Hermes - we just see things differently. Sucker bets are usually lined people think are too pod to be true. With the legions of people backing Nevada around the web, I don't think your argument makes sense, really.
I was seeing things like you on Nevada/LT until I saw SBR listing 69% of bets coming in on Louisiana Tech. Now I wonder if Hermes has the right of it.
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Quote Originally Posted by RJSizzle:
Hermes - we just see things differently. Sucker bets are usually lined people think are too pod to be true. With the legions of people backing Nevada around the web, I don't think your argument makes sense, really.
I was seeing things like you on Nevada/LT until I saw SBR listing 69% of bets coming in on Louisiana Tech. Now I wonder if Hermes has the right of it.
On paper, yes. But what exactly does Clemson have to play for?
Did you see their fans storm the field last week? They didn't storm the field because they beat lowly Wake, they stormed it because they clinched the ACC Atlantic. It's perfectly understandable if they step back and take a deep breath.
They don't really have a shot at the BCS Championship game, not with that loss to GT. On top of that, they've got their rival (South Carolina) on deck. Again, I ask, what do they have to play for?
I'm beginning to think NC State 1st half is a great play.
Clemson fans storm the field every after home game, win or lose. And this is a huge game for Clemson because the Tigers won't win next week against USC's defense unless they get the offense rolling again this week. NC State has been overrated all year, and Clemson should win by 17+.
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Quote Originally Posted by Tone10:
On paper, yes. But what exactly does Clemson have to play for?
Did you see their fans storm the field last week? They didn't storm the field because they beat lowly Wake, they stormed it because they clinched the ACC Atlantic. It's perfectly understandable if they step back and take a deep breath.
They don't really have a shot at the BCS Championship game, not with that loss to GT. On top of that, they've got their rival (South Carolina) on deck. Again, I ask, what do they have to play for?
I'm beginning to think NC State 1st half is a great play.
Clemson fans storm the field every after home game, win or lose. And this is a huge game for Clemson because the Tigers won't win next week against USC's defense unless they get the offense rolling again this week. NC State has been overrated all year, and Clemson should win by 17+.
What does that even mean? lol. Wake Forest is actually a good team with speed and they returned 18 starters last year with a mobile quarterback. Wake forest beat FSU, albeit FSU committed self-inflicted wounds. Want to talk about storming the field? Clemson stormed the field after beating Auburn, good to fade them next week against FSU right---- oh wait they beat FSU and storm the field again. Your right lets fade them next week against VT on the road, oh wait they win again; oops. I guess storming the field is 2-0 ATS so far afterwards.
Let me emphasis this: Clemson fans storm the field after EVERY home game, win or lose.
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Quote Originally Posted by Laroja:
What does that even mean? lol. Wake Forest is actually a good team with speed and they returned 18 starters last year with a mobile quarterback. Wake forest beat FSU, albeit FSU committed self-inflicted wounds. Want to talk about storming the field? Clemson stormed the field after beating Auburn, good to fade them next week against FSU right---- oh wait they beat FSU and storm the field again. Your right lets fade them next week against VT on the road, oh wait they win again; oops. I guess storming the field is 2-0 ATS so far afterwards.
Let me emphasis this: Clemson fans storm the field after EVERY home game, win or lose.
I wonder if Laroja realizes we bet on Clemson in the games he mentions. Now we go against. It's the spots and situations that dictate what we play. Some people just don't get it. It's a completely different approach. You can stop posting here, though. What you think are good points to bet on Clemson are the reasons we are betting against them. You really just don't get the approach.
I appreciate the advice, but I would take it from maybe 10 here and none of them are you.
RJ I think you are one of the ones that "gets it" and that's why you consistently cash year after year.
You are dead on, here. I was all over Clemson against Auburn, that was one of my favorite plays this year because it set up so perfectly for them.
That was the time to bet Clemson. In my opinion, this is the perfect week to bet against them. I will definitely be on NC State 1H, should be around +4.5 if my numbers are correct.
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Quote Originally Posted by RJSizzle:
I wonder if Laroja realizes we bet on Clemson in the games he mentions. Now we go against. It's the spots and situations that dictate what we play. Some people just don't get it. It's a completely different approach. You can stop posting here, though. What you think are good points to bet on Clemson are the reasons we are betting against them. You really just don't get the approach.
