Harness Racing Ontario - Mohawk specialty + other B tracks occasionally

Uh oh...inquiry on top 3 finishers...wtf?

I did put in Hervey Hanover #2 and #3 Yacht Seelster both due to equipment changes and cut back on another race

Race #6...my changed ticket had #6 keyed and he just beat #8 Rubys Are Nice by a whisker ....who went off at 41-1 

Give me an inquiry as I have it on my 2nd ticket

Big ticket is alive > next two races I GOT > 16710 / 1 456789

Ah shoot....they scratched my #10 in this race coming up..... #6 opens fave at 10-1 in the morning line!

Race 4 #7 won ..... #6 almost won and would have made this pay way more

Race 5 - #6 won and it pays $167.....

Could not get my late PIck5 to you....was flipping burgers 

7 / 5689 / 1234789 / 456 / 67 ....Century Farroh is not good enough to beat the other 3 back to back

Track is super fast.....BETTOR SUN at 7-2 just won the 7th race in 1.49 flat 

SINTRA BABY!!....one of my faves and good odds. I bet it and Century flat $30 each 

5-1

Got 2 horses alive paying $165 to #6 and $250 to #7 .....I backed up #1 and #9

I hit one of these, it will be over $400 tonight clear so pretty happy to break the seal on a long run of going dry and now have 2 nights in a row cashing ok

Capping HI5 now...

EAST END is a key....always wins any race that its 'dropping down' and against these, its dropping down

Go with good drivers now for 2nd - 3rd and mix in one surprise for third

#11 will be blocked by slower #1 ....so not a factor to win or 2nd

#12 can follow #2 or #3 so it fits....this horse can fly!! and the fact Drury is off of it....to Jodi...like it a lot

-this horse is also fabulous down the lane ...it grinds and keeps coming

My 2nd keys are:   #4 with JMAC for sure will finish 2nd or 3rd....at worse, 4th so I am wheeling it 2nd, 3rd, 4th

.....with #12 , #2 , #5 .....you gotta think one of the Ballairgeron horses will be in top 4...like them both

LEAVING OFF THE TICKET > Top 4:

#10 - its never in Moreau's nature to send a horse from the outside hole in a non-claim race and I don't think this horse is good enough for him to get there anyway....plus. no reason to kill the horse in a race like this with other strong horses

#9 - no chance of Top 4 placing

EAST END WINS first over the whole way .....WOW!!!..... 7 / 8 / 10 / 12 ....not sure who is 5th

I fucked up not putting in the #10 except in a triactor which I got but big deal

Wow....a 20 cent piece paid over $7000

Monday August 2 

Wind > not a factor although where I sit close to Lake Ontario it seems to be gusting outside at times

Campbellville reporting West wind about 7 -10 mph all night....dry track...perfect conditions for some fast miles

Wind in the horses face leaving and in the stretch but not strong so these horses can repel challengers from the back just before the half and to the 3rd Q

I expect all racing styles to win tonight but post 9-10 might have difficulty or post 1 if they cannot leave off the gate

Potential Key horses regardless of Odds:

#1 - Race 1 > Lyle MacArthur can win anytime on his stock of horses...he has shown this over 15 years and he steals races. He won from the 10-hole bet down to under 5-1 that shocked people. Now he has the rail. He almost won last week vs. a kickass OSS field .....this 1 hole sets up two possibilities.....A. odds board hammers him and chances are that is Lyle betting himself as he has that reputation or those that around him > he likes to brag and bring a group   B. odds board lays off at 3-1 or higher and that likely means he is not gonna sacrifice the horse on such low odds and its only public money....

I think this horse is the class of the field as it has demonstrated... but Lyle MacArthur likes grab cheques and unfortunately has to leave the class due to condition of NW of 1 or $7000...he is already over but was entered early so is allowed and will likely win tonight as well

Race #2 - honestly can make a case for every horse in that race....but #4 looks like a solid KEY ...watched the race again and the only horse gaining on Many Moons was True Blue Lindy

Race #3 - no KEY ....like #1 and #5 equally and leaning toward putting in #9 after I watched Mario move the horse easily around the track and it seemed to want to race down the lane

.....could there be an big upset? No, but its the type of race that you start a Pick3 if the next two races look like there could be multiple winners in both

