Week 11 Money

Thoughts on Florda -6? 

Not a forum guy but read your posts and appreciate the time and input.  Tailing you and on Maryland +2 (thinking some extra motivation this week).  

Gonna skip over tomorrow's stuff because I'm sure we'll talk about it some tomorrow. Wanna run through the games that caught my eye so far and hear some thoughts. These are by no means for sure plays

- BYU? Seems odd but I haven't seen it mentioned anywhere much. Laying 14 on the road, but it is supposed to be windy in Mass saturday. Mass has 0 run defense, and BYU has seen similar offenses this year. Seems like one where BYU could control the LOS

- Iowa St. Seems to be getting very "public" to play Iowa st but they have been $$ since Purdy took over. ISU is playing for a revenge game against OU, so I don't feel like there will be much look ahead here. Baylor has struggled to keep pace with the better offenses when they've had to go on the road. ISU offense has been humming and that defense is a buzzsaw in Aimes, they're motivated.

- UK -6. Feel like they are back to being seen as "the same 'ol kentucky" again. Just because they lost to a team with years worth of superior recruiting does not mean they are no longer good. UT has major problems offensively and UK will want to prove that it's defense is better than it showed last week. No one on UT will be able to block Josh Allen, and their run game has been especially abysmal since trey smith went out.

- This one feels shaky bcz, as a Bama fan, MS. St always plays us very tough. If this game were anytime other than after LSU I'd feel very confident in a rout, however, we're always sluggish coming off of that one. Historically, Ms St has not competed nearly as well as they have in cowbell country. Also, despite his great "game winning" drive last year, if Jalen Hurts had been able to complete a forward pass to anyone that was not his initial read, that game would have been a blowout. If the game plays out similarly to last year, Bama will boat race MSU, bcz Tua will not miss all the open receivers that Jalen did last year. Really liked what I saw from the OL and run game vs LSU, potential to build on that. Big # with backdoor cover potential, maybe a good 6 and def a good 10pt teaser candidate. Saban generally owns one dimensional offenses, and their defense will tire out if their offense has a few 3 and outs early. New coach is in a little over his head imo. Maybe TT and 1st H plays

- Someone tell me something about this Iowa vs NW line. Seems very fishy. NW getting a lot of points, my initial reaction was to take them as NW is actually 1st in the division?!??!!? and is in the driver's seat for the conf championship game (WOW) public all over NW but line moved .5 the other way, hmmmm.

- Kinda lean towards Purdue, playing good as of late and will be big Iowa fans this weekend. Can still make the championship game with help. Minny has been awful, especially on D, purdue can put up some points.

- Will play Utah St and their Overs until they burn me. Guys are just killing folks, SJ ST (like Haw) should do their part to get this over.

- Same applies to Fresno usually but a little different logic this week with them actually playing a worthy opponent, like Fresno but not 100% I will play it. 

I'm about to crash, more tomorrow.

On FAU with ya. Not playing tonights game and I lean your Oklahoma play, but it just went to -21. OKLst at +21 is almost tempting me. GL!!  Oh  did end up taking Utah, I think there one week defensive hiatus is all it was and they return home and shut down Oregon.