week 12 thoughts....

Quote Originally Posted by RJSizzle:

lost last week. it happens. pretty disappointing, though. no time last week, no time this week. just some quick thoughts:

think western michigan is the better team and getting points. books showing no sign of confidence in the home favorite. 

bowling green peaked at 7 yesterday and i hit it. think they get the job done at home. 

unc good enough to cover 7 in blacksburg. surprised to see 10 there. 

purdue in a good spot, but iowa wins games they shouldnt. with purdue off a win, i think iowa can take this one. 

i cant believe louisville opened up as road chalk. thats ludicrous. uconn wins without a problem. 

fsu shit away a cover last week, but for some reason i like them again. 

tenny will beat vandy. listen, vandy is a nice story, but second rate qb and all, they dont walk into tenny and beat tenny. 

hi, my name is clemson. i have completely fallen off the map. no way this team covers.

mizzou laying 18 against texas tech? geez. talk about no respect for a team. watching tex tech was painful last week. what an abortion. 

byu should not be laying 23 to nmsu. its not nm. its nmsu. i get you got burned playing them against uga, but this is a good time to bet this squad. 

a&m should be able to name their score against kansas. 

wazzu should get a home win. playing with some confidence. 

ore state wins at home. 

cincy just lost a heartbreaker against wva. they shit it away. how do they go on the road and win in conference? i dont see it. 

kst isnt going to keep up that level of play. texas runs all day here. 

bc was nice last week, but against nd? i dont see how nd doesnt name their score. 

navy isnt last years navy. sjsu is a team that has played a monster schedule. they get another home win here. 

i got la tech taking nevada outright. 

thought i would have to lay points with usf and i am getting them. wow. 

fresno beats hawaii. 

is that a suckers line on usc, or does it just look that way?

Tough week for me last week Sizzle as well. I am shocked Illinois played that poorly. They just didnt show up at all in that first half except on defense. Michigan played like crap but Illy was worse.

How do you feel about these games?

ASU -11 vs Arz I think ASU could name their score here. They are 5-0 at home and coming off two losses while Arz is awful and 0-5 on the road. I know this game is typically close but this year could be different.

Stanford -17.5 vs Cal. I won't be playing this game but I was curious about your thoughts. I know you said teams that lose the first time usually have a hangover the next week but Stanford is playing their rival. Cal is also terrible on the road. No line value IMO.

Oklahoma -15.5 at Baylor. I know you rarely lay road pts but shouldnt OU be able to name their score here. They beat this team by 30 last year and they had a bye last week. They could be in a look ahead spot though with Ok State coming up.

Arkansas -13 vs Miss St. Arkansas has an avg Def but man can they score. They could be looking ahead to LSU next week. MSU blows but nearly 2 tds is a lot.

OSU -6.5 vs PSU. Buckeyes could be looking for another home win here vs a highly ranked Penn St. OSU is shit on offense so 6.5 could be too much too lay here. A no play for me.

Army +13.5 at Temple. Can Army keep it within 2 tds here?

Wisconsin -14 at Illy. I wont bet Illy again after that performance last week. I should have learned after the Penn St game even though they covered there. Illy has the worst OL in America. Wisconsin should play well but they suck on the road. No line value here IMO.

Michigan -3.5 vs Nebraska. A toss up too me. Michigan plays better at home. Can they pull it out?

On paper, yes. But what exactly does Clemson have to play for?

Did you see their fans storm the field last week? They didn't storm the field because they beat lowly Wake, they stormed it because they clinched the ACC Atlantic. It's perfectly understandable if they step back and take a deep breath.

They don't really have a shot at the BCS Championship game, not with that loss to GT. On top of that, they've got their rival (South Carolina) on deck. Again, I ask, what do they have to play for?

I'm beginning to think NC State 1st half is a great play.

Completely different situations... those wins against Auburn and FSU were way at the beginning of the season, and involved a Clemson team that was hungry and looking to prove a point. Now, they've clinched the ACC Atlantic, nobody would blame them if they took their gas off the pedal just a bit.

In addition, it wasn't hard to get motivated to play their subsequent games against FSU and VT. Those are two marquee programs. Playing those two teams is not like playing NC State. It's not easy to "get up" to play a squad like that.

Combine the two, and this sets up perfectly for a play on NC State in the first half. I don't see how anyone can say those spots after the Auburn and FSU games is comparable to the spot this week. It's like night and day.

tailing RJ off a down week makes sense to me! thanks for the first 2 w's.. tear Vegas a new one this weekend!

It sure was. Is UNC a play tonight?