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Clemson at Georgia Tech (09/10/2009)

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Posted: #51
Quote Originally Posted by PrenticeGT:

HappyKane, your ratings are jacked up.  Dwyer is a C-/D-?  WTF?

Morgan Burnett is a C+?  He is a preseason finalist for DB of the year.  Please clear these horrendous errors up.


This happens on every thread this guy posts his ratings on.  This time, he told you they're one time ratings for Thursday's game.  Keep in mind, on another thread, he said that the ratings aren't based on stats, trends, or previous performances because that's stuff that everybody has access to.  He rated Arkelon Hall as a significantly better quarterback than Jevan Snead in last week's Ole Miss - Memphis game (I believe the ratings were something like a B+ and a D-).  Put simply, he makes these up without basis (unless you count simulating a game on NCAA '10 a basis for gambling). 
My early lean here was Tech, but as the line moves I'm growing a little less confident (all the way to 5.5!).  Can anybody share some insight?
 
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Posted: #52
clemson + under = 
 
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Posted: #53
BOL
 
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Posted: #54
The Thursday night dog affect applies to the Thursday night "home" dog...
 
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Posted: #55
Going against the trend, I had G-Tech-4' since Mon.(also),They"ve added an extra pt., but I"m staying with G -Tech.,they have more options on offense & it will show Thurs..The stands will be in a White Out & G -Tech will put on a Show
 
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Posted: #56
Conference opener for both, Clemson seems to be in a re-loading mode while the jackets are primed and ready to fire after a year under Johnson's system. We shall see what happens but for me it's the Yellow Jackets at Bobby Dodd tonight.
Georgia Tech - 27                   Clemson - 17
Yellow Jackets -5                   
 
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Posted: #57
Probably will plunk down a small play on the over (43)
 
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Posted: #58
Hey CJ..Good Luck my friend...I am not one that opts for history..That is what these early game line and prices are based upon??? Looking at the points early and these are nice numbers to get at piece of,even if it`s based on history...
CLEMSON+5.5

 
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Posted: #59
Yeah.....Tigerpaw, I forgot about that......he came in last year as a reliever didn't he........nice catch on that one my friend.  I still like G T though.  Hey Big D........you gotta pound my Irish with me this Saturday.......If it's the only play you make, then you will keep the hot streak going!!!
 
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Posted: #60
My local has the number at 6 and no one online has gone that far yet I was leaning GT not to sure but might flop or no play.Like Pitt tonight in NFL maybe a Clemson tease is in order.
Nice to see you back BigD,waiting for your Tuesday night dance to begin.
 
BOL to all
 
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Posted: #61
good to see you bigdaddy. just waitin' for a tuesday!!! 
 
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Posted: #62
CLEM 36
GT 22
 
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Posted: #63
go tigers games always close
 
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Posted: #64
Good luck guys. I'm going with GT and the over.
 
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Posted: #65
I also think it will be close. Leaning Clemson.
 
Here's some more interesting data about this series:
 

Thursday 10 Sep 09

CLEMSON +5 @ GEORGIA TECH

10 of last 15 games in series decided by 5pts or less

DOG is 13-3 in this series

 

CLEMSON

10-6 ATS overall vs G. TECH

8-1 ATS as DOG VS G. TECH

5-0 ATS as AWAY DOG vs G. TECH

3-0 ATS as 3.5-7 pt DOG vs G. TECH

41-25-2 ATS all time as DOG

12-4-2 ATS as SEPT DOG

26-17 ATS as AWAY DOG

33-20-1 ATS as CONF DOG

15-9-1 ATS as 3.5-7 pt DOG

 

 

UNDER is 6-4 in series AVG TOTAL = 44.5

UNDER is 65-53 on THURS GAMES (last 5 years)( 4-0-1 this year)

 
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Posted: #66
Quote Originally Posted by rdwngs19:

G Tech- nuff said!! bow at my knee's and realize the my power!!!
Hmmm ok just solidified my lean though flipping the total from first thought of OV - think it will be the battle of the run tonight -- TIGERS +5 & UNDER 42.5
 
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Posted: #67
This is a tough game to pick. I originally had this as a game to bet heavy against Clemson (my team) but there is just too many questions...

1) GT beat Clemson last year 21-17 in Dabo's first game as a coach, but that doesn't tell the whole story. The Clemson D was excellent that day, and the offense had six, yes SIX turnovers and Clemson still only lost 21-17....On the other side of the ball, Nesbitt was returning from an injury, so perhaps he wasn't at full strength?

2) Clemson has a different Def coordinator this year, most agree Kevin Steele is better than Vic Koening, but Koening obviously planned well for GT last year, so who knows?

3) Believe me, Clem has been preparing for this game for A LOT longer than 4 days....this is a circle calendar game for Clem.

4) The Clemson offense will struggle, I firmly believe this, but the real battle will be Clemson's defense against the GT offense. I love Paul Johnson's offense, but this will prob be the best defense GT faces all year, Clemson has very dangerous and fast defensive ends.

Like I said, I started out ready to bet big on GT, but now I'm confused to the point where I'm looking at a small bet on the under
 
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Posted: #68
You guys are suckers if you are taking the under.  Why do you think the total has gone up to 44 now even though everyone is on the under?

These teams could be close to the total at the half.
 
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Posted: #69

Last year each of these teams played 8 other ACC teams.

GT covered 6 of the 8, and was 4 and 1 as a home Favorite .

Clenson covered 3 of the 8 ,and was 1 and 2 as an road dog.

Clemson was +2 at home against GT and lost 17 to 21.Now their getting 5 on the road at GT

GT - 5 GLTA

 
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Posted: #70
Quote Originally Posted by PrenticeGT:

You guys are suckers if you are taking the under.  Why do you think the total has gone up to 44 now even though everyone is on the under?

These teams could be close to the total at the half.


not one of the last 3 meetings have gone over 44....Clemson defense is stout, and their offense is still working out kinks, add in the possibility of rain, and that 44 looks way too high
 
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Posted: #71
Yellow Jackets at home.
-3-1st half
BOL & Cheers!!
 
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Posted: #72
I kind of like TECH here. This is the 74th meeting in the series, and Tech owns a 41-13-2 advantage at home. And you have a red shirt Frosh making his first road start. I'll take the triple option here that everyone has trouble stopping. That's why Navy leads the nation in rushing every year.
 
You also have to look at the UNDER here. Two teams that love to run the football and control the clock. Believe me, these coaches don't want to put the game into the hands of Nesbitt and Parker. They would much rather see a lot of Spiller and Dwyer out there. It should also be pointed out that the last four series meetings between these teams have seen a combined 38, 16, 38, and 19 points. And two teams that only managed 37 points against Middle Tennessee State and Jacksonville State don't exactly scream high powered offenses to me.
 
TECH & UNDER
 
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Posted: #73
Tech -5.5
 
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Posted: #74
Clemson +5

anyone who is on Clemson should jump off NOW.  Weekday games were not good to me last week...
 
 
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Posted: #75
Quote Originally Posted by TrojanHorse:



not one of the last 3 meetings have gone over 44....Clemson defense is stout, and their offense is still working out kinks, add in the possibility of rain, and that 44 looks way too high


Then why would the total be at 44?  They are begging for under money here.  Clemson's defense is overrated as I said earlier.  GT and UGA combined for 87 points in the rain last year.  It probably won't even rain, so who cares. 
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