Harness Racing Ontario - Mohawk specialty + other B tracks occasionally

Got $10 Doubles .... my eyes usually can tell me many times who has the best chance  when I can clearly see things in the post parade

Looking at $325 on the #2 or $110 on #5 if they win.....

Note, #2 is dropping down from a higher class and has the driver with the best hands on the track right now rating his horses

Race 8 >> 450 000 horse will win that race unless the horse breaks #2

Back up with 34??

Race 9 >> 268 ...no key there although #2 should win....so play a double 2/2 in Race 8 

Race 10 >>

Race 10....took all except # 3 ? Sylvain Grenier horse no good

Race 11 ...like 159 only....will back up.....like #5 the best and its 8-1 in the morning line

Alive on one ticket.... 234 / 268 / 13578 / 159

If it comes in, it will pay well with so many keying the $450 000 horse likely!!

I rushed picking for RACE 11 and neglected to put #8 in my play so just did a $10 dbl with 578 with #8 in race 11 as a backup

#5 just came in so it will pay 5x $27

Curious to see how well the Pick4 pays on my other 3 horse....I think for #1 and 5 it will pay real well...

#1 pays $301

#5 pays $242

#9 pays $159 

Don't have #8 ....it pays just under $100 ....that should tell you to bet it to win as the barns/horse people are all over selecting this horse and 2-1 is likely where it will go off at

Got #9  for $159

Paid $172 for a 20 cent play to my surprise... a little more for the final Pick4 > I spent about $27

Wasn't able to see the back half of the card on Tuesday.  I'll be playing tonight, looking forward to more insights!

Very warm here today.....31 C with 38 Humidex so I did some research on hot days this summer and morning line 6-1 or lower seems to hit almost every race....horses that can leave and been in top 5 positions

Wind > doing something very interesting....

SE now till 1st race or 2 and light 5 -10 mph THEN CHANGING TO NW and picking up a little ...doubled speed

I like taking front end speed and best closing half times just in case there is a speed dual 

Tonight's card has the feel of being a monster payout for the Pick5 so play a 20 cent play and follow....

5th Race - very hard to pick a winner but I do like 3 horses the best and only one of them is picked by program

#8 - ready to roll by Alagna..horse is a front end speed horse and this is the weakest race field it has faced and last week almost won with P. McDonnel ...now back to McNair who will drive this one aggressively to the lead for sure!!

#7 - first race on the track from 9 - hole and the horse wants to race!!! > closes back half in 55'2 wow!!

-#5 intrigues me....1st time good driver with Roy ....3 time lasix and new trainer and first race on the big track with improving times and good 2nd half times a Georgian Downs...this horse is ready to do 153'4 and that might win the race from middle of the gate 

-#9 has another week with a new trainer and BUDD is known for really training his horses hard which he might leave from post nine tonight and win from the top 4 positions

Closers to back up or throw in if you want to make sure > 1 10 has JMAC but the horse can't go fast off gate and I think being far back is no good tonight

4th Race - ALL (8 horses) - I literally can make a case for ALL 8 horses winning and their times are all very close

3rd Race - love #7 as its the best Trot combo at Mohawk but #5 finally gets post position and Z-man is awesome when his Trotters are live and ready to pop....damn good Trot driver

Playing also a Pick3 that I think has great value: ALL except 1 and 8 / 12348 / 578 = $24

2nd Race - Pretty safe KEY here with #8 despite being a trotter as the horse has been stressed already in slop....came first over to take the lead and the outside post will not bother the horse  .....but I will play a 2nd Pick5 with 37 also on a ticket and a pick3 with #2

60 cent Pick3 > 2 / 57 / ALL = $10

1st Race - Take 5 7 8 

5- will be bet favourite

7 - is ready to win and Trevor has a way of bringing the best out of a horse first time if its close

8 - massive trainer change and McNair will have all the intel on whether to move the horse when from his dad based on how the horse was trained that week

Beware: #2 9...considering putting those in as this race might be setup for one of them to go to the lead and BOTH horses come from the same trainer and he can be shifty ...holding back his horses in prior races!! 

My tickets for Pick5:   (20 cent play that could pay very nicely > $2000+)

#1

578 / 8 / 57 / (ALL 8x) / 1578910 = $58 play and I will be backing up to WIN in the last 

If you want to cut back > 578 / 8 / 57 / ALL/ 5789 = $37  

#2

578 / 378 / 57 / 12348 / 789 = $54 (this ticket doubles my #8 in the second leg and I try to win a 40 cent play)

#3

29 / 8 / 57 / ALL / 5789 = $26

I am also playing the RACE3 PICK3 ....I suggested above for $24

GOOD LUCK

Chalk fave won but #2 and #9 of the same trainer made it interesting as I suspected they might

I missed the early pick 5, got home late.  Will probably do the late pick 5

OK....RACE 2 ...GO bet a Pick3 with 2378 / ALL except 1 and 8 / ALL...they took a trotter in for a shoeing change and it has no shot at winning but this delay causes issues for amped #8 horse I bet....and the excuse they may cook up for it to lose finally 

Sounds good let's try it

Hmm maybe I should have just taken the 8 and not added.  Heavy fave is going to water down this pick 3 unless some good prices come up in the next couple

Faves...fack!

Woulda shoulda coulda....I thought you did not like faves and like payouts? haha

#8 in the 5th. Wow, great call on that! Played it as a straight win bet! Cheers!!!!

JUST AS I CALLED IT....was between 7  or 8 .....and people let an ALAGNA horse getting better go off at 8- 1.....stupid people are muttering right now

@icemantbi

 Ohhhh thats awesome. Glad you caught that!!  ....PICK5 paid $49 and I got it twice

Late pick 5 next looking forward to your pick!

@Last2thirst

 8-1 was too tempting.  This was a wide open race the #9 should not have been the fave imo

@icemantbi

$20 pays $198