What? I'm not breakin down every possible scenario on earth, I'm saying that
You could go from London to Macau, from Bangkok to Hong kong, from Purto Vallarta to Winnamuca Nevada and they all had CMU at +21 tonight..All over the world..thousands of books had the same line at kickoff...
Because it produced a 50/50 split
Why would that be any suprise?
Doesn't basically all the gambling establishments use like 2 or 3 sources for the point spread?
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Quote Originally Posted by NumbersCruncher:
What? I'm not breakin down every possible scenario on earth, I'm saying that
You could go from London to Macau, from Bangkok to Hong kong, from Purto Vallarta to Winnamuca Nevada and they all had CMU at +21 tonight..All over the world..thousands of books had the same line at kickoff...
Because it produced a 50/50 split
Why would that be any suprise?
Doesn't basically all the gambling establishments use like 2 or 3 sources for the point spread?
They try to guess what line will get them 50/50...They guage the publics perception of the two teams. Thats what they do-
The even action is a common misconception. If they really wanted equal action, then they do an awful job of it. Rarely are they getting equal action. What they do is set the line accordingly to how they think joe public is looking at the game and work from there. They love getting one sided, square action which is most common.
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Quote Originally Posted by NumbersCruncher:
They try to guess what line will get them 50/50...They guage the publics perception of the two teams. Thats what they do-
The even action is a common misconception. If they really wanted equal action, then they do an awful job of it. Rarely are they getting equal action. What they do is set the line accordingly to how they think joe public is looking at the game and work from there. They love getting one sided, square action which is most common.
The even action is a common misconception. If they really wanted equal action, then they do an awful job of it. Rarely are they getting equal action. What they do is set the line accordingly to how they think joe public is looking at the game and work from there. They love getting one sided, square action which is most common.
Bang on man. Anyone who's studied spreads and their outcomes and line movements know that this is the case. In fact, spotting Vegas traps is a nice way to make a lot of money... That's why they put-forth the charade of wanting "even money".
You see a line that makes you scratch your head... Always go the other opposite
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Quote Originally Posted by gfinger:
The even action is a common misconception. If they really wanted equal action, then they do an awful job of it. Rarely are they getting equal action. What they do is set the line accordingly to how they think joe public is looking at the game and work from there. They love getting one sided, square action which is most common.
Bang on man. Anyone who's studied spreads and their outcomes and line movements know that this is the case. In fact, spotting Vegas traps is a nice way to make a lot of money... That's why they put-forth the charade of wanting "even money".
You see a line that makes you scratch your head... Always go the other opposite
Exactly right. It's called picking your spots. Those lines will scream right out at you. Example 1-a mediocre team playing a very good team & the mediocre team is a bewildering slight favorite-go with the mediocre team. Example 2-a great team is playing a lousy team-but the great team is only a bewildering tiny slight favorite-go with the lousy team. Sometimes a weird spread is actually telling you the outcome of the game in advance.
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Quote Originally Posted by Fuzzrod:
*Always go the opposite*
Exactly right. It's called picking your spots. Those lines will scream right out at you. Example 1-a mediocre team playing a very good team & the mediocre team is a bewildering slight favorite-go with the mediocre team. Example 2-a great team is playing a lousy team-but the great team is only a bewildering tiny slight favorite-go with the lousy team. Sometimes a weird spread is actually telling you the outcome of the game in advance.
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