-if another horse wins...its because the race was fixed to let either 2,456 ...because those are the only other horses that could win down the stretch 

Race 4 - #1 JMAC/Millar Farms/ Gallucci/ 26'4 last Q in qualifier and has won 2 in a row at Georgian Downs with JMAC....not a good combo to beat when looking for another horse but will try to find one horse

-#3 Bayama horse!....always great stock from Filions family connections....which have over the years continually showed fast fractions...Angers Bayama at the Meadowlands started that way and is now racing in 1.47s as a 4 yr old

#4 - maybe....gonna find out how good it is and that first race was extremely impressive as I saw it beat two other top rated horses easily under wraps!

#5 - maybe has the better time BUT....it could break and did not race with better horses than the 3 above so thats different because it won without stress

LONGSHOT PLAY > 1st time Brethour #7 and look at its lines!!! 

This race just might be the one that they screw around in....... but think if you cut back...#1 has a race in it like MANY MOONS the other day when it went from 156 to 151'3.....and I think #3 is the other one that could surprise if race situation stacks up the right way like a 2nd over flow

Race 5 - watched Grandma Heidi #1 could have won its race last week and All Wrapped Up was second over and given a chance to win with no blockage ....don't normally like this horse but it could fall into the race...leave out if you want to cut back 

-Pickachu #2 figures here dropping down and has speed plus knows how to close a race! ...whereas Grandma does not...some may be turned off by Christoforou on this trotter first time but he is one of the best hands for Trotters on the track!!

#10 has to go in ....this horse can fly and after Roger got a 153'4 out of the horse out of the 8 hole, I can see Trevor blasting to the front and wiring the field or taking position...it was winning FreeforAll last year!

-#4 is a 3yr old but a damn good one and is racing very well with hopples now but does not leave on the same fractions as the older horses....could it fall into it on some bad luck of Oney Hall and Pickachu....yes but that's the only way in my view

-All Wrapped Up #6 is intriguing ...upset alert?...I think the trainer may send Drury for position or lead to see what it can do and he also is sneaky good with Trotters posting lifetime bests on many Auciello first time trotters ....tempted to put the horse in the race and see if it wins in 153 flat or lower

-Dancer Hall not fast enough off the gate and first half to clear on the two above 

-I do not like #7 ....not fast enough and not the best 3 yr old

-do not like any other horses in the field

Tickets: 

Race 1 - Daily Double  1 / 4   $30  > paying $8 to win per$2 bet right now so would return over $120

Race 1 - Pick 3 > 23458 / ALL / 179 = $18  < #9 has an equipment change so going on all my tickets!

                   40c > 123458 / 4 / 179 = $7.2

                   60c > 1458 / 4 / 17 = $4.80

Race 1 - Pick 5 >   1 / ALL / 179 / 13 / 124610 = $36

                       80 cent > 1 / 2456 / 179/ 1 / 1210 = $19 .20

UPSET PLAYS:  

1 / ALL/ 2456 / 1 / 12410 = $19.20

1 / 2456 / 179 / 457 / 12410 = $28.80

1 / 2456 / 179 / 1 / 378 = $7.20

HAHA....did you see that 1st race?? OMG....Lyle was cheating like crazy and they set it up for #4.....my Pick3's are going to pay amazing I bet 

#4 went off at 14 - 1

Alright....pick 3 payouts alive

#1 = 6x $19

#7 = 6x $20

#9 = 3x $31

Get some money back for Pick 4's which I will post

$1 Pick4 = 1 / 124610 / 36 / 234678

20 cent 

Leaving She's Wild and Free in the 7th race...

#1 won the first leg easily....

2nd leg (Race 5) > ya baby!!! ONEY HALL wins from 10 position at 5-1 ....(8-1 in the program)

This will pay really well I bet now ....by the way....looking at my ticket, I did put the #1 and #5 on the ticket after all when I went to punch it into my horseplayer. I just thought, if one of my upsets came....it would be best to have near ALL in the last leg....the race should be interesting

NICE!!...they sent off #3 TC Scandal first up from the half and it won by 3 lengths at 6 -1 !!

I have the first 8 horses in the Pick 5 alive...I think it should pay a minimum $70 to the lowest because this final leg of Race #7 has no clearcut favourite