Mohawk Harness Thread 2.0 - Last2Thirst

THEY WONT CATCH SHANK HERE........YA BABY

why didn't I do an EXACTOR #10 ALL.....since I spent $100..... big error on my part but still cashing $98 from Double

@Ky2436

 Great call on the 10. Perfect,  just how u said it would go. Great pick.

Thanks...I just looked for speed and pedigree and know these horses well...when they will leave given the race dynamic 

@Last2thirst

 I appreciate everything.  Love ur insight, and ur picks

Look for another night when here ....I don't play every night because they screw around and cheat some nights.....only like cards where I saw something the last card or I see a horse dropping down to KEY in a PICK5

Its usually in the cool and cold weather, I start to hit the nice PICK5 chances....so tune in and have a look going forward 

That was fun, good night

Thanks,

Its always nice doing some betting with someone else. Unfortunately, a legend in football who bet horses got kicked off of COVERS and so him and I no longer do PICK5's together. He would go to offtracks in Buffalo and I am in Toronto

@Last2thirst

 A pleasure.

Do u bet football?

Yep, college football! I do Survivor pools and make the occasional NFL bet but my real love is college ball and NCAAB as well....

Here is my thread > https://www.covers.com/forum/college-football-33/l2thirst-biggie-games-week-5-103975425#last

I don't know if I am playing Mohawk tomorrow night if the track is sloppy and off.....I will look for the program and I am going to need to see one horse dropping down with closing speed to KEY and maybe one other horse to KEY in a race and then I might get creative in the other 3 races....all kinds of crazy shit happens when that track is wet and so I just find my cap the program to track success rate gets skewed.....I know how to spot a speed horse in the program and on appearance but with sloppy track, a lot of those horses get shy and don't like the conditions/footing for their shoes 

Monday night Mohawk - I will be playing

-weather indicates it will hold off rain likely until 4th-6th race 

-SW wind about 12 mph so in their face into the face around the first turn after leaving the gate and this could take a lot of sting out of horses on the outside if they get stretched 

- I like horses that know how to position in the outer flow 2nd or 1st over and make their move ...JMAC , Cullen and Henry are notorious for this kind of move ....Davis is pretty good and Borth sometimes 

Race 1 - best 2yr old is #8 but I don't know how good this #4 is...gets a great 2 yr old driver ...Jodi and Bob McClure are the two very best with young trotters and JMAC too 

UPSET > do exactor #136 with 48 or try a Tri with alll 5 horses for 3rd 

Race 2 - Have to take 4 horses here or maybe ALL 7 

I think its a race between 1357 and look at the closing time of #7 and aggressive trot driving change to Doug McNair!

Horse I would leave out is Monalishi (#1 but it has Jodi on it) who might need one race to get back to fitness....

Race 3 - 15 for sure is probably all you need, but I would add #6 on the driver change deploying Jodi to breathe life into a trotter that has a 151 win on the season

Make a Pick3 to: #36 < will pay well with first two races vs the other two

Race 4 - Feel you only need 67 ...and might suggest keying #6 between the two on one ticket if you do two because the price will be better but the horse is very close to popping at the same class level and better than #7

Longshot (add on bigger ticket 1458)

Race 5 -  Need 5 horses and you could throw in #4 on the driver change to Jodi but the horse has issues to sort out ....lots of speed in the race. I have won so much money taking #2 in the winter and he has popped at 50-1 before and won me a $4000+ Pick5 last winter or the one before ...... but its humid tonight

TAKE: 13678  or expand and add 26 for longshot

KEY > BEST 2 horses to bet flat or just gamble on they win the PICK5 > #3 has raced toughest competition and always pops when Cullen drops this horse ....good post relief also....and I love #7 because #6 is a suck along horse whereas #7 has a nose for the wire down the lane!

#8 getting lasix might be what this horse needs to take it to the next level and notice it left the gate quicker BEFORE getting lasix the last race? That is a strong signal!!!

Upon further inspection in Race 5....beware of #5 with Doug McNair...that was a helluva a qualifier without a great driver 

I keyed #8 on a $1 play and I did a 40 cent play with #4

I have pick3s with 136 and I also have a triactor as I suggested

8 / 357 / 156 /67 / 4 horses is my $1 play ....then I did a 20 center with all the same but only 124 in race 5 

Race 1 - Monday > $8 romped in 154 time and won by 5-6 lengths ....any horse came near, the horse took ....beautiful looking, good gait and very strong front shoulders 

This horse will be racing for big dough next year and might get into the OSS races and maybe even Breeders if progression keeps shaving time

This filly could do under 153 if pushed so that would place her among the best 

Its come 8 / 3 / ? / ? / ?

I have a $1 Pick 3 open here on #34 Pays > $40/$147 as a backup and a pick 3 started 40 cent 13456/ 67 / 7 horses 

I also have a 60 cent pick3 > 156 / 156/ 3578

Its come 8 / 3 / 5 / 7 / ?

Have $1 play (5x) to:

#3

#5

#7

#8

40 cent (2x) to:

#1

#6

Wah Wah....booked lowest payout for $130 ...I spent more than that.

oh well

Beautiful night at Mohawk tonight....gorgeous warm, no wind

P5 20 cent > ALL except # 23 (6 horses) / 5 /2346 / 357 / 2 = $14.40

same 6 horses / 5 / 58 PICK 3 x 40 cents  = $4.80

$1 pick 5 > 24 / 5 / 2346 / 37 / 234 = $48

40 cent  24 / 5/ 2346 / 5 / 234 = $9.60

40 cent  24/ 14 / 2356 / 357 / 2 = $19.20

GL ....my horse to bet flat is #4 in RACE 3 or #6 .....

$10-20 across on #4 coming up in the 3rd race at Mohawk....if I love the looks ...$20 across

$5 across on #6

BREEDERS CROWN ELIMS tonight....starting one of them in race 3 

P5s I am playing  starting in RACE 1

 40 cent > 2789/3479 / 3478 / 268 /9 = $80 approximately

20 cent  29 / 39 / 3478 / 26/ 45710 = $28.40 

GL

Wow....two horses standout in post parade

I have #7 in my PICK5 ...wow

#6 looks ripping and Dave Menary trains with Dexter Dunn driving > $5 across on this one !

@Last2thirst

 Let's goooo Buddy. Good Luck to u

Good Luck tonight buddy. Let's have a night

Breeders Crown P5: 

- I predict one major upset in P5 RACE ....maybe Twin B Joe Fresh!

- 

$1 PICK5  26 / 4567/ 15 / 245 / 5 = $48

40 cents (same ticket above) except use #2 in 5th race as a KEY = $19-20

Could also win play ( Race 1 )

20 cent 137 / 4567 15/ 245 / 25 = $19-20

I will be doing bets across on all other races or DOUBLES if I see a spot to make it profitable

@Last2thirst

 Who's ur best player tonight? Should be great races

Don't have one bro....really like #2 in the first race here !!