 8 / 7 = $5 > pays $86 if winner

        $2 > 8 / 410 = $4 > pays $101 and $125 if winner

Spent $89 ....hoping to hit one of these and then can have PICK3  for extra profit

Upset .... I get nothing. Glad I did not do a super because I want to wheel #4 and he had a shot but 3 and 8 are in a photo for win

#5 and #7 in a speed battle most of the way around the track ....I hate that!!

$5 tri  > 37/37 / 49

$2 > 37 / 37 / 12810 

$2  37/ 49 / 37

$1  37 / 12810 / 3748

$1 Super 37 / 37 / 12810 / 48

Correction on these:

$1  37 / 12810 / 3749

$1 Super 37 / 37 / 12810 / 49

exactor $2   249 / 73

110/37 for $1 ex 

Going for it tonight - playing a biggie PICK5

Race 1  $12 DOUBLE > 13 with 8 = $24

PICK5 > 20 cent > 13 / 234578 / 25714/ 247/ 137 > costs $108

$2 exactor race #1 > 67 / 13 = $8 and $5 exactor 5 /13 = $10

$150 investment has BIGGIE chance in P5

added $6 double 5 / 8 

40 cent Pick3 > 5 / 5 horses other than #8 / 5 horses in P5 race 3 = $10

This #5 has a lot of changes and looks real good on the track

^^^ jesus....so glad I did this bet to cover up a disaster in the making .... #5 ROMPED ....sorry if you played the P5 as I caught the equipment changes late and viewed the horse in warm up and thought WOW!!

Double pays $34.20 < 3x and I also have the 2x PICK3 with 7 horses instead of 5 ..... I through in #6 and #8 and it cost me an extra $8

Got $17 more back but still down $40    This race #4 has some nice options to bet and I am betting $10 and $15 to WIN on: #2 - 1st time Doug McNair to push this horse in his second race  #7 - Pantera < powerful horse down the lane

Hit the PICK5 last night and a nice double.....just cashed out at WOODBINE which is not far from my home in Toronto

Played 2 PICK5's tonight....love the chance for a nice one:

-solid wind from the WEST tonight and cold so fast horses if they can get off the gate and to the lead or 2-hole, they will have a good shot but you have to grab some fast 2nd half horses as well

Race 1 - Keyed #9 COUNT ON GORD ....but played a second ticket

-also playing an angle where I hit one of three key horses in the first few races and so I did a 60 cent back up PICK3 as well just in case they only hit one in the 3rd race and a longshot PICK3 as well for 20 cents

My tickets:

PICK5 - 20 CENT

9 / 789 / 1238 / 13689 / 34569 = $60

123479 / 7 / 38 / 138 / 3469 = $28.80

race 1

$1P3 > 9/ 256 / 1238 = $12

$1P3 > 12347 / 25689 / #8 = $25

20 cent > 12347/ 25689 / 123 = $15

race 3 > 20 cent longshot key > 1238 / 10 / 34569  = $4

40 cent > 1238 / 13589 / 289 $24 

$169 laid 

Have the following alive after 2 races:

123479 / 7 / 38 / 138 / 3469 = $28.80

Race 1 = #4 =  7 - 1 winner

Race 2 = #7 = 3 / 5 key

***by the way, I bumped up my ticket on this to equal the other ticket in the last race so now I have left (cost went up to $60 for the 2nd ticket also and my reasoning was I would have a good chance at 2x PICK5 payouts:

38 / 13689 / 34569 left on the P5

BACKUP P3's 

race 3 > 20 cent longshot key > 1238 / 10 / 34569  = $4

40 cent > 1238 / 13589 / 289 $24