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    All Forums | FIFA World Cup

    6/23 Brazil ML?? Someone talk me out of this (or in)

    billsneedhelp
    Ballafran3
    davi10398
    dawgs777
    dilaudid8
    ...
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    Posts: 14
     
    billsneedhelp
    billsneedhelp
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2014 - 11:03 AM ET #1

    First off let me say that I NEVER make plays on such high juice.

    However this is one play where I see value on the ML @ -700 

    This is a must win game for Brazil and Cameroon is the worst team in the cup right now and having internal problems as well.

    I don't see how Brazil doesn;t win bey a least a few goals but they should certainly win by a goal at the very least so ML seems like as close to a sure bet as you can.

    I know what you are thinking- why not take Brazil at -1.5? Well with the juice still high at -213 for that I might as well take the ML which is a much stronger bet for Brazil to just win rather than by 2 or more. 

    I am thinking of laying the rest of my bankroll on Brazil ML and eat the juice. But I'm really scared about losing that much $ and I will be sick for a while if I do. Crazy things have happened in the cup so far just like last night Portugal getting a goal in the last seconds of the game when I thought my USA ML bet was a wrap.

    Someone talk me in or out of this Brazil ML bet….
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    First off let me say that I NEVER make plays on such high juice.

    However this is one play where I see value on the ML @ -700 

    This is a must win game for Brazil and Cameroon is the worst team in the cup right now and having internal problems as well.

    I don't see how Brazil doesn;t win bey a least a few goals but they should certainly win by a goal at the very least so ML seems like as close to a sure bet as you can.

    I know what you are thinking- why not take Brazil at -1.5? Well with the juice still high at -213 for that I might as well take the ML which is a much stronger bet for Brazil to just win rather than by 2 or more. 

    I am thinking of laying the rest of my bankroll on Brazil ML and eat the juice. But I'm really scared about losing that much $ and I will be sick for a while if I do. Crazy things have happened in the cup so far just like last night Portugal getting a goal in the last seconds of the game when I thought my USA ML bet was a wrap.

    Someone talk me in or out of this Brazil ML bet….
     
    Ballafran3
    Ballafran3
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2014 - 11:17 AM ET #2

    im with you 100% id say darn it and roll with brazil ML although i do disagree i think there is great value in brazil -1.5 but i understand your concern there is no way brazil loses this game if you have a big enough bankroll to profit anything anyone who tells you its stupid doesnt like free money brazil wont lose BOL
    Reply
    im with you 100% id say darn it and roll with brazil ML although i do disagree i think there is great value in brazil -1.5 but i understand your concern there is no way brazil loses this game if you have a big enough bankroll to profit anything anyone who tells you its stupid doesnt like free money brazil wont lose BOL
     
    davi10398
    davi10398
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2014 - 11:31 AM ET #3

    The only reason why it might be a bad idea is because Brazil actually does not need to win this game. They advance with a draw
    Reply
    The only reason why it might be a bad idea is because Brazil actually does not need to win this game. They advance with a draw
     
    billsneedhelp
    billsneedhelp
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2014 - 11:39 AM ET #4

    Quote Originally Posted by davi10398:

    The only reason why it might be a bad idea is because Brazil actually does not need to win this game. They advance with a draw

    I did not know that I thought it was a must win for them. This might be enough to talk me out of it. (Even though I still think they win)
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by davi10398:

    The only reason why it might be a bad idea is because Brazil actually does not need to win this game. They advance with a draw

    I did not know that I thought it was a must win for them. This might be enough to talk me out of it. (Even though I still think they win)
     
    Ballafran3
    Ballafran3
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2014 - 11:46 AM ET #5

    there is still seeding for the knockout round to play for they win by at least 2
    Reply
    there is still seeding for the knockout round to play for they win by at least 2
     
    davi10398
    davi10398
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2014 - 11:52 AM ET #6

    @ballafran3 very true, which is why I think it will matter what the result is between Chile and Netherlands. It's possible if Chile wins the group that they would be okay with a draw and possibly taking the 2 seed as opposed to playing Netherlands, who are always dangerous
    Reply
    @ballafran3 very true, which is why I think it will matter what the result is between Chile and Netherlands. It's possible if Chile wins the group that they would be okay with a draw and possibly taking the 2 seed as opposed to playing Netherlands, who are always dangerous
     
    davi10398
    davi10398
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2014 - 1:15 PM ET #7

    @billneedshelp have you thought about doing a halftime/fulltime bet? Brazil wins first half and brazil wins the game is -275. If they are going to win they will probably come out and score right away in the first and I doubt they give up the lead with Song out for a suspension and Eto'o I guess might not play for injury reasons
    Reply
    @billneedshelp have you thought about doing a halftime/fulltime bet? Brazil wins first half and brazil wins the game is -275. If they are going to win they will probably come out and score right away in the first and I doubt they give up the lead with Song out for a suspension and Eto'o I guess might not play for injury reasons
     
    billsneedhelp
    billsneedhelp
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2014 - 1:58 PM ET #8

    No I didn't think of that not a bad idea but at that price of -275 I might as well take them at -1.5 for full game. It may take them longer than the first 45 min to find the back of the net. I would feel more confident just taking them for full game. Seem like there have been lots of late goals lately..
    Reply
    No I didn't think of that not a bad idea but at that price of -275 I might as well take them at -1.5 for full game. It may take them longer than the first 45 min to find the back of the net. I would feel more confident just taking them for full game. Seem like there have been lots of late goals lately..
     
    dawgs777
    dawgs777
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2014 - 2:13 PM ET #9

    -700 is never a value ,your trippin.
    Reply
    -700 is never a value ,your trippin.
     
    dilaudid8
    dilaudid8
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2014 - 3:05 PM ET #10

    never ever bet a chalk like that but you right 99 percent BRAZIL won't lose but it could be a draw then your fucked never for get this the risk is not worth the reword gl
    Dilaudid8
    Reply
    never ever bet a chalk like that but you right 99 percent BRAZIL won't lose but it could be a draw then your fucked never for get this the risk is not worth the reword gl
     
    PhoTauBay
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2014 - 3:16 PM ET #11

    i might get Brazil ML at - 833 now, i don't think they will win more than 2-0, rest legs and tactical plan i guess, really scared at - 833 as the Argentina vs Iran almost lost me that much, but this is a MUST and EASY win for Brazil, they NEED to win to get TOP seed to avoid Netherlands on the 2nd round, don't say they can get top seed with a DRAW cuz you never know what happen in the MEXICO match until the end of game, if MEXICO or CROATIA win, they will get TOP seed and Brazil 2nd seed with a Draw

    Reply
    i might get Brazil ML at - 833 now, i don't think they will win more than 2-0, rest legs and tactical plan i guess, really scared at - 833 as the Argentina vs Iran almost lost me that much, but this is a MUST and EASY win for Brazil, they NEED to win to get TOP seed to avoid Netherlands on the 2nd round, don't say they can get top seed with a DRAW cuz you never know what happen in the MEXICO match until the end of game, if MEXICO or CROATIA win, they will get TOP seed and Brazil 2nd seed with a Draw

     
    bobmaloogatimesfive
    bobmaloogatimesfive
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2014 - 3:24 PM ET #12

    Why not open a parlay for the next time you want to make a bet this chalky
    Reply
    Why not open a parlay for the next time you want to make a bet this chalky
     
    billsneedhelp
    billsneedhelp
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2014 - 3:43 PM ET #13

    There was nothing good enough to parlay it with look at the board today
    Reply
    There was nothing good enough to parlay it with look at the board today
     
     
    PhoTauBay
    PhoTauBay
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2014 - 3:47 PM ET #14

    yah, there is nothing good, so did you bet Brazil ML? if you did, then i go ride with you bro, if you skip, then i skip, i wanna lay 4500$ to win 500$ 
    Reply
    yah, there is nothing good, so did you bet Brazil ML? if you did, then i go ride with you bro, if you skip, then i skip, i wanna lay 4500$ to win 500$ 
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