I appreciate the advice, but I would take it from maybe 10 here and none of them are you.
RJ I think you are one of the ones that "gets it" and that's why you consistently cash year after year.
You are dead on, here. I was all over Clemson against Auburn, that was one of my favorite plays this year because it set up so perfectly for them.
That was the time to bet Clemson. In my opinion, this is the perfect week to bet against them. I will definitely be on NC State 1H, should be around +4.5 if my numbers are correct.
Roja - from your posts you just compound the fact that you have no idea about this whole thing. Fade Clemson after beating auburn? Geez. Please tell me you didn't lol.
Your making no sense now. I only bet on Clemson once this year and I lost against GT. From what your saying, you should bet against Clemson off an emotional win. Pretty sure fading Clemson against FSU,VT and Wake counts. But whatever, I know you only bet on situation on not on actual stats, so I take whatever you say with a small grain of salt.
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Quote Originally Posted by RJSizzle:
Roja - from your posts you just compound the fact that you have no idea about this whole thing. Fade Clemson after beating auburn? Geez. Please tell me you didn't lol.
Your making no sense now. I only bet on Clemson once this year and I lost against GT. From what your saying, you should bet against Clemson off an emotional win. Pretty sure fading Clemson against FSU,VT and Wake counts. But whatever, I know you only bet on situation on not on actual stats, so I take whatever you say with a small grain of salt.
I wonder if Laroja realizes we bet on Clemson in the games he mentions. Now we go against. It's the spots and situations that dictate what we play. Some people just don't get it. It's a completely different approach. You can stop posting here, though. What you think are good points to bet on Clemson are the reasons we are betting against them. You really just don't get the approach.
I appreciate the advice, but I would take it from maybe 10 here and none of them are you.
Likewise rofl.
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Quote Originally Posted by RJSizzle:
I wonder if Laroja realizes we bet on Clemson in the games he mentions. Now we go against. It's the spots and situations that dictate what we play. Some people just don't get it. It's a completely different approach. You can stop posting here, though. What you think are good points to bet on Clemson are the reasons we are betting against them. You really just don't get the approach.
I appreciate the advice, but I would take it from maybe 10 here and none of them are you.
Hey Larojo, I have been following RJ Sizzle for a while now and is one of the best cappers on this site. He bets on situations, but it works! RJ, just keep doing what you do and screw the haters!
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Hey Larojo, I have been following RJ Sizzle for a while now and is one of the best cappers on this site. He bets on situations, but it works! RJ, just keep doing what you do and screw the haters!
Nothing in gambling is as black and white as you are trying to make it. You don't blindly fade teams off big wins. Your definition of a big win and what I think are one are completely different.
But again, there are no rules to gambling.
What I was trying to explain to you was the fact I bet on Clemson in those games you mentioned earlier in the year. I was on Clemson against Auburn and then again the following week against FSU. Those were great spots. You seem to think that the game against FSU I should have bet on FSU because Clemson had a 'big' win the week before. But it's not that easy.
Also the idea of betting on a team that just locked a path to their championship game reeks of an elementary approach. We are literally the exact opposites.
Again, GL with your wagers, but the thoughts and ideas thrown around my thread are way above your head.
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Laroja - post 57 is why you don't get it.
Nothing in gambling is as black and white as you are trying to make it. You don't blindly fade teams off big wins. Your definition of a big win and what I think are one are completely different.
But again, there are no rules to gambling.
What I was trying to explain to you was the fact I bet on Clemson in those games you mentioned earlier in the year. I was on Clemson against Auburn and then again the following week against FSU. Those were great spots. You seem to think that the game against FSU I should have bet on FSU because Clemson had a 'big' win the week before. But it's not that easy.
Also the idea of betting on a team that just locked a path to their championship game reeks of an elementary approach. We are literally the exact opposites.
Again, GL with your wagers, but the thoughts and ideas thrown around my thread are way above your head.
Arid - those #s are crap. Sports insights is the only reliable site who gives out percentages. But, shit. Please ignore those. They mean nothing. You cannot get any fixed set of rules from looking at them so they are really a misnomer.
But think to yourself. How many squares are betting the La Tech game on a Tuesday and Wednesday? Most squares arent placing wagers yet. Although, they do love Clemson. Hey. Clemson is bound to cover sometime, right?
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Arid - those #s are crap. Sports insights is the only reliable site who gives out percentages. But, shit. Please ignore those. They mean nothing. You cannot get any fixed set of rules from looking at them so they are really a misnomer.
But think to yourself. How many squares are betting the La Tech game on a Tuesday and Wednesday? Most squares arent placing wagers yet. Although, they do love Clemson. Hey. Clemson is bound to cover sometime, right?
good luck this week rj, leaning your way on a bunch myself. if you're on anything in the pro's tonight, i hope it's denver, shaping up to be a nice play.
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good luck this week rj, leaning your way on a bunch myself. if you're on anything in the pro's tonight, i hope it's denver, shaping up to be a nice play.
emotional game for the Jets Sunday night. Then a short week flying to Denver, playing in that air can be tough spot for Rex an Crew. However, how does Denver score more then 17 points for there team total?
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emotional game for the Jets Sunday night. Then a short week flying to Denver, playing in that air can be tough spot for Rex an Crew. However, how does Denver score more then 17 points for there team total?
I'm thinking TT has a shot to win SU. Mizzou just lost Josey and coach Pinkel was arrested this morning for dui....no way Mizzou is focused vs a TT squad that couldnt have played worse last weekend......18 is a ridiculous number
bol this weekend rj
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I'm thinking TT has a shot to win SU. Mizzou just lost Josey and coach Pinkel was arrested this morning for dui....no way Mizzou is focused vs a TT squad that couldnt have played worse last weekend......18 is a ridiculous number
Shouldn't Clemson have won last week by 17? Man. Hearing that three weeks in a row is starting to get old. No?
I get what your saying about me speaking from my heart. I won't even play this game because they are my team but they will cover. We agree to disagree. I hope you do well with NCST but not win the game outright. Clemson winning is the only thing I care about. But if we do cover there will be a I told you so and I hope I get the same back from you if NCST covers. I even like most of your other picks.
Clemson 45-27
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Quote Originally Posted by RJSizzle:
Shouldn't Clemson have won last week by 17? Man. Hearing that three weeks in a row is starting to get old. No?
I get what your saying about me speaking from my heart. I won't even play this game because they are my team but they will cover. We agree to disagree. I hope you do well with NCST but not win the game outright. Clemson winning is the only thing I care about. But if we do cover there will be a I told you so and I hope I get the same back from you if NCST covers. I even like most of your other picks.
Arid - those #s are crap. Sports insights is the only reliable site who gives out percentages. But, shit. Please ignore those. They mean nothing. You cannot get any fixed set of rules from looking at them so they are really a misnomer.
But think to yourself. How many squares are betting the La Tech game on a Tuesday and Wednesday? Most squares arent placing wagers yet. Although, they do love Clemson. Hey. Clemson is bound to cover sometime, right?
Good to know. I don't really know where to find decent numbers. But I have noticed that the heavily bet dogs (as listed by SBR) have done somewhat poorly so far, so I've been keeping an eye.
That said, a few of us at Rocky Top Talk have a picks contest every week, and people are lining up to bet Louisiana Tech. That's about the extent to which I have a pulse on it.
You're right about Clemson though. Gotta be this week, right?
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Quote Originally Posted by RJSizzle:
Arid - those #s are crap. Sports insights is the only reliable site who gives out percentages. But, shit. Please ignore those. They mean nothing. You cannot get any fixed set of rules from looking at them so they are really a misnomer.
But think to yourself. How many squares are betting the La Tech game on a Tuesday and Wednesday? Most squares arent placing wagers yet. Although, they do love Clemson. Hey. Clemson is bound to cover sometime, right?
Good to know. I don't really know where to find decent numbers. But I have noticed that the heavily bet dogs (as listed by SBR) have done somewhat poorly so far, so I've been keeping an eye.
That said, a few of us at Rocky Top Talk have a picks contest every week, and people are lining up to bet Louisiana Tech. That's about the extent to which I have a pulse on it.
You're right about Clemson though. Gotta be this week, right?
I absolutely believe si #s. I know some bookmakers that have personally verified that they give ALL of their betting data to si. They pay them so much it's worth it.
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I absolutely believe si #s. I know some bookmakers that have personally verified that they give ALL of their betting data to si. They pay them so much it's worth it.